View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4171-4200 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jun 2023
Entry
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
19.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.15 · ROC 3.41% · RS 9.85
30 Jun 2023
Entry
FTHM NASDAQ · Fathom Holdings Inc
7.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.49 · ROC 5.03% · RS 5.22
30 Jun 2023
Entry
KOPN NASDAQ · Kopin Corporation
2.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.06 · ROC 6.32% · RS 30.41
30 Jun 2023
Exit
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.21%
Entry 12 May 2023 2.87
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MFA NYSE · MFA Financial Inc
7.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.70 · ROC 1.31% · RS 3.28
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MGNI NASDAQ · Magnite Inc
13.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.56 · ROC 2.89% · RS 13.76
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MVIS NASDAQ · Microvision Inc
4.58
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.39 · ROC 8.75% · RS 8.81
30 Jun 2023
Entry
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
3.89
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 95.67 · ROC 9.20% · RS 24.14
30 Jun 2023
Entry
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
2.17
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 58.62 · ROC 1.59% · RS 4.35
30 Jun 2023
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-22.66%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 3.31
30 Jun 2023
Entry
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.95 · ROC 4.13% · RS 9.55
30 Jun 2023
Exit
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-33.02%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 4.09
30 Jun 2023
Exit
TIGO NASDAQ · Millicom International Cellular SA
12.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 16.20
30 Jun 2023
Entry
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
22.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.70 · ROC 2.12% · RS 6.98
30 Jun 2023
Exit
UCL NASDAQ · Ucloudlink Group Inc
2.54
20% entry drawdown
-30.22%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 3.64
30 Jun 2023
Exit
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
7.44
20% entry drawdown
-27.63%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 10.28
23 Jun 2023
Entry
ACHR NYSE · Archer Aviation Inc
3.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.32 · ROC 4.10% · RS 8.21
23 Jun 2023
Entry
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
5.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.59 · ROC 6.66% · RS 3.34
23 Jun 2023
Entry
AZ NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
6.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.30 · ROC 12.58% · RS 13.04
23 Jun 2023
Exit
BOLT NASDAQ · Bolt Biotherapeutics
27.80
20% entry drawdown
-27.98%
Entry 19 May 2023 38.60
23 Jun 2023
Entry
CYD NYSE · China Yuchai International Limited
9.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.88 · ROC 4.15% · RS 12.56
23 Jun 2023
Exit
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
11.78
Reversal Risk Warning
-5.76%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 12.50
23 Jun 2023
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
1.90
20% entry drawdown
-22.96%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 2.47
23 Jun 2023
Exit
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
1.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.93%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 1.72
23 Jun 2023
Entry
GBTG NYSE · Global Business Travel Group Inc
7.87
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.14 · ROC 5.45% · RS 11.31
23 Jun 2023
Entry
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
10.28
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 33.60 · ROC 4.18% · RS 7.25
23 Jun 2023
Exit
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
22.33
20% entry drawdown
-21.84%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 28.57
23 Jun 2023
Entry
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
12.71
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 29.77 · ROC 3.46% · RS 15.63
23 Jun 2023
Exit
MKTX NASDAQ · MarketAxess Holdings Inc
250.69
20% entry drawdown
-21.37%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 318.84
23 Jun 2023
Entry
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
3.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.72 · ROC 3.45% · RS 7.37