Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
12 Jun 202628.37
27.76
-2.15%
4
74.63
2.28%
1.70
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
10 Jul 202618.29
18.29
New Entry week
8
81.90
18.63%
12.34
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
6 Mar 20268.36
9.06
8.37%
4
46.86
1.71%
1.13
STRA NASDAQ · Strategic Education Inc
3 Apr 202683.05
84.18
1.37%
4
14.96
0.39%
0.94
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10 Oct 20251.84
6.64
260.87%
4
96.18
11.77%
39.24
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
10 Apr 2026165.02
134.06
-18.76%
7
33.93
0.23%
0.63
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
10 Jul 20268.22
8.22
New Entry week
7
32.21
3.23%
1.72
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
19 Jun 20266.70
8.16
21.79%
4
99.02
5.15%
12.25
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28 Nov 202528.64
33.74
17.81%
4
78.54
4.06%
5.35
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
5 Sep 202557.73
73.37
27.09%
4
66.42
1.09%
2.53
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
10 Oct 20257.46
17.55
135.25%
4
48.64
1.85%
10.66
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
6 Feb 202668.34
78.44
14.78%
5
41.90
1.77%
4.66
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
26 Jun 2026129.86
135.73
4.52%
8
47.29
2.25%
0.49
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
135.14
17.84%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
18.27
7.19%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
11.14
-6.15%
8
51.39
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
4.12
3.26%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.46
-10.44%
5
26.64
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.77
18.38%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.00
14.29%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
2.06
60.94%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
5.73
19.38%
7
63.21
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
4.06
13.09%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
424.62
4.53%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
112.47
7.45%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
67.96
5.36%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
98.31
36.42%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLN NYSE · Valens
12 Jun 20262.21
2.08
-5.88%
6
78.89
8.11%
2.03
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2461-2490 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Oct 2024
Entry
EGBN NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Inc
25.49
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 75.27 · ROC 1.65% · RS 5.71
25 Oct 2024
Exit
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
3.31
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 4.30
25 Oct 2024
Exit
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
8.81
Reversal Risk Warning
134.31%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 3.76
25 Oct 2024
Exit
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
3.72
20% entry drawdown
-22.97%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 4.83
25 Oct 2024
Entry
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
1.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.67 · ROC 2.74% · RS 0.12
25 Oct 2024
Exit
LCFY NASDAQ · Locafy Ltd
4.83
20% entry drawdown
-28.76%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 6.78
25 Oct 2024
Exit
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
7.02
20% entry drawdown
-25.08%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 9.37
25 Oct 2024
Exit
NRIX NASDAQ · Nurix Therapeutics Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning
76.90%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 14.85
25 Oct 2024
Exit
RAIL NASDAQ · Freightcar America Inc
14.57
Reversal Risk Warning
288.53%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 3.75
25 Oct 2024
Entry
REE NASDAQ · Ree Automotive Holding Inc
8.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.62 · ROC 5.16% · RS 48.54
25 Oct 2024
Entry
RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
14.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.83 · ROC 0.71% · RS 4.89
25 Oct 2024
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
17.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.30 · ROC 11.23% · RS 107.54
25 Oct 2024
Exit
TNGX NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
5.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.89%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 7.69
25 Oct 2024
Entry
VICR NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
46.32
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 41.71 · ROC 2.01% · RS 8.61
18 Oct 2024
Exit
AKR NYSE · Acadia Realty Trust
23.35
Reversal Risk Warning
62.69%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 14.35
18 Oct 2024
Exit
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
164.86
Reversal Risk Warning
51.31%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 108.95
18 Oct 2024
Entry
AZ NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
4.63
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 81.62 · ROC 5.34% · RS 82.93
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11.93
Reversal Risk Warning
12.48%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 10.61
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
5.45
Reversal Risk Warning
27.25%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 4.29
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BVS NASDAQ · Bioventus Inc
12.95
Reversal Risk Warning
104.58%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 6.33
18 Oct 2024
Entry
BW NYSE · Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
2.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.53 · ROC 10.26% · RS 54.53
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BXP NYSE · BXP, Inc.
83.23
Reversal Risk Warning
33.16%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 62.50
18 Oct 2024
Entry
BYFC NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
7.18
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 38.21 · ROC 1.88% · RS 6.56
18 Oct 2024
Exit
CCI NYSE · Crown Castle
102.83
Reversal Risk Warning
-1.95%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 104.87
18 Oct 2024
Exit
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
31.24
Reversal Risk Warning
7.82%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 28.97
18 Oct 2024
Exit
DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
17.67
Reversal Risk Warning
39.54%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 12.66
18 Oct 2024
Exit
GEVO NASDAQ · Gevo Inc
3.13
Reversal Risk Warning
51.94%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 2.06
18 Oct 2024
Exit
HEPS NASDAQ · D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading ADR
3.51
Reversal Risk Warning
222.02%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 1.09
18 Oct 2024
Entry
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
3.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 13.17 · ROC 0.07% · RS 2.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
HIW NYSE · Highwoods Properties Inc
32.09
Reversal Risk Warning
51.83%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 21.14