View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2161-2190 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 Jan 2025
Exit
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
15.15
20% entry drawdown
-21.62%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 19.33
10 Jan 2025
Exit
ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc
2.37
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 2.97
10 Jan 2025
Entry
FBRX NASDAQ · Forte Biosciences Inc
17.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.94 · ROC 7.87% · RS 15.14
10 Jan 2025
Entry
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
2.76
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 98.47 · ROC 5.92% · RS 13.82
10 Jan 2025
Entry
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
2.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.66 · ROC 27.02% · RS 66.90
10 Jan 2025
Exit
JBGS NYSE · JBG SMITH Properties
13.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 16.94
10 Jan 2025
Entry
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
27.91
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 20.09 · ROC 0.51% · RS 2.09
10 Jan 2025
Exit
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
9.65
20% entry drawdown
-25.25%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 12.91
10 Jan 2025
Exit
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
186.42
20% entry drawdown
-21.76%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 238.27
10 Jan 2025
Exit
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
4.36
20% entry drawdown
-22.28%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 5.61
10 Jan 2025
Exit
STOK NASDAQ · Stoke Therapeutics Inc
9.00
20% entry drawdown
-33.33%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 13.50
10 Jan 2025
Entry
TASK NASDAQ · Taskus Inc
7.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.67 · ROC 2.24% · RS 2.52
10 Jan 2025
Entry
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
8.12
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 20.91 · ROC 0.78% · RS 4.57
10 Jan 2025
Entry
VNCE NASDAQ · Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock
4.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.45 · ROC 19.92% · RS 60.17
10 Jan 2025
Entry
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
3.41
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 98.72 · ROC 29.08% · RS 96.79
10 Jan 2025
Entry
WIMI NASDAQ · WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc
12.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.76 · ROC 11.28% · RS 20.59
10 Jan 2025
Entry
XLO NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
15.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.31 · ROC 0.89% · RS 8.44
10 Jan 2025
Exit
ZTO NYSE · ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
17.04
20% entry drawdown
-22.35%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 21.94
3 Jan 2025
Exit
AENT NASDAQ · Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
9.69
Reversal Risk Warning
93.80%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 5.00
3 Jan 2025
Exit
AMBP NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
2.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.29%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 3.15
3 Jan 2025
Entry
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
20.61
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 97.39 · ROC 7.65% · RS 21.49
3 Jan 2025
Exit
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
16.55
Reversal Risk Warning
121.26%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 7.48
3 Jan 2025
Entry
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
4.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.47 · ROC 4.10% · RS 7.39
3 Jan 2025
Entry
BKKT NYSE · Bakkt Holdings Inc
27.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.71 · ROC 9.75% · RS 38.05
3 Jan 2025
Entry
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
11.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.34 · ROC 3.49% · RS 16.20
3 Jan 2025
Exit
CMMB NASDAQ · Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd DRC
8.52
Reversal Risk Warning
99.08%
Entry 31 May 2024 4.28
3 Jan 2025
Entry
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
19.33
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 98.66 · ROC 27.71% · RS 112.45
3 Jan 2025
Exit
DMRC NASDAQ · Digimarc Corporation
46.81
Reversal Risk Warning
157.76%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 18.16
3 Jan 2025
Exit
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
13.99
Reversal Risk Warning
36.89%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 10.22
3 Jan 2025
Exit
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
29.81
Reversal Risk Warning
191.97%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 10.21