Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3001-3030 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 May 2024
Entry
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
2.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.41 · ROC 1.19% · RS 30.44
3 May 2024
Entry
SOHU NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc
11.96
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 86.28 · ROC 2.67% · RS 3.27
3 May 2024
Entry
VTVT NASDAQ · vTv Therapeutics Inc
23.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.71 · ROC 6.06% · RS 2.50
26 Apr 2024
Entry
AG NYSE · First Majestic Silver Corp
7.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.28 · ROC 4.72% · RS 10.03
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
16.86
Reversal Risk Warning
37.52%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.26
26 Apr 2024
Entry
AMBP NYSE · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
3.15
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 21.26 · ROC 2.26% · RS 7.45
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
7.87
Reversal Risk Warning
190.41%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 2.71
26 Apr 2024
Entry
BFH NYSE · Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.
35.76
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 10.87 · ROC 0.38% · RS 0.81
26 Apr 2024
Entry
CSR NYSE · Centerspace
58.68
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 79.44 · ROC 0.57% · RS 1.72
26 Apr 2024
Entry
CURI NASDAQ · Curiositystream Inc.
0.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.07 · ROC 9.99% · RS 31.51
26 Apr 2024
Entry
DCTH NASDAQ · Delcath Systems Inc
5.30
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 68.93 · ROC 2.27% · RS 2.71
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
2.78
20% entry drawdown
-23.42%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 3.63
26 Apr 2024
Exit
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
5.33
20% entry drawdown
-24.40%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 7.05
26 Apr 2024
Exit
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
5.78
20% entry drawdown
-22.10%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 7.42
26 Apr 2024
Entry
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
2.10
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 68.57 · ROC 1.89% · RS 0.78
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MDIA NASDAQ · Mediaco Holding Inc
1.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.13 · ROC 43.38% · RS 69.78
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MERC NASDAQ · Mercer International Inc
9.40
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 33.05 · ROC 2.06% · RS 1.66
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MESO NASDAQ · Mesoblast Ltd
6.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.17 · ROC 16.66% · RS 35.03
26 Apr 2024
Entry
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
45.36
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 18.19 · ROC 0.45% · RS 29.80
26 Apr 2024
Exit
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
16.20
20% entry drawdown
-29.69%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 23.04
26 Apr 2024
Exit
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
3.53
20% entry drawdown
-23.26%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 4.60
26 Apr 2024
Entry
PIK NASDAQ · Kidpik Corp.
4.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.87 · ROC 5.55% · RS 27.20
26 Apr 2024
Exit
QBTS NYSE · D-Wave Quantum Inc.
1.44
20% entry drawdown
-25.77%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 1.94
26 Apr 2024
Entry
REFR NASDAQ · Research Frontiers Incorporated
1.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.93 · ROC 2.45% · RS 7.83
26 Apr 2024
Entry
SMR NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
6.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.05 · ROC 0.19% · RS 3.30
26 Apr 2024
Exit
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10.59
Reversal Risk Warning
12.54%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 9.41
26 Apr 2024
Entry
TG NYSE · Tredegar Corporation
6.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.45 · ROC 3.07% · RS 2.81
26 Apr 2024
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
5.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 4.05 · ROC 5.39% · RS 3.33
26 Apr 2024
Entry
XMAX NASDAQ · XMax Inc.
2.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.00 · ROC 1.05% · RS 3.73
26 Apr 2024
Exit
ZYME NASDAQ · Zymeworks Inc. Common Stock
8.26
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 10.88