Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2611-2640 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Sep 2024
Entry
MKTX NASDAQ · MarketAxess Holdings Inc
249.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.66 · ROC 0.93% · RS 0.95
13 Sep 2024
Exit
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
2.77
20% entry drawdown
-46.83%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 5.21
13 Sep 2024
Entry
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
69.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.16 · ROC 2.19% · RS 2.11
13 Sep 2024
Entry
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.79 · ROC 1.99% · RS 14.24
13 Sep 2024
Exit
SMMT NASDAQ · Summit Therapeutics PLC
31.93
Reversal Risk Warning
1152.16%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.55
13 Sep 2024
Exit
STC NYSE · Stewart Information Services Corp
71.66
Reversal Risk Warning
62.42%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 44.12
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TG NYSE · Tredegar Corporation
6.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.13 · ROC 3.43% · RS 6.52
13 Sep 2024
Entry
TKNO NASDAQ · Alpha Teknova Inc
4.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.92 · ROC 7.46% · RS 44.84
13 Sep 2024
Entry
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
38.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.09 · ROC 3.99% · RS 17.60
13 Sep 2024
Entry
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
18.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.68 · ROC 1.52% · RS 5.62
6 Sep 2024
Exit
AA NYSE · Alcoa Corp
28.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.38%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 35.63
6 Sep 2024
Entry
ATLN NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
6.35
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 73.64 · ROC 6.92% · RS 1.73
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
10.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.86 · ROC 0.58% · RS 2.26
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BIP NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP
27.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.55 · ROC 0.80% · RS 0.17
6 Sep 2024
Entry
BWB NASDAQ · Bridgewater Bancshares Inc
13.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 64.24 · ROC 1.10% · RS 10.14
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CCI NYSE · Crown Castle
104.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.20 · ROC 0.98% · RS 4.35
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CERS NASDAQ · Cerus Corporation
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.07 · ROC 1.57% · RS 2.28
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIA NYSE · Citizens Inc
3.13
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.20 · ROC 0.98% · RS 2.90
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
12.69
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.61 · ROC 1.51% · RS 2.77
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CIVB NASDAQ · Civista Bancshares Inc
15.69
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 28.06 · ROC 0.29% · RS 0.94
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CLX NYSE · The Clorox Company
153.83
Reversal Risk Warning
20.82%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 127.32
6 Sep 2024
Entry
CODX NASDAQ · Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock
40.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.89 · ROC 2.80% · RS 4.50
6 Sep 2024
Entry
COLB NASDAQ · Columbia Banking System Inc
21.56
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 68.62 · ROC 3.11% · RS 9.12
6 Sep 2024
Exit
CYH NYSE · Community Health Systems Inc
5.70
Reversal Risk Warning
14.23%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 4.99
6 Sep 2024
Entry
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
23.47
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 76.74 · ROC 2.06% · RS 9.96
6 Sep 2024
Entry
EBMT NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Montana Inc
14.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.91 · ROC 0.71% · RS 9.64
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GH NASDAQ · Guardant Health Inc
23.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.83%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 30.75
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
8.23
20% entry drawdown
-29.54%
Entry 3 May 2024 11.68
6 Sep 2024
Entry
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
7.24
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 65.38 · ROC 1.15% · RS 3.41
6 Sep 2024
Exit
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
7.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 9.65