View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3991-4020 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Aug 2023
Entry
GP NASDAQ · GreenPower Motor Company Inc
40.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 88.86 · ROC 10.90% · RS 22.90
4 Aug 2023
Exit
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
3.42
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 4.56
4 Aug 2023
Entry
GYRE NASDAQ · Gyre Therapeutics Inc.
4.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.92 · ROC 5.15% · RS 1.36
4 Aug 2023
Entry
HFFG NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
5.30
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 95.70 · ROC 3.55% · RS 1.42
4 Aug 2023
Exit
LASR NASDAQ · nLIGHT Inc
11.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.63%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 15.29
4 Aug 2023
Exit
LMND NYSE · Lemonade Inc
17.13
20% entry drawdown
-26.70%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 23.37
4 Aug 2023
Exit
MESO NASDAQ · Mesoblast Ltd
3.28
20% entry drawdown
-55.19%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 7.32
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
5.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.53 · ROC 18.20% · RS 42.08
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MUX NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
7.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 19.78 · ROC 4.22% · RS 13.35
4 Aug 2023
Entry
MVST NASDAQ · Microvast Holdings Inc
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.42 · ROC 8.06% · RS 11.71
4 Aug 2023
Entry
NCLH NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
17.95
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 65.04 · ROC 6.19% · RS 4.93
4 Aug 2023
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
5.27
Reversal Risk Warning
27.29%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 4.14
4 Aug 2023
Entry
RH NYSE · RH
392.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.66 · ROC 5.49% · RS 26.17
4 Aug 2023
Exit
SOPH NASDAQ · Sophia Genetics SA
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-22.39%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 4.69
4 Aug 2023
Exit
T NYSE · AT&T Inc.
12.11
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 15.44
4 Aug 2023
Exit
TMC NASDAQ · TMC the metals company Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 1.45
4 Aug 2023
Exit
U NYSE · Unity Software Inc
40.17
Reversal Danger Warning
-9.71%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 44.49
4 Aug 2023
Exit
VRCA NASDAQ · Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc
52.50
20% entry drawdown
-26.06%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 71.00
4 Aug 2023
Exit
VRM NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
164.80
Reversal Danger Warning
-3.29%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 170.40
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ANSS NASDAQ · ANSYS Inc
338.23
Reversal Risk Warning
14.26%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 296.03
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ARAY NASDAQ · Accuray Incorporated
4.20
Reversal Risk Warning
47.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 2.85
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
3.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 4.50
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BIDU NASDAQ · Baidu Inc
155.36
Reversal Risk Warning
5.80%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 146.84
28 Jul 2023
Exit
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
35.43
Reversal Risk Warning
142.17%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 14.63
28 Jul 2023
Exit
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
25.90
Reversal Risk Warning
9.53%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 23.64
28 Jul 2023
Entry
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
1.09
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 70.08 · ROC 6.44% · RS 18.50
28 Jul 2023
Entry
DLR NYSE · Digital Realty Trust Inc
111.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.73 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.60
28 Jul 2023
Exit
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
75.50
Reversal Risk Warning
24.28%
Entry 19 May 2023 60.75
28 Jul 2023
Exit
ETON NASDAQ · Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.55
20% entry drawdown
-27.14%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 3.50
28 Jul 2023
Entry
EVGN NASDAQ · Evogene
10.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.13 · ROC 8.63% · RS 3.57