Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21
Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001
Avg 1418.2/yr ·
118.2/mo ·
27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.3%
· Other 0.4%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ACCO
NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08
8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN
NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44
4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14
4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54
8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58
8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82
4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48
4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43
4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30
5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16
4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74
20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53
20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42
20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08
20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN
NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14
20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN
NYSE · Valens
1.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.62%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
IMVT
NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
40.26
72.42%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
IPSC
NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRWD
NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
3.86
22.93%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK
NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
24.23
20.59%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
17 Jul 202625.82
25.82
New
Entry week
4
74.43
3.39%
7.54
JWEL
NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.05
17.51%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG
NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
9.00
-16.97%
4
86.34
12.88%
8.46
KELYA
NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
15.32
20.35%
6
97.97
4.92%
3.10
KFFB
NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.20
52.94%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC
NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
58.56
42.13%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE
NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.12
-16.54%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX
NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
57.33
8.66%
4
86.19
5.19%
3.83
KOP
NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
49.14
40.31%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI
NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
9.51
8.44%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO
NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
6.58
4.87%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC
NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
3.97
6.43%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KZIA
NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.34
1.37%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB
NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
12.00
-5.66%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE
NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
7.86
-18.80%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG
NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
11.03
0.77%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
17 Jul 202658.48
58.48
New
Entry week
4
96.98
3.50%
2.72
LINE
NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
44.59
2.64%
8
89.76
3.36%
0.23
LITB
NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.18
66.93%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT
NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.01
-0.96%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH
NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
107.59
40.77%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL
NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.29
-14.10%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO
NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.14
0.96%
4
89.83
6.39%
36.31
LXRX
NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.39
92.74%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB
NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
59.17
-9.80%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN
NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
52.34
34.93%
4
91.92
3.87%
8.61
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
24 Mar 2023
Exit
CYH
NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
4.58
20% entry drawdown
-27.30%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
6.30
24 Mar 2023
Exit
DPRO
NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
41.25
20% entry drawdown
-24.66%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
54.75
24 Mar 2023
Exit
GAP
NYSE · The Gap, Inc.
8.01
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
10.48
24 Mar 2023
Exit
GRAB
NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
2.68
20% entry drawdown
-22.77%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
3.47
24 Mar 2023
Entry
GRVY
NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
53.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 35.33 · ROC 1.13% · RS 3.24
24 Mar 2023
Exit
MATV
NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
17.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
22.58
24 Mar 2023
Entry
META
NASDAQ · Meta Platforms Inc.
204.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 91.92 · ROC 2.12% · RS 22.63
24 Mar 2023
Entry
NRDY
NYSE · Nerdy Inc
3.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 74.15 · ROC 1.40% · RS 28.25
24 Mar 2023
Entry
PCOR
NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
59.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 57.98 · ROC 0.38% · RS 10.93
24 Mar 2023
Exit
PROF
NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
9.17
20% entry drawdown
-28.08%
Entry 27 Jan 2023
12.75
24 Mar 2023
Exit
RIGL
NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
12.50
20% entry drawdown
-20.89%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
15.80
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SERA
NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
3.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 90.08 · ROC 12.52% · RS 81.22
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SLQT
NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 79.31 · ROC 3.41% · RS 11.09
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SPOT
NYSE · Spotify Technology SA
128.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 64.90 · ROC 1.32% · RS 23.72
24 Mar 2023
Exit
TECX
NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
11.70
20% entry drawdown
-32.29%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
17.28
24 Mar 2023
Exit
TLYS
NYSE · Tillys Inc
7.10
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
8.93
24 Mar 2023
Entry
VCEL
NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 27.76 · ROC 0.34% · RS 0.13
24 Mar 2023
Exit
WHG
NYSE · Westwood Holdings Group Inc
9.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
11.76
24 Mar 2023
Entry
XOMA
NASDAQ · XOMA Royalty Corporation
21.77
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 16.42 · ROC 1.07% · RS 1.43
24 Mar 2023
Exit
YRD
NYSE · Yirendai Ltd
1.86
20% entry drawdown
-26.16%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
2.51
17 Mar 2023
Entry
AI
NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
21.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 71.00 · ROC 2.48% · RS 27.45
17 Mar 2023
Exit
AKBA
NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.63
20% entry drawdown
-35.62%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
0.99
17 Mar 2023
Exit
ALKT
NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
12.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 24 Feb 2023
15.43
17 Mar 2023
Exit
ASTE
NASDAQ · Astec Industries Inc
36.29
20% entry drawdown
-22.95%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
47.10
17 Mar 2023
Entry
AUPH
NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 41.53 · ROC 1.19% · RS 7.04
17 Mar 2023
Entry
BIDU
NASDAQ · Baidu Inc
146.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 42.94 · ROC 0.59% · RS 11.34
17 Mar 2023
Exit
BYFC
NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
8.08
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 3 Mar 2023
10.48
17 Mar 2023
Entry
CERT
NASDAQ · Certara Inc
22.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 86.64 · ROC 0.18% · RS 20.93
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CLRO
NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
7.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.87%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
9.16
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CNNE
NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
18.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.96%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
23.08