View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2641-2670 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Sep 2024
Entry
HAFC NASDAQ · Hanmi Financial Corporation
17.25
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 58.53 · ROC 2.82% · RS 7.78
6 Sep 2024
Entry
HRMY NASDAQ · Harmony Biosciences Holdings
35.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.12 · ROC 1.66% · RS 8.51
6 Sep 2024
Exit
IMNN NASDAQ · Imunon Inc
13.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.80%
Entry 3 May 2024 17.35
6 Sep 2024
Entry
NFBK NASDAQ · Northfield Bancorp Inc
10.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.47 · ROC 0.40% · RS 9.01
6 Sep 2024
Entry
OCFC NASDAQ · OceanFirst Financial Corp.
15.80
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 51.29 · ROC 0.77% · RS 5.94
6 Sep 2024
Entry
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
214.75
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 23.54 · ROC 0.17% · RS 11.58
6 Sep 2024
Entry
RKLB NASDAQ · Rocket Lab USA Inc.
5.81
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 56.64 · ROC 5.62% · RS 17.06
6 Sep 2024
Entry
RVLV NYSE · Revolve Group LLC
20.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.29 · ROC 5.53% · RS 10.42
6 Sep 2024
Exit
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
22.74
Reversal Danger Warning
-2.27%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 23.26
6 Sep 2024
Entry
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
11.60
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 29.29 · ROC 1.12% · RS 4.68
6 Sep 2024
Entry
VISN NASDAQ · CommScope Holding Company, Inc.
1.33
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.71 · ROC 15.12% · RS 84.62
30 Aug 2024
Exit
AAT NYSE · American Assets Trust Inc
24.09
Reversal Risk Warning
23.43%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 19.52
30 Aug 2024
Entry
ADPT NASDAQ · Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp
4.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.07 · ROC 2.57% · RS 1.08
30 Aug 2024
Exit
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
90.78
Reversal Risk Warning
29.84%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 69.92
30 Aug 2024
Entry
BMRC NASDAQ · Bank of Marin Bancorp
19.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.20 · ROC 0.45% · RS 7.73
30 Aug 2024
Entry
CCSI NASDAQ · Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc
24.09
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.54 · ROC 1.37% · RS 6.38
30 Aug 2024
Exit
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
105.73
Reversal Risk Warning
22.78%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 86.11
30 Aug 2024
Exit
DOLE NYSE · Dole PLC
15.38
Reversal Risk Warning
62.38%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 9.47
30 Aug 2024
Exit
ESNT NYSE · Essent Group Ltd
61.90
Reversal Risk Warning
66.34%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 37.21
30 Aug 2024
Exit
FEDU NYSE · Four Seasons Education Cayman
17.01
Reversal Risk Warning
68.35%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 10.10
30 Aug 2024
Exit
GOTU NYSE · Gaotu Techedu Inc DRC
3.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.09%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 4.03
30 Aug 2024
Entry
INDB NASDAQ · Independent Bank
59.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.63 · ROC 0.74% · RS 5.02
30 Aug 2024
Entry
LUMN NYSE · Lumen Technologies Inc
5.25
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 96.63 · ROC 40.51% · RS 162.73
30 Aug 2024
Entry
MCB NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding
51.23
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 26.15 · ROC 0.39% · RS 7.04
30 Aug 2024
Entry
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
132.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.52 · ROC 4.67% · RS 13.69
30 Aug 2024
Entry
MYFW NASDAQ · First Western Financial Inc
19.24
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 21.86 · ROC 0.19% · RS 0.88
30 Aug 2024
Entry
NTGR NASDAQ · NETGEAR Inc
16.23
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.37 · ROC 1.15% · RS 3.00
30 Aug 2024
Entry
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
44.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.83 · ROC 4.38% · RS 14.30
30 Aug 2024
Entry
ONC NASDAQ · BeiGene, Ltd.
191.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.43 · ROC 2.61% · RS 0.71
30 Aug 2024
Entry
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
23.26
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 92.91 · ROC 2.50% · RS 10.26