View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
40.26
72.42%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
3.86
22.93%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
24.23
20.59%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
17 Jul 202625.82
25.82
New Entry week
4
74.43
3.39%
7.54
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.05
17.51%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
9.00
-16.97%
4
86.34
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
15.32
20.35%
6
97.97
4.92%
3.10
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.20
52.94%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
58.56
42.13%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.12
-16.54%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
57.33
8.66%
4
86.19
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
49.14
40.31%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
9.51
8.44%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
6.58
4.87%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
3.97
6.43%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.34
1.37%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
12.00
-5.66%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
7.86
-18.80%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
11.03
0.77%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
17 Jul 202658.48
58.48
New Entry week
4
96.98
3.50%
2.72
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
44.59
2.64%
8
89.76
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.18
66.93%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.01
-0.96%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
107.59
40.77%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.29
-14.10%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.14
0.96%
4
89.83
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.39
92.74%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
59.17
-9.80%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
52.34
34.93%
4
91.92
3.87%
8.61

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3871-3900 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Sep 2023
Exit
RELY NASDAQ · Remitly Global Inc
26.00
Reversal Risk Warning
112.94%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 12.21
15 Sep 2023
Entry
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
5.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.20 · ROC 2.19% · RS 28.44
15 Sep 2023
Entry
RWT NYSE · Redwood Trust Inc
5.82
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.47 · ROC 0.45% · RS 7.49
15 Sep 2023
Exit
TBPH NASDAQ · Theravance Biopharma Inc
9.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.56%
Entry 5 May 2023 11.33
15 Sep 2023
Entry
TSHA NASDAQ · Taysha Gene Therapies Inc
3.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.10 · ROC 29.31% · RS 87.40
15 Sep 2023
Exit
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
5.94
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 7.45
15 Sep 2023
Entry
VNO NYSE · Vornado Realty Trust
24.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.48 · ROC 0.62% · RS 15.58
15 Sep 2023
Entry
YETI NYSE · YETI Holdings Inc
47.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.70 · ROC 1.48% · RS 9.25
8 Sep 2023
Entry
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
3.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.55 · ROC 1.49% · RS 15.70
8 Sep 2023
Entry
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
5.12
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 78.36 · ROC 4.91% · RS 9.70
8 Sep 2023
Exit
CREX NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 2.25
8 Sep 2023
Exit
CRVS NASDAQ · Corvus Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-21.88%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 2.24
8 Sep 2023
Exit
CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
16.18
Reversal Risk Warning
26.21%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 12.82
8 Sep 2023
Entry
DERM NASDAQ · Journey Medical Corp
2.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.89 · ROC 0.62% · RS 26.91
8 Sep 2023
Exit
FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc
6.59
Reversal Risk Warning
46.77%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 4.49
8 Sep 2023
Entry
FUBO NYSE · Fubotv Inc
36.24
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 34.95 · ROC 0.36% · RS 15.54
8 Sep 2023
Entry
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
121.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.64 · ROC 1.48% · RS 5.81
8 Sep 2023
Entry
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
12.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.24 · ROC 8.52% · RS 40.30
8 Sep 2023
Entry
LFT NYSE · Lument Finance Trust Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.84 · ROC 0.40% · RS 1.09
8 Sep 2023
Entry
OPFI NYSE · OppFi Inc
2.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.29 · ROC 1.86% · RS 9.67
8 Sep 2023
Exit
OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp
7.51
Reversal Risk Warning
3.30%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 7.27
8 Sep 2023
Entry
PAR NYSE · PAR Technology Corporation
43.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.88 · ROC 2.59% · RS 24.16
8 Sep 2023
Exit
RH NYSE · RH
310.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.85%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 392.85
8 Sep 2023
Entry
SLG NYSE · SL Green Realty Corp
34.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.86 · ROC 0.03% · RS 16.77
8 Sep 2023
Entry
TISI NYSE · Team Inc
8.62
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.50 · ROC 0.95% · RS 2.58
8 Sep 2023
Entry
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.46 · ROC 6.57% · RS 47.75
8 Sep 2023
Exit
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
16.79
Reversal Danger Warning
-7.91%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 18.23
1 Sep 2023
Entry
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
72.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.72 · ROC 1.11% · RS 4.51
1 Sep 2023
Entry
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
18.17
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 36.08 · ROC 0.60% · RS 2.11
1 Sep 2023
Exit
ARRY NASDAQ · Array Technologies Inc
24.95
Reversal Risk Warning
18.19%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 21.11