Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2671-2700 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Aug 2024
Entry
TVTX NASDAQ · Travere Therapeutics Inc
9.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 17.16 · ROC 0.13% · RS 4.36
30 Aug 2024
Entry
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
2.78
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 21.54 · ROC 1.38% · RS 5.56
30 Aug 2024
Entry
WTBA NASDAQ · West Bancorporation
18.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 41.40 · ROC 0.47% · RS 0.93
30 Aug 2024
Entry
XGN NASDAQ · Exagen Inc
2.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.11 · ROC 8.34% · RS 35.79
23 Aug 2024
Entry
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
4.29
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.16 · ROC 0.11% · RS 5.87
23 Aug 2024
Entry
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
1.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.34 · ROC 0.41% · RS 5.10
23 Aug 2024
Entry
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
4.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.35 · ROC 2.13% · RS 16.23
23 Aug 2024
Exit
INO NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 9.49
23 Aug 2024
Exit
MREO NASDAQ · Mereo BioPharma Group PLC ADR
4.83
Reversal Risk Warning
302.50%
Entry 5 May 2023 1.20
23 Aug 2024
Exit
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
6.61
Reversal Risk Warning
53.44%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 4.31
23 Aug 2024
Exit
PNTG NASDAQ · Pennant Group Inc
34.96
Reversal Risk Warning
127.75%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 15.35
23 Aug 2024
Exit
PRG NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
45.84
Reversal Risk Warning
95.70%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 23.42
23 Aug 2024
Exit
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
21.50
Reversal Risk Warning
10.82%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 19.40
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SBCF NASDAQ · Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida
26.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.52 · ROC 0.06% · RS 0.60
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SHBI NASDAQ · Shore Bancshares Inc
13.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.02 · ROC 0.49% · RS 7.25
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SILA NYSE · Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
21.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.35 · ROC 1.99% · RS 2.69
23 Aug 2024
Entry
SWIM NASDAQ · Latham Group Inc
6.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.02 · ROC 12.22% · RS 82.77
23 Aug 2024
Entry
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
8.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.78 · ROC 1.31% · RS 0.21
23 Aug 2024
Exit
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
136.25
Reversal Risk Warning
155.87%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 53.25
23 Aug 2024
Exit
ZUMZ NASDAQ · Zumiez Inc
29.11
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 24.14
16 Aug 2024
Entry
ANGO NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
7.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.85 · ROC 2.50% · RS 1.18
16 Aug 2024
Entry
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
3.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.35 · ROC 1.36% · RS 11.26
16 Aug 2024
Entry
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
23.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.62 · ROC 2.42% · RS 1.26
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CDNA NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
33.00
Reversal Risk Warning
153.65%
Entry 31 May 2024 13.01
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
7.22
Reversal Risk Warning
15.89%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 6.23
16 Aug 2024
Entry
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
152.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.02 · ROC 1.11% · RS 4.13
16 Aug 2024
Exit
CSR NYSE · Centerspace
68.51
Reversal Risk Warning
16.75%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 58.68
16 Aug 2024
Entry
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
3.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.14 · ROC 4.10% · RS 16.12
16 Aug 2024
Entry
HIFS NASDAQ · Hingham Institution for Savings
233.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.20 · ROC 3.28% · RS 15.46
16 Aug 2024
Exit
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
11.98
20% entry drawdown
-36.88%
Entry 24 May 2024 18.98