View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3901-3930 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Sep 2023
Exit
BLRX NASDAQ · BioLineRx Ltd
80.80
Reversal Risk Warning
32.89%
Entry 12 May 2023 60.80
1 Sep 2023
Entry
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
40.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.55 · ROC 9.93% · RS 35.13
1 Sep 2023
Entry
CCK NYSE · Crown Holdings Inc
90.87
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 24.53 · ROC 0.42% · RS 0.60
1 Sep 2023
Entry
DLX NYSE · Deluxe Corporation
17.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.11 · ROC 1.04% · RS 9.17
1 Sep 2023
Exit
ELTX NASDAQ · Elicio Therapeutics Inc.
7.90
20% entry drawdown
-28.12%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 10.99
1 Sep 2023
Exit
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
14.30
20% entry drawdown
-25.13%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 19.10
1 Sep 2023
Entry
HAYW NYSE · Hayward Holdings Inc
14.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.45 · ROC 1.24% · RS 17.77
1 Sep 2023
Entry
INDP NASDAQ · Indaptus Therapeutics Inc
82.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.56 · ROC 5.88% · RS 23.75
1 Sep 2023
Entry
LPTH NASDAQ · LightPath Technologies Inc
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 5.24 · ROC 1.01% · RS 2.39
1 Sep 2023
Exit
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
23.33
Reversal Danger Warning
3.41%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 22.56
1 Sep 2023
Exit
NSPR NASDAQ · InspireMD Inc
3.45
Reversal Risk Warning
94.02%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 1.78
1 Sep 2023
Entry
OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp
7.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.64 · ROC 0.41% · RS 10.62
1 Sep 2023
Exit
QTRX NASDAQ · Quanterix Corp
26.97
Reversal Risk Warning
29.73%
Entry 26 May 2023 20.79
1 Sep 2023
Exit
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
3.81
Reversal Risk Warning
24.10%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 3.07
1 Sep 2023
Exit
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
29.16
Reversal Risk Warning
29.72%
Entry 19 May 2023 22.48
1 Sep 2023
Exit
STKE NASDAQ · Sol Strategies Inc. Common Shares
0.50
20% entry drawdown
-23.46%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 0.65
1 Sep 2023
Entry
WDC NASDAQ · Western Digital Corporation
34.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 26.97 · ROC 0.28% · RS 0.57
1 Sep 2023
Exit
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
110.38
Reversal Risk Warning
34.45%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 82.10
25 Aug 2023
Exit
BVS NASDAQ · Bioventus Inc
3.45
20% entry drawdown
-23.67%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 4.52
25 Aug 2023
Entry
COUR NYSE · Coursera Inc
16.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.07 · ROC 2.46% · RS 21.63
25 Aug 2023
Entry
CUBI NYSE · Customers Bancorp, Inc.
34.43
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 60.38 · ROC 4.07% · RS 8.81
25 Aug 2023
Entry
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
7.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.37 · ROC 2.65% · RS 5.49
25 Aug 2023
Entry
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
7.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.00 · ROC 2.10% · RS 4.64
25 Aug 2023
Entry
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
7.87
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.17 · ROC 3.59% · RS 10.12
25 Aug 2023
Entry
FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc
4.49
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 65.06 · ROC 5.86% · RS 12.34
25 Aug 2023
Exit
KODK NYSE · Eastman Kodak Co
4.59
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 5.82
25 Aug 2023
Entry
OGCP NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
7.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 93.50 · ROC 3.09% · RS 1.77
25 Aug 2023
Entry
QTWO NYSE · Q2 Holdings
32.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.71 · ROC 0.90% · RS 0.75
25 Aug 2023
Exit
RGTI NASDAQ · Rigetti Computing Inc
1.74
20% entry drawdown
-20.91%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 2.20
25 Aug 2023
Entry
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
2.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.02 · ROC 5.12% · RS 15.03