Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2611-2640 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Sep 2024
Entry
MKTX NASDAQ · MarketAxess Holdings Inc
249.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.66 · ROC 0.93% · RS 0.95
13 Sep 2024
Exit
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
2.77
20% entry drawdown
-46.83%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 5.21
13 Sep 2024
Entry
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
69.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.16 · ROC 2.19% · RS 2.11
13 Sep 2024
Entry
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.79 · ROC 1.99% · RS 14.24
13 Sep 2024
Exit
SMMT NASDAQ · Summit Therapeutics PLC
31.93
Reversal Risk Warning
1152.16%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.55
13 Sep 2024
Exit
STC NYSE · Stewart Information Services Corp
71.66
Reversal Risk Warning
62.42%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 44.12
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TG NYSE · Tredegar Corporation
6.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.13 · ROC 3.43% · RS 6.52
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TKNO NASDAQ · Alpha Teknova Inc
4.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.92 · ROC 7.46% · RS 44.84
13 Sep 2024
Entry
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
38.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.09 · ROC 3.99% · RS 17.60
13 Sep 2024
Entry
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
18.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.68 · ROC 1.52% · RS 5.62
6 Sep 2024
Exit
AA NYSE · Alcoa Corp
28.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.38%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 35.63
6 Sep 2024
Entry
ATLN NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
6.35
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 73.64 · ROC 6.92% · RS 1.73
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
10.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.86 · ROC 0.58% · RS 2.26
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BIP NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP
27.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.55 · ROC 0.80% · RS 0.17
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BWB NASDAQ · Bridgewater Bancshares Inc
13.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 64.24 · ROC 1.10% · RS 10.14
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CCI NYSE · Crown Castle
104.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.20 · ROC 0.98% · RS 4.35
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CERS NASDAQ · Cerus Corporation
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.07 · ROC 1.57% · RS 2.28
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIA NYSE · Citizens Inc
3.13
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.20 · ROC 0.98% · RS 2.90
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
12.69
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.61 · ROC 1.51% · RS 2.77
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIVB NASDAQ · Civista Bancshares Inc
15.69
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 28.06 · ROC 0.29% · RS 0.94
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
153.83
Reversal Risk Warning
20.82%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 127.32
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CODX NASDAQ · Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock
40.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.89 · ROC 2.80% · RS 4.50
6 Sep 2024
Entry
COLB NASDAQ · Columbia Banking System Inc
21.56
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 68.62 · ROC 3.11% · RS 9.12
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CYH NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
5.70
Reversal Risk Warning
14.23%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 4.99
6 Sep 2024
Entry
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
23.47
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 76.74 · ROC 2.06% · RS 9.96
6 Sep 2024
Entry
EBMT NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Montana Inc
14.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.91 · ROC 0.71% · RS 9.64
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GH NASDAQ · Guardant Health Inc
23.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 30.75
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
8.23
20% entry drawdown
-29.54%
Entry 3 May 2024 11.68
6 Sep 2024
Entry
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
7.24
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 65.38 · ROC 1.15% · RS 3.41
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
7.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 9.65