View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3721-3750 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
3 Nov 2023
Entry
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
1.38
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 28.66 · ROC 3.82% · RS 5.02
3 Nov 2023
Exit
BRFH NASDAQ · Barfresh Food Group Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-27.78%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 2.16
3 Nov 2023
Entry
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
85.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 28.82 · ROC 0.27% · RS 0.90
3 Nov 2023
Entry
FEMY NASDAQ · Femasys Inc
27.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.20 · ROC 2.55% · RS 25.47
3 Nov 2023
Exit
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-28.73%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 2.75
27 Oct 2023
Exit
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
54.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.77%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 72.75
27 Oct 2023
Exit
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
6.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.88%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 8.41
27 Oct 2023
Exit
BV NYSE · BrightView Holdings
6.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.24%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 8.35
27 Oct 2023
Exit
CGNT NASDAQ · Cognyte Software Ltd
4.02
20% entry drawdown
-22.09%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 5.16
27 Oct 2023
Exit
CLIR NASDAQ · ClearSign Combustion Corporation
8.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.85%
Entry 12 May 2023 10.90
27 Oct 2023
Exit
DUOT NASDAQ · Duos Technologies Group Inc
3.10
20% entry drawdown
-31.72%
Entry 19 May 2023 4.54
27 Oct 2023
Entry
FINS NYSE · Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust
8.89
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 30.11 · ROC 0.10% · RS 0.13
27 Oct 2023
Exit
FMS NYSE · Fresenius Medical Care Corporation
14.92
20% entry drawdown
-20.80%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 18.84
27 Oct 2023
Exit
GILT NASDAQ · Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd
5.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 6.96
27 Oct 2023
Exit
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
7.71
20% entry drawdown
-22.45%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 9.95
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HAYW NYSE · Hayward Holdings Inc
11.39
20% entry drawdown
-23.61%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 14.91
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
23.52
Reversal Risk Warning
27.63%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 18.43
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
1.34
20% entry drawdown
-27.57%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 1.85
27 Oct 2023
Exit
HZO NYSE · MarineMax Inc
27.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.80%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 35.62
27 Oct 2023
Exit
IPGP NASDAQ · IPG Photonics Corporation
88.15
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 111.56
27 Oct 2023
Exit
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.99
20% entry drawdown
-24.12%
Entry 19 May 2023 10.53
27 Oct 2023
Entry
LIEN NASDAQ · Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
6.72
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 39.30 · ROC 1.23% · RS 0.06
27 Oct 2023
Exit
MDT NYSE · Medtronic PLC
64.03
20% entry drawdown
-20.59%
Entry 12 May 2023 80.63
27 Oct 2023
Entry
NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
5.70
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.06 · ROC 1.19% · RS 0.95
27 Oct 2023
Exit
SLG NYSE · SL Green Realty Corp
25.47
20% entry drawdown
-27.07%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 34.92
27 Oct 2023
Exit
TRU NYSE · TransUnion
42.94
20% entry drawdown
-39.70%
Entry 26 May 2023 71.21
27 Oct 2023
Exit
TSAT NASDAQ · Telesat Corp
10.15
20% entry drawdown
-21.74%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 12.97
27 Oct 2023
Entry
UNB NASDAQ · Union Bankshares Inc
22.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.05 · ROC 1.93% · RS 3.56
27 Oct 2023
Exit
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
23.03
20% entry drawdown
-23.54%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 30.12
27 Oct 2023
Entry
UROY NASDAQ · Uranium Royalty Corp
2.64
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 42.79 · ROC 4.59% · RS 5.59