Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
57.95
23.26%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.63
9.58%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
6.98
39.60%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
211.97
7.57%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
44.60
-2.26%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.63
75.33%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
3 Jul 202695.40
93.93
-1.54%
Buy
0.06
-
-
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.51
24.79%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
26.22
47.55%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
15 May 20263.32
2.71
-18.37%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.92
-2.57%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
3 Jul 20269.00
8.83
-1.89%
Buy
0.91
-
-
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
31.28
86.52%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.39
27.13%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
8.41
40.17%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.43
8.93%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.42
18.50%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
6.67
12.67%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
19.96
26.17%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
241.92
8.18%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
39.89
107.49%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
5.16
2.99%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
6.34
-6.90%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
11.71
-10.47%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.78
28.45%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
14.39
48.05%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.87
9.81%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
14.38
0.69%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
114.85
111.78%
Buy
1.10
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1171-1200 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 May 2026
Entry
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
9.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
15 May 2026
Exit
ATYR NASDAQ · aTyr Pharma, Inc.
0.50
20% entry drawdown
-46.74%
Entry 8 May 2026 0.95
15 May 2026
Exit
BEN NYSE · Franklin Resources Inc
31.52
Reversal Risk Warning
48.74%
Entry 16 May 2025 21.19
15 May 2026
Exit
BUD NYSE · Anheuser Busch Inbev NV ADR
80.92
Reversal Risk Warning
39.81%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 57.88
15 May 2026
Exit
BW NYSE · Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
21.32
Reversal Risk Warning
289.48%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 5.47
15 May 2026
Exit
BYFC NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
10.40
Reversal Risk Warning
102.29%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 5.14
15 May 2026
Entry
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
15 May 2026
Exit
CCG NASDAQ · Cheche Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
0.64
20% entry drawdown
-20.01%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 0.80
15 May 2026
Exit
CGTL NASDAQ · Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
7.50
20% entry drawdown
-58.69%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 18.15
15 May 2026
Exit
CIEN NYSE · Ciena Corp
554.46
Reversal Risk Warning
290.66%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 141.93
15 May 2026
Exit
CMI NYSE · Cummins Inc
694.36
Reversal Risk Warning
119.48%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 316.37
15 May 2026
Exit
CNDT NASDAQ · Conduent Inc
1.39
20% entry drawdown
-20.57%
Entry 1 May 2026 1.75
15 May 2026
Exit
COCP NASDAQ · Cocrystal Pharma Inc
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 1.51
15 May 2026
Exit
CODX NASDAQ · Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock
1.29
20% entry drawdown
-49.21%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.53
15 May 2026
Exit
COHR NYSE · Coherent Inc
382.45
Reversal Risk Warning
371.00%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 81.20
15 May 2026
Exit
CSCO NASDAQ · Cisco Systems Inc
118.21
Reversal Risk Warning
120.45%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 53.62
15 May 2026
Exit
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
13.87
20% entry drawdown
-44.36%
Entry 1 May 2026 24.93
15 May 2026
Exit
CVEO NYSE · Civeo Corp
34.01
Reversal Risk Warning
74.23%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 19.52
15 May 2026
Exit
CVKD NASDAQ · Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
5.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 1 May 2026 6.35
15 May 2026
Entry
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
25.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
15 May 2026
Exit
DOCS NYSE · Doximity Inc
18.97
20% entry drawdown
-26.98%
Entry 8 May 2026 25.98
15 May 2026
Exit
DRTS NASDAQ · Alpha Tau Medical Ltd
10.36
Reversal Risk Warning
187.78%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.60
15 May 2026
Exit
EBAY NASDAQ · eBay Inc
115.80
Reversal Risk Warning
138.10%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 48.64
15 May 2026
Exit
ECAT NYSE · BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust
14.81
Reversal Risk Warning
59.36%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.29
15 May 2026
Exit
ENB NYSE · Enbridge Inc
55.31
Reversal Risk Warning
88.83%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 29.29
15 May 2026
Exit
ESOA NASDAQ · Energy Services Of America Corp
18.39
Reversal Risk Warning
217.54%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 5.79
15 May 2026
Exit
EU NASDAQ · enCore Energy Corp. Common Shares
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-24.38%
Entry 30 May 2025 2.01
15 May 2026
Exit
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
1.76
20% entry drawdown
-26.57%
Entry 8 May 2026 2.39
15 May 2026
Entry
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
6.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
15 May 2026
Exit
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
49.35
20% entry drawdown
-22.19%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 63.42