Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3481-3510 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jan 2024
Entry
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
31.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 97.76 · ROC 10.33% · RS 26.22
19 Jan 2024
Exit
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
5.25
Reversal Danger Warning
-12.35%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 5.99
19 Jan 2024
Exit
JOYY NASDAQ · JOYY Inc
27.12
20% entry drawdown
-21.88%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 34.72
19 Jan 2024
Exit
KEEL NASDAQ · Bitfarms Ltd.
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-23.16%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.72
19 Jan 2024
Entry
LDI NYSE · Loandepot Inc
2.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.50 · ROC 7.32% · RS 17.06
19 Jan 2024
Entry
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.53 · ROC 13.46% · RS 71.33
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PAGS NYSE · PagSeguro Digital Ltd
11.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 16.42
19 Jan 2024
Exit
ROCK NASDAQ · Gibraltar Industries Inc
81.78
Reversal Risk Warning
39.51%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 58.62
19 Jan 2024
Exit
WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc
289.99
Reversal Risk Warning
79.96%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 161.14
19 Jan 2024
Entry
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
2.71
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 79.58 · ROC 2.80% · RS 5.53
19 Jan 2024
Exit
XPEV NYSE · Xpeng Inc
9.64
20% entry drawdown
-33.79%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 14.56
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ABSI NASDAQ · Absci Corp
3.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.69 · ROC 16.01% · RS 72.06
12 Jan 2024
Entry
AORT NYSE · Artivion Inc
18.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.14 · ROC 2.02% · RS 9.49
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ARVN NASDAQ · Arvinas Inc
38.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.05 · ROC 8.58% · RS 22.48
12 Jan 2024
Exit
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
7.19
Reversal Risk Warning
71.60%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 4.19
12 Jan 2024
Entry
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
1.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.00 · ROC 7.90% · RS 22.30
12 Jan 2024
Entry
BV NYSE · BrightView Holdings
8.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 41.27 · ROC 2.06% · RS 2.61
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CCO NYSE · Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc
1.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.94 · ROC 4.21% · RS 4.33
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CDIO NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
78.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.65 · ROC 14.10% · RS 32.64
12 Jan 2024
Entry
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
64.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 23.94 · ROC 0.16% · RS 1.97
12 Jan 2024
Entry
EBON NASDAQ · Ebang International Holdings
9.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.92 · ROC 10.73% · RS 4.97
12 Jan 2024
Entry
EPAM NYSE · EPAM Systems Inc
307.73
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 81.07 · ROC 3.30% · RS 2.75
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ERIC NASDAQ · Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR
5.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.43 · ROC 2.85% · RS 1.24
12 Jan 2024
Exit
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
126.68
Reversal Risk Warning
3.87%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 121.95
12 Jan 2024
Exit
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
4.58
20% entry drawdown
-31.74%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 6.71
12 Jan 2024
Entry
JCTC NASDAQ · Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.
5.99
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 84.98 · ROC 2.55% · RS 0.51
12 Jan 2024
Entry
LSPD NYSE · Lightspeed Commerce Inc
18.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.15 · ROC 4.11% · RS 8.23
12 Jan 2024
Entry
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
18.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.24 · ROC 15.43% · RS 44.36
12 Jan 2024
Entry
NCNO NASDAQ · nCino Inc
35.08
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.28 · ROC 3.10% · RS 4.50
12 Jan 2024
Entry
PRLB NYSE · Proto Labs Inc
36.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.22 · ROC 1.71% · RS 1.36