Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1741-1770 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 May 2025
Exit
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-41.18%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 2.02
2 May 2025
Exit
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
33.57
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 42.51
2 May 2025
Entry
TCI NYSE · Transcontinental Realty Investors
29.18
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 1.91 · ROC 0.13% · RS 1.69
25 Apr 2025
Exit
ADAG NASDAQ · Adagene Inc
1.42
20% entry drawdown
-24.47%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 1.88
25 Apr 2025
Entry
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
5.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.97 · ROC 6.22% · RS 26.07
25 Apr 2025
Entry
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
8.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.36 · ROC 1.11% · RS 13.17
25 Apr 2025
Exit
PTLO NASDAQ · Portillo's Inc
10.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.97%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 13.93
25 Apr 2025
Exit
REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc
2.68
20% entry drawdown
-28.53%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 3.75
25 Apr 2025
Entry
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
7.03
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 32.16 · ROC 0.36% · RS 11.50
25 Apr 2025
Entry
YHGJ NASDAQ · Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.
9.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.71 · ROC 1.48% · RS 11.34
25 Apr 2025
Exit
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
7.70
20% entry drawdown
-32.10%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 11.34
18 Apr 2025
Entry
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
0.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.71 · ROC 3.66% · RS 30.91
18 Apr 2025
Exit
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
100.00
20% entry drawdown
-29.58%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 142.00
18 Apr 2025
Exit
AIP NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
5.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 7.32
18 Apr 2025
Entry
BRTX NASDAQ · BioRestorative Therapies Inc
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 0.76 · ROC 0.52% · RS 14.79
18 Apr 2025
Entry
EQNR NYSE · Equinor ASA ADR
21.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 14.24 · ROC 0.01% · RS 2.45
18 Apr 2025
Exit
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
7.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 9.10
18 Apr 2025
Entry
KORE NYSE · KORE Group Holdings Inc
2.42
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 7.04 · ROC 0.00% · RS 3.91
18 Apr 2025
Exit
LU NYSE · Lufax Holding Ltd
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 2.96
18 Apr 2025
Exit
LUV NYSE · Southwest Airlines Company
24.14
20% entry drawdown
-23.25%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 31.46
18 Apr 2025
Entry
PGNY NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
21.44
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 46.57 · ROC 0.15% · RS 5.50
18 Apr 2025
Entry
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
2.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.92 · ROC 17.63% · RS 49.42
11 Apr 2025
Exit
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-21.70%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 4.65
11 Apr 2025
Entry
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
142.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.16 · ROC 3.55% · RS 41.08
11 Apr 2025
Exit
BRSP NYSE · Brightspire Capital Inc
3.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.12%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 4.91
11 Apr 2025
Exit
CCSI NASDAQ · Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc
19.17
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 24.09
11 Apr 2025
Exit
CHMI NYSE · Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-25.24%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 2.77
11 Apr 2025
Entry
ELVA NASDAQ · Electrovaya Inc.
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 5.66 · ROC 2.42% · RS 5.53
11 Apr 2025
Exit
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
14.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.71%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 19.06
11 Apr 2025
Exit
IBIO NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-47.37%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.28