Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
22.40
18.30%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.15
60.62%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
113.34
-5.15%
4
96.83
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.63
-4.43%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
17.56
12.06%
6
12.62
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
17.20
0.94%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
27.63
30.45%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.83
New Entry week
4
79.52
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.36
24.36%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.42
3.42%
4
96.30
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.55
0.89%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.04
-19.79%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
43.03
6.26%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.83
-5.01%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.35
20.50%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.69
113.49%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
2.10
20.69%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
13.78
-6.58%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
47.81
77.97%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
63.12
10.13%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
11.37
5.77%
4
38.52
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.12
-3.20%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.99
47.83%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.37
29.51%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
48.44
3.86%
4
70.62
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
8.66
23.55%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
75.23
-15.36%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 481-510 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Mar 2026
Entry
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
44.07
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 36.24 · ROC 3.70% · RS 2.67
13 Mar 2026
Exit
HDSN NASDAQ · Hudson Technologies Inc
5.76
20% entry drawdown
-25.58%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 7.74
13 Mar 2026
Exit
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
10.00
Reversal Risk Warning
318.41%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.39
13 Mar 2026
Exit
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
45.26
Reversal Risk Warning
73.48%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 26.09
13 Mar 2026
Exit
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
4.12
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 5.54
13 Mar 2026
Entry
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
43.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.41 · ROC 0.87% · RS 0.91
13 Mar 2026
Exit
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
12.60
20% entry drawdown
-23.50%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 16.47
13 Mar 2026
Entry
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
27.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.76 · ROC 1.95% · RS 6.03
13 Mar 2026
Exit
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
116.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.24%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 146.39
13 Mar 2026
Exit
NTR NYSE · Nutrien Ltd
82.25
Reversal Risk Warning
69.51%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 48.52
13 Mar 2026
Exit
OCSL NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
10.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.60%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 13.27
13 Mar 2026
Exit
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
10.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.03%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 13.62
13 Mar 2026
Exit
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-27.27%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 1.65
13 Mar 2026
Exit
REXR NYSE · Rexford Industrial Realty Inc
34.02
20% entry drawdown
-20.35%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 42.71
13 Mar 2026
Entry
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
231.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.24 · ROC 0.98% · RS 0.31
13 Mar 2026
Exit
SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd
7.87
20% entry drawdown
-23.81%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.33
13 Mar 2026
Exit
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
7.30
20% entry drawdown
-24.97%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 9.73
13 Mar 2026
Exit
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
5.65
20% entry drawdown
-36.52%
Entry 26 Dec 2025 8.90
13 Mar 2026
Exit
VC NASDAQ · Visteon Corp
88.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.68%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 111.96
6 Mar 2026
Entry
ARCB NASDAQ · ArcBest Corp
93.19
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.63 · ROC 4.43% · RS 17.03
6 Mar 2026
Entry
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.24 · ROC 0.55% · RS 1.10
6 Mar 2026
Entry
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
36.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.64 · ROC 3.22% · RS 0.52
6 Mar 2026
Exit
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
2.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.44%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 2.88
6 Mar 2026
Exit
BCG NASDAQ · Binah Capital Group, Inc. Common Stock
2.14
20% entry drawdown
-20.15%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 2.68
6 Mar 2026
Exit
CGTL NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1.30
20% entry drawdown
-39.25%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 2.14
6 Mar 2026
Exit
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
9.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 12.37
6 Mar 2026
Entry
CNI NYSE · Canadian National Railway Company
105.53
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 90.38 · ROC 2.13% · RS 1.67
6 Mar 2026
Entry
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
9.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.90 · ROC 0.23% · RS 0.83
6 Mar 2026
Entry
DIOD NASDAQ · Diodes Incorporated
61.89
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 96.99 · ROC 4.09% · RS 13.94
6 Mar 2026
Exit
DUKR NASDAQ · DUKE Robotics Corp. Common Stock
7.57
Price scale break
132.79%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 3.25