Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2731-2760 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Aug 2024
Exit
RIOT NASDAQ · Riot Platforms, Inc.
8.06
20% entry drawdown
-23.38%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 10.52
9 Aug 2024
Exit
RLJ NYSE · RLJ Lodging Trust
7.94
20% entry drawdown
-20.64%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 10.01
9 Aug 2024
Exit
RLMD NASDAQ · Relmada Therapeutics Inc
2.30
20% entry drawdown
-36.64%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 3.63
9 Aug 2024
Entry
SITM NASDAQ · Sitime Corporation
126.70
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 29.03 · ROC 1.67% · RS 2.87
9 Aug 2024
Exit
SOPH NASDAQ · Sophia Genetics SA
3.24
20% entry drawdown
-33.88%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 4.90
9 Aug 2024
Entry
TBRG NASDAQ · TruBridge Inc.
12.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.99 · ROC 1.37% · RS 0.54
9 Aug 2024
Entry
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
38.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.92 · ROC 2.82% · RS 27.18
9 Aug 2024
Exit
UROY NASDAQ · Uranium Royalty Corp
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 2.64
9 Aug 2024
Entry
VIOT NASDAQ · Viomi Technology ADR
0.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.62 · ROC 0.77% · RS 15.02
9 Aug 2024
Exit
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
13.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.69%
Entry 31 May 2024 17.71
2 Aug 2024
Entry
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
5.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 15.60 · ROC 2.91% · RS 3.67
2 Aug 2024
Exit
AENT NASDAQ · Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-23.83%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 2.14
2 Aug 2024
Exit
AG NYSE · First Majestic Silver Corp
5.03
20% entry drawdown
-28.09%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 7.00
2 Aug 2024
Entry
AIOS NASDAQ · AIOS Tech Inc.
230.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.62 · ROC 17.27% · RS 142.26
2 Aug 2024
Entry
ALHC NASDAQ · Alignment Healthcare LLC
8.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.10 · ROC 1.82% · RS 20.10
2 Aug 2024
Exit
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
34.53
20% entry drawdown
-23.28%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 45.01
2 Aug 2024
Exit
AMT NYSE · American Tower Corp
218.77
Reversal Risk Warning
10.58%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 197.84
2 Aug 2024
Entry
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
5.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.06 · ROC 5.25% · RS 34.06
2 Aug 2024
Exit
CIIT NASDAQ · Tianci International, Inc. Common Stock
37.66
Reversal Risk Warning
389.09%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 7.70
2 Aug 2024
Exit
COCP NASDAQ · Cocrystal Pharma Inc
1.83
20% entry drawdown
-31.20%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 2.66
2 Aug 2024
Entry
CYH NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
4.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.16 · ROC 4.88% · RS 38.68
2 Aug 2024
Exit
ECVT NYSE · Ecovyst Inc
6.69
20% entry drawdown
-35.24%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 10.33
2 Aug 2024
Entry
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
13.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.67 · ROC 5.05% · RS 2.52
2 Aug 2024
Entry
EOSE NASDAQ · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc
1.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.66 · ROC 12.09% · RS 14.35
2 Aug 2024
Entry
ES NYSE · Eversource Energy
61.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.21 · ROC 0.70% · RS 4.52
2 Aug 2024
Entry
INO NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 12.97 · ROC 6.35% · RS 14.57
2 Aug 2024
Entry
LC NYSE · LendingClub Corp
10.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.79 · ROC 2.83% · RS 24.24
2 Aug 2024
Exit
LIVN NASDAQ · LivaNova PLC
46.98
20% entry drawdown
-24.35%
Entry 10 May 2024 62.10
2 Aug 2024
Entry
MCHX NASDAQ · Marchex Inc
1.89
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 59.34 · ROC 2.17% · RS 20.47
2 Aug 2024
Exit
MMLP NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
3.79
Reversal Risk Warning
28.43%
Entry 10 May 2024 2.95