Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21
Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001
Avg 1418.2/yr ·
118.2/mo ·
27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.3%
· Other 0.4%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ACCO
NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08
8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN
NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44
4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14
4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54
8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58
8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82
4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48
4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43
4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30
5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16
4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74
20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53
20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42
20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08
20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN
NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14
20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN
NYSE · Valens
1.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.62%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
TGT
NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
139.60
21.73%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN
NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
19.14
12.29%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX
NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
10.46
-11.88%
8
48.45
1.56%
4.35
TLYS
NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
3.96
-0.75%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
17 Jul 20264.30
4.30
New
Entry week
5
93.79
8.69%
0.15
TRSG
NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.55
-5.07%
5
29.47
3.05%
2.84
TUSK
NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV
NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.71
15.81%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD
NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.06
17.71%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO
NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
1.70
32.81%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI
NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
6.32
31.67%
7
62.80
2.94%
9.03
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
3.64
1.39%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH
NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
426.09
4.89%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
17 Jul 202622.16
22.16
New
Entry week
4
57.32
2.83%
2.64
UPS
NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
117.72
12.47%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD
NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
69.80
8.21%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC
NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
99.98
38.74%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLRS
NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
7.66
9.43%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU
NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
15.10
-16.30%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST
NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.68
1.86%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC
NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
27.23
3.87%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG
NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
3.80
-15.74%
4
82.90
5.14%
9.36
XFOR
NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
3.82
-6.83%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR
NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.02
2.47%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL
NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
43.25
-6.95%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER
NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.30
-8.18%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO
NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
16.48
32.48%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD
NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
53.98
13.52%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN
NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.90
46.32%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
29 Sep 2023
Entry
CINT
NYSE · Ci&T Inc
6.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 76.07 · ROC 1.76% · RS 0.28
29 Sep 2023
Exit
CNF
NYSE · CNFinance Holdings Ltd
37.80
Reversal Risk Warning
46.51%
Entry 5 May 2023
25.80
29 Sep 2023
Entry
CRGY
NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
11.22
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 30.12 · ROC 1.21% · RS 2.07
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ETON
NASDAQ · Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 55.09 · ROC 3.68% · RS 5.99
29 Sep 2023
Exit
GP
NASDAQ · GreenPower Motor Company Inc
31.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.03%
Entry 4 Aug 2023
40.40
29 Sep 2023
Entry
GSK
NYSE · GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR
32.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 66.32 · ROC 0.98% · RS 1.04
29 Sep 2023
Entry
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
3.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 95.82 · ROC 11.62% · RS 31.11
29 Sep 2023
Entry
HITI
NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
1.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 86.43 · ROC 3.95% · RS 14.27
29 Sep 2023
Entry
KINS
NASDAQ · Kingstone Companies Inc
1.77
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 59.31 · ROC 3.33% · RS 4.16
29 Sep 2023
Exit
KMPR
NYSE · Kemper Corporation
39.10
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
49.92
29 Sep 2023
Exit
NOMD
NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
13.65
20% entry drawdown
-20.89%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
17.25
29 Sep 2023
Exit
NTRA
NASDAQ · Natera Inc
44.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 31 Mar 2023
55.52
29 Sep 2023
Exit
PHAT
NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.37
20% entry drawdown
-20.17%
Entry 9 Jun 2023
12.99
29 Sep 2023
Exit
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 30 Jun 2023
1.91
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SKM
NYSE · SK Telecom Co Ltd ADR
19.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 49.86 · ROC 1.34% · RS 5.05
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SUIG
NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
3.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 65.26 · ROC 4.99% · RS 18.83
29 Sep 2023
Entry
TBLA
NASDAQ · Taboola
3.79
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 72.49 · ROC 0.21% · RS 14.34
29 Sep 2023
Exit
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
0.89
20% entry drawdown
-29.33%
Entry 8 Sep 2023
1.26
29 Sep 2023
Exit
UTZ
NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
12.79
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 7 Apr 2023
16.20
29 Sep 2023
Entry
WU
NYSE · Western Union Co
10.20
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 91.62 · ROC 0.22% · RS 3.83
22 Sep 2023
Entry
AEO
NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
13.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 36.60 · ROC 0.60% · RS 5.21
22 Sep 2023
Entry
AHG
NASDAQ · Akso Health Group ADR
1.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 84.23 · ROC 22.04% · RS 95.40
22 Sep 2023
Exit
AIP
NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
5.91
20% entry drawdown
-21.41%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
7.52
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ALRM
NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
61.46
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 73.08 · ROC 1.61% · RS 1.04
22 Sep 2023
Entry
BXMT
NYSE · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
16.69
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 73.14 · ROC 0.94% · RS 3.60
22 Sep 2023
Exit
CGEN
NASDAQ · Compugen
0.98
20% entry drawdown
-21.58%
Entry 14 Jul 2023
1.25
22 Sep 2023
Entry
DLO
NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
17.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 93.30 · ROC 4.25% · RS 3.75
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ESTC
NYSE · Elastic NV
79.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 70.18 · ROC 3.84% · RS 22.04
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FEDU
NYSE · Four Seasons Education Cayman
7.14
20% entry drawdown
-26.36%
Entry 18 Aug 2023
9.69
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FUBO
NYSE · Fubotv Inc
27.72
20% entry drawdown
-23.51%
Entry 8 Sep 2023
36.24