Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
12 Jun 202628.37
27.76
-2.15%
4
74.63
2.28%
1.70
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
10 Jul 202618.29
18.29
New Entry week
8
81.90
18.63%
12.34
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
6 Mar 20268.36
9.06
8.37%
4
46.86
1.71%
1.13
STRA NASDAQ · Strategic Education Inc
3 Apr 202683.05
84.18
1.37%
4
14.96
0.39%
0.94
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10 Oct 20251.84
6.64
260.87%
4
96.18
11.77%
39.24
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
10 Apr 2026165.02
134.06
-18.76%
7
33.93
0.23%
0.63
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
10 Jul 20268.22
8.22
New Entry week
7
32.21
3.23%
1.72
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
19 Jun 20266.70
8.16
21.79%
4
99.02
5.15%
12.25
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28 Nov 202528.64
33.74
17.81%
4
78.54
4.06%
5.35
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
5 Sep 202557.73
73.37
27.09%
4
66.42
1.09%
2.53
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
10 Oct 20257.46
17.55
135.25%
4
48.64
1.85%
10.66
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
6 Feb 202668.34
78.44
14.78%
5
41.90
1.77%
4.66
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
26 Jun 2026129.86
135.73
4.52%
8
47.29
2.25%
0.49
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
135.14
17.84%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
18.27
7.19%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
11.14
-6.15%
8
51.39
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
4.12
3.26%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.46
-10.44%
5
26.64
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.77
18.38%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.00
14.29%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
2.06
60.94%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
5.73
19.38%
7
63.21
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
4.06
13.09%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
424.62
4.53%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
112.47
7.45%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
67.96
5.36%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
98.31
36.42%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLN NYSE · Valens
12 Jun 20262.21
2.08
-5.88%
6
78.89
8.11%
2.03
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1951-1980 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Mar 2025
Entry
PTLO NASDAQ · Portillo's Inc
13.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.54 · ROC 4.94% · RS 16.52
7 Mar 2025
Exit
REE NASDAQ · Ree Automotive Holding Inc
5.96
20% entry drawdown
-27.89%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 8.27
7 Mar 2025
Entry
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.88 · ROC 3.21% · RS 18.40
7 Mar 2025
Exit
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.65%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 2.47
7 Mar 2025
Entry
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
16.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.14 · ROC 1.58% · RS 6.27
7 Mar 2025
Exit
SNBR NASDAQ · Sleep Number Corp
7.57
20% entry drawdown
-53.62%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 16.32
7 Mar 2025
Exit
TW NASDAQ · Tradeweb Markets Inc
132.51
Reversal Risk Warning
96.28%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 67.51
7 Mar 2025
Exit
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
1.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.94%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 1.88
7 Mar 2025
Exit
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
19.05
20% entry drawdown
-26.87%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 26.05
7 Mar 2025
Entry
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
5.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.13 · ROC 8.30% · RS 48.36
28 Feb 2025
Exit
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
4.24
20% entry drawdown
-26.77%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 5.79
28 Feb 2025
Entry
ALOY NASDAQ · REalloys Inc.
3.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.79 · ROC 4.00% · RS 10.08
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ARBE NASDAQ · Arbe Robotics Ltd
1.85
20% entry drawdown
-27.73%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 2.56
28 Feb 2025
Entry
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
7.00
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 67.42 · ROC 0.28% · RS 2.90
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ATAI NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
1.72
20% entry drawdown
-21.10%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 2.18
28 Feb 2025
Exit
BAOS NASDAQ · Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd
2.58
20% entry drawdown
-22.99%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 3.35
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
43.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.35%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 55.76
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CRGO NASDAQ · Freightos Limited Ordinary shares
2.85
20% entry drawdown
-28.75%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 4.00
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
20.99
20% entry drawdown
-28.31%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 29.28
28 Feb 2025
Exit
DCGO NASDAQ · DocGo Inc
3.09
20% entry drawdown
-27.29%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 4.25
28 Feb 2025
Exit
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
3.39
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 4.27
28 Feb 2025
Entry
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 23.09 · ROC 1.05% · RS 1.20
28 Feb 2025
Exit
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
17.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.18%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 22.66
28 Feb 2025
Exit
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
1.39
20% entry drawdown
-28.72%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.95
28 Feb 2025
Entry
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
10.78
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.96 · ROC 2.85% · RS 9.37
28 Feb 2025
Entry
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
26.09
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 14.92 · ROC 0.45% · RS 2.28
28 Feb 2025
Exit
LPSN NASDAQ · LivePerson Inc
16.20
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 21.60
28 Feb 2025
Entry
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
47.66
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 37.93 · ROC 0.43% · RS 1.63
28 Feb 2025
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-22.05%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.95
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
0.98
20% entry drawdown
-29.69%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 1.40