View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4501-4530 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Mar 2023
Exit
CYH NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
4.58
20% entry drawdown
-27.30%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 6.30
24 Mar 2023
Exit
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
41.25
20% entry drawdown
-24.66%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 54.75
24 Mar 2023
Exit
GAP NYSE · The Gap, Inc.
8.01
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 10.48
24 Mar 2023
Exit
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
2.68
20% entry drawdown
-22.77%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 3.47
24 Mar 2023
Entry
GRVY NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
53.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.33 · ROC 1.13% · RS 3.24
24 Mar 2023
Exit
MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
17.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 22.58
24 Mar 2023
Entry
META NASDAQ · Meta Platforms Inc.
204.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.92 · ROC 2.12% · RS 22.63
24 Mar 2023
Entry
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
3.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.15 · ROC 1.40% · RS 28.25
24 Mar 2023
Entry
PCOR NYSE · Procore Technologies Inc
59.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.98 · ROC 0.38% · RS 10.93
24 Mar 2023
Exit
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
9.17
20% entry drawdown
-28.08%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 12.75
24 Mar 2023
Exit
RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
12.50
20% entry drawdown
-20.89%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 15.80
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
3.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.08 · ROC 12.52% · RS 81.22
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.31 · ROC 3.41% · RS 11.09
24 Mar 2023
Entry
SPOT NYSE · Spotify Technology SA
128.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.90 · ROC 1.32% · RS 23.72
24 Mar 2023
Exit
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
11.70
20% entry drawdown
-32.29%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 17.28
24 Mar 2023
Exit
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
7.10
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 8.93
24 Mar 2023
Entry
VCEL NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 27.76 · ROC 0.34% · RS 0.13
24 Mar 2023
Exit
WHG NYSE · Westwood Holdings Group Inc
9.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.94%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 11.76
24 Mar 2023
Entry
XOMA NASDAQ · XOMA Royalty Corporation
21.77
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 16.42 · ROC 1.07% · RS 1.43
24 Mar 2023
Exit
YRD NYSE · Yirendai Ltd
1.86
20% entry drawdown
-26.16%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 2.51
17 Mar 2023
Entry
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
21.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.00 · ROC 2.48% · RS 27.45
17 Mar 2023
Exit
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
0.63
20% entry drawdown
-35.62%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 0.99
17 Mar 2023
Exit
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
12.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 15.43
17 Mar 2023
Exit
ASTE NASDAQ · Astec Industries Inc
36.29
20% entry drawdown
-22.95%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 47.10
17 Mar 2023
Entry
AUPH NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.53 · ROC 1.19% · RS 7.04
17 Mar 2023
Entry
BIDU NASDAQ · Baidu Inc
146.84
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.94 · ROC 0.59% · RS 11.34
17 Mar 2023
Exit
BYFC NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
8.08
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 10.48
17 Mar 2023
Entry
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
22.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.64 · ROC 0.18% · RS 20.93
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
7.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.87%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 9.16
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
18.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.96%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 23.08