Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.46
53.12%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.33
-12.46%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.93
3.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
69.19
-6.28%
4
83.64
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
47.78
-7.81%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.75
8.94%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.86
4.77%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
31.16
5.77%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.53
27.25%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.51
86.34%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.44
-7.33%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.69
-10.63%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.50
-8.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.27
27.46%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
125.94
47.35%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.92
0.18%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.19
-1.64%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
7.87
8.85%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
5.88
-4.23%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
2.98
-18.36%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
373.11
-7.66%
5
98.31
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.60
-2.58%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
29.66
9.00%
4
81.14
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.78
109.02%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
17 Jul 20264.54
4.54
New Entry week
8
39.45
12.74%
2.11
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.36
48.02%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.28
-8.44%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
18.50
6.72%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
10.99
51.17%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.80
22.11%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4681-4710 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Feb 2023
Entry
ECAT NYSE · BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust
8.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.89 · ROC 0.78% · RS 3.73
24 Feb 2023
Entry
ECVT NYSE · Ecovyst Inc
10.33
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.54 · ROC 0.98% · RS 4.91
24 Feb 2023
Exit
EH NASDAQ · Ehang Holdings Ltd
10.37
20% entry drawdown
-24.69%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 13.77
24 Feb 2023
Entry
EQIX NASDAQ · Equinix Inc
636.77
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 56.84 · ROC 1.35% · RS 4.68
24 Feb 2023
Entry
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
133.52
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 70.59 · ROC 1.28% · RS 7.75
24 Feb 2023
Exit
FTEK NASDAQ · Fuel Tech Inc
1.30
20% entry drawdown
-22.62%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 1.68
24 Feb 2023
Exit
FTK NYSE · Flotek Industries Inc
6.60
20% entry drawdown
-21.99%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 8.46
24 Feb 2023
Exit
FULC NASDAQ · Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc
5.66
20% entry drawdown
-55.19%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 12.63
24 Feb 2023
Exit
HMY NYSE · Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
2.84
20% entry drawdown
-22.14%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 3.64
24 Feb 2023
Entry
ICUI NASDAQ · ICU Medical Inc
177.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.98 · ROC 1.08% · RS 2.22
24 Feb 2023
Entry
JBI NYSE · Janus International Group Inc
10.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.57 · ROC 1.38% · RS 4.64
24 Feb 2023
Exit
KGC NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
3.44
20% entry drawdown
-23.63%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 4.50
24 Feb 2023
Exit
LDI NYSE · Loandepot Inc
1.99
20% entry drawdown
-25.19%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 2.66
24 Feb 2023
Entry
MNDY NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
154.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.21 · ROC 5.01% · RS 32.40
24 Feb 2023
Exit
MSC NYSE · Studio City International Holdings Ltd
5.80
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 7.54
24 Feb 2023
Exit
MUX NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
5.46
20% entry drawdown
-23.31%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 7.12
24 Feb 2023
Entry
NOAH NYSE · Noah Holdings Ltd
12.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.60 · ROC 2.05% · RS 6.21
24 Feb 2023
Exit
ORIC NASDAQ · Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.42
20% entry drawdown
-22.73%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 5.72
24 Feb 2023
Entry
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
2.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.59 · ROC 2.73% · RS 14.08
24 Feb 2023
Entry
PD NYSE · Pagerduty Inc
28.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.80 · ROC 1.75% · RS 8.79
24 Feb 2023
Entry
PRG NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
23.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.14 · ROC 4.13% · RS 15.54
24 Feb 2023
Entry
PSMT NASDAQ · PriceSmart Inc
67.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 69.88 · ROC 1.15% · RS 4.00
24 Feb 2023
Entry
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
100.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.17 · ROC 0.21% · RS 1.46
24 Feb 2023
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
7.81
20% entry drawdown
-27.30%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 10.75
24 Feb 2023
Exit
SGHT NASDAQ · Sight Sciences Inc
10.19
20% entry drawdown
-23.67%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 13.35
24 Feb 2023
Entry
SITE NYSE · SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc
148.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.95 · ROC 2.57% · RS 13.47
24 Feb 2023
Entry
SPRB NASDAQ · Spruce Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
165.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.91 · ROC 5.74% · RS 28.23
24 Feb 2023
Entry
TER NASDAQ · Teradyne Inc
99.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.41 · ROC 1.24% · RS 6.66
24 Feb 2023
Entry
TIGO NASDAQ · Millicom International Cellular SA
16.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.04 · ROC 4.15% · RS 20.44
24 Feb 2023
Entry
TRVG NASDAQ · Trivago NV
4.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.02 · ROC 2.53% · RS 6.57