Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3631-3660 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Dec 2023
Exit
AHG NASDAQ · Akso Health Group ADR
0.78
20% entry drawdown
-24.27%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 1.03
8 Dec 2023
Entry
AKA NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
10.60
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 96.37 · ROC 12.42% · RS 7.42
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
12.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.70 · ROC 7.02% · RS 43.97
8 Dec 2023
Entry
AVAH NASDAQ · Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
2.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.30 · ROC 12.55% · RS 64.00
8 Dec 2023
Entry
BKU NYSE · BankUnited Inc
27.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.54 · ROC 5.31% · RS 4.90
8 Dec 2023
Exit
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
85.86
Reversal Risk Warning
38.98%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 61.78
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CBAN NYSE · Colony Bankcorp Inc.
10.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 63.03 · ROC 2.59% · RS 0.53
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CPF NYSE · Central Pacific Financial Corp
17.28
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.84 · ROC 3.10% · RS 0.14
8 Dec 2023
Entry
CXDO NASDAQ · Crexendo Inc
3.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.20 · ROC 11.69% · RS 45.15
8 Dec 2023
Entry
DAVA NYSE · Endava Ltd
69.54
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 73.09 · ROC 2.99% · RS 1.99
8 Dec 2023
Exit
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
2.81
Reversal Risk Warning
60.57%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 1.75
8 Dec 2023
Exit
LITS NASDAQ · Lite Strategy, Inc.
6.72
Reversal Risk Warning
23.19%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 5.46
8 Dec 2023
Entry
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
43.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.71 · ROC 10.83% · RS 26.19
8 Dec 2023
Entry
NMRK NASDAQ · Newmark Group Inc
8.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.85 · ROC 4.79% · RS 4.67
8 Dec 2023
Entry
USB NYSE · U.S. Bancorp
36.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.01 · ROC 3.05% · RS 0.49
8 Dec 2023
Entry
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
21.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.47 · ROC 5.85% · RS 9.44
8 Dec 2023
Entry
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
41.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.68 · ROC 2.06% · RS 4.74
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
2.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.89 · ROC 4.91% · RS 6.57
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
4.19
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.27 · ROC 12.02% · RS 44.98
1 Dec 2023
Exit
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
169.75
Reversal Risk Warning
314.53%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 40.95
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
3.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 22.62 · ROC 3.15% · RS 4.53
1 Dec 2023
Entry
FBK NYSE · FB Financial Corp
34.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.40 · ROC 2.22% · RS 1.29
1 Dec 2023
Entry
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
5.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.56 · ROC 12.45% · RS 54.93
1 Dec 2023
Entry
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
22.28
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 39.24 · ROC 4.24% · RS 0.27
1 Dec 2023
Exit
PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc
25.04
Reversal Risk Warning
45.84%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 17.17
1 Dec 2023
Exit
PSIX NASDAQ · Power Solutions International, Inc. Common Stock
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-21.23%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 3.25
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
4.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.88 · ROC 4.77% · RS 7.53
1 Dec 2023
Entry
STC NYSE · Stewart Information Services Corp
44.12
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 35.32 · ROC 1.64% · RS 1.63
1 Dec 2023
Exit
TISI NYSE · Team Inc
6.62
20% entry drawdown
-23.16%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 8.62
1 Dec 2023
Entry
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
4.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.23 · ROC 11.39% · RS 12.96