Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
38.79
66.12%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
4.82
-17.61%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.43
25.26%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
12 Jun 20266.10
5.04
-17.38%
4
96.62
4.20%
14.03
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
53.75
92.87%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.33
37.90%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
23.44
16.66%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.05
17.80%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
10.84
0.00%
4
84.92
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.08
2.75%
6
98.05
4.92%
3.10
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
27 Mar 202612.64
22.00
74.05%
4
19.09
0.02%
4.97
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.07
49.13%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
50.93
23.62%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.43
-4.33%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
50.98
-3.37%
4
86.77
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
46.21
31.94%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
9.60
9.46%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.97
-4.85%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.26
14.21%
5
75.50
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.25
0.68%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
20 Feb 202610.76
8.65
-19.59%
4
87.59
1.57%
5.04
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
13.20
3.77%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.73
-9.81%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
11.94
9.09%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
26 Jun 20269.59
8.66
-9.70%
4
24.66
33.13%
109.98
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
44.00
1.28%
8
83.09
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.02
58.27%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.39
0.30%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
109.89
43.78%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 151-180 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
MGM NYSE · MGM Resorts International
48.97
Reversal Risk Warning
38.45%
Entry 20 Mar 2026 35.37
12 Jun 2026
Entry
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
200.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.03 · ROC 2.98% · RS 3.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
MRCY NASDAQ · Mercury Systems Inc
120.30
Reversal Risk Warning
200.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 40.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
MYFW NASDAQ · First Western Financial Inc
30.53
Reversal Risk Warning
58.68%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 19.24
12 Jun 2026
Exit
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
13.25
Reversal Risk Warning
248.68%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 3.80
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PBI NYSE · Pitney Bowes Inc
17.32
Reversal Risk Warning
376.61%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 3.63
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PDFS NASDAQ · PDF Solutions Inc
64.14
Reversal Risk Warning
133.49%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 27.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
2.78
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 3.55
12 Jun 2026
Entry
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
9.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.29 · ROC 2.39% · RS 2.76
12 Jun 2026
Exit
RMR NASDAQ · RMR Group Inc
21.37
Reversal Risk Warning
28.29%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 16.66
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SCHL NASDAQ · Scholastic Corporation
43.89
Reversal Risk Warning
73.48%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 25.30
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
9.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.35 · ROC 5.50% · RS 0.56
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SHBI NASDAQ · Shore Bancshares Inc
22.81
Reversal Risk Warning
70.04%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 13.41
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
0.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 1.20
12 Jun 2026
Exit
SMTC NASDAQ · Semtech Corporation
166.71
Reversal Risk Warning
436.91%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 31.05
12 Jun 2026
Entry
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
7.67
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 52.80 · ROC 1.85% · RS 0.32
12 Jun 2026
Entry
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
28.37
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.63 · ROC 2.28% · RS 1.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
77.20
Reversal Risk Warning
130.35%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 33.52
12 Jun 2026
Exit
TIGO NASDAQ · Millicom International Cellular SA
93.77
Reversal Risk Warning
448.08%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 17.11
12 Jun 2026
Entry
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
406.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.79 · ROC 2.57% · RS 15.61
12 Jun 2026
Entry
VLN NYSE · Valens
2.21
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 78.90 · ROC 8.11% · RS 2.03
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VLY NASDAQ · Valley National Bancorp
14.52
Reversal Risk Warning
66.41%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 8.72
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VPG NYSE · Vishay Precision Group Inc
139.52
Reversal Risk Warning
397.93%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 28.02
12 Jun 2026
Exit
VVX NYSE · V2X Inc
90.81
Reversal Risk Warning
114.88%
Entry 12 May 2023 42.26
12 Jun 2026
Exit
WSBF NASDAQ · Waterstone Financial Inc
19.62
Reversal Risk Warning
47.57%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 13.30
12 Jun 2026
Exit
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.29
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ADCT NYSE · ADC Therapeutics SA
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-63.86%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.85
5 Jun 2026
Entry
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
38.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.18 · ROC 2.82% · RS 6.16
5 Jun 2026
Entry
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
67.74
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 92.31 · ROC 2.26% · RS 6.44
5 Jun 2026
Exit
BFS NYSE · Saul Centers Inc
36.54
Reversal Risk Warning
14.98%
Entry 27 Mar 2026 31.78