Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2671-2700 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Aug 2024
Entry
TVTX NASDAQ · Travere Therapeutics Inc
9.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 17.16 · ROC 0.13% · RS 4.36
30 Aug 2024
Entry
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
2.78
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 21.54 · ROC 1.38% · RS 5.56
30 Aug 2024
Entry
WTBA NASDAQ · West Bancorporation
18.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 41.40 · ROC 0.47% · RS 0.93
30 Aug 2024
Entry
XGN NASDAQ · Exagen Inc
2.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.11 · ROC 8.34% · RS 35.79
23 Aug 2024
Entry
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
4.29
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.16 · ROC 0.11% · RS 5.87
23 Aug 2024
Entry
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
1.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.34 · ROC 0.41% · RS 5.10
23 Aug 2024
Entry
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
4.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.35 · ROC 2.13% · RS 16.23
23 Aug 2024
Exit
INO NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 9.49
23 Aug 2024
Exit
MREO NASDAQ · Mereo BioPharma Group PLC ADR
4.83
Reversal Risk Warning
302.50%
Entry 5 May 2023 1.20
23 Aug 2024
Exit
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
6.61
Reversal Risk Warning
53.44%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 4.31
23 Aug 2024
Exit
PNTG NASDAQ · Pennant Group Inc
34.96
Reversal Risk Warning
127.75%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 15.35
23 Aug 2024
Exit
PRG NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
45.84
Reversal Risk Warning
95.70%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 23.42
23 Aug 2024
Exit
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
21.50
Reversal Risk Warning
10.82%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 19.40
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SBCF NASDAQ · Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida
26.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.52 · ROC 0.06% · RS 0.60
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SHBI NASDAQ · Shore Bancshares Inc
13.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.02 · ROC 0.49% · RS 7.25
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SILA NYSE · Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
21.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.35 · ROC 1.99% · RS 2.69
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SWIM NASDAQ · Latham Group Inc
6.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.02 · ROC 12.22% · RS 82.77
23 Aug 2024
Entry
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
8.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.78 · ROC 1.31% · RS 0.21
23 Aug 2024
Exit
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
136.25
Reversal Risk Warning
155.87%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 53.25
23 Aug 2024
Exit
ZUMZ NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc
29.11
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 24.14
16 Aug 2024
Entry
ANGO NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
7.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.85 · ROC 2.50% · RS 1.18
16 Aug 2024
Entry
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
3.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.35 · ROC 1.36% · RS 11.26
16 Aug 2024
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
23.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.62 · ROC 2.42% · RS 1.26
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CDNA NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
33.00
Reversal Risk Warning
153.65%
Entry 31 May 2024 13.01
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
7.22
Reversal Risk Warning
15.89%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 6.23
16 Aug 2024
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
152.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.02 · ROC 1.11% · RS 4.13
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CSR NYSE · Centerspace
68.51
Reversal Risk Warning
16.75%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 58.68
16 Aug 2024
Entry
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
3.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.14 · ROC 4.10% · RS 16.12
16 Aug 2024
Entry
HIFS NASDAQ · Hingham Institution for Savings
233.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.20 · ROC 3.28% · RS 15.46
16 Aug 2024
Exit
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
11.98
20% entry drawdown
-36.88%
Entry 24 May 2024 18.98