Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-300 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DIN NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
34.09
49.39%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
23.01
-7.96%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.09
0.99%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
14.49
73.00%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.20
107.92%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
120.45
67.59%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.70
3.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
27.79
25.71%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
23.11
58.83%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.01
0.00%
Buy
1.45
-
-
DNUT NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.15
-5.41%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
50.44
5.30%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.84
10.60%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
13.61
-1.16%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
34.51
24.49%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
68.18
-6.77%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.25
37.42%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
41.62
10.66%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
7.29
11.81%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
19 Jun 2026125.56
122.24
-2.64%
Buy
1.06
-
-
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
10.56
-6.63%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
71.54
5.88%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.63
1.03%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.19
26.53%
Buy
0.23
-
-
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
24.44
145.63%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
6.19
-0.96%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
2.60
11.11%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.95
1.27%
Buy
0.22
-
-
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.24
3.62%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
79.31
9.39%
Buy
0.39
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 5851-5880 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Mar 2025
Exit
EVER NASDAQ · EverQuote Inc Class A
28.71
Reversal Risk Warning
256.20%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 8.06
21 Mar 2025
Entry
EYE NASDAQ · National Vision Holdings Inc
13.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
21 Mar 2025
Entry
FLUX NASDAQ · Flux Power Holdings Inc
1.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
21 Mar 2025
Entry
FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
21 Mar 2025
Entry
GALT NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
1.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
21 Mar 2025
Entry
HERE NASDAQ · Here Group Limited
2.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
21 Mar 2025
Exit
HESM NYSE · Hess Midstream Partners LP
38.66
Reversal Risk Warning
54.91%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 24.95
21 Mar 2025
Entry
IRD NASDAQ · Opus Genetics, Inc.
1.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
21 Mar 2025
Entry
JBDI NASDAQ · JBDI Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
1.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
21 Mar 2025
Exit
NATR NASDAQ · Natures Sunshine Products Inc
12.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.56%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 16.00
21 Mar 2025
Entry
NEM NYSE · Newmont Goldcorp Corp
46.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
21 Mar 2025
Exit
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.08
20% entry drawdown
-22.68%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 2.69
21 Mar 2025
Exit
ONT NYSE · Onterris
14.63
20% entry drawdown
-24.70%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 19.43
21 Mar 2025
Exit
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
1.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 1.30
21 Mar 2025
Exit
SGU NYSE · Star Gas Partners LP
12.37
Reversal Risk Warning
30.05%
Entry 10 May 2024 9.51
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
12.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SNOA NASDAQ · Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SSP NASDAQ · E. W. Scripps Co Class A
3.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
21 Mar 2025
Exit
TRVG NASDAQ · Trivago NV
5.40
Reversal Risk Warning
117.74%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 2.48
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ACR NYSE · Acres Commercial Realty Corp
22.90
Reversal Risk Warning
129.92%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 9.96
14 Mar 2025
Entry
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
11.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
14 Mar 2025
Exit
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
8.28
20% entry drawdown
-25.01%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 11.04
14 Mar 2025
Entry
ANSC NASDAQ · Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
10.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.57
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ARWR NASDAQ · Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc
15.36
20% entry drawdown
-26.01%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 20.76
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ASMB NASDAQ · Assembly Biosciences Inc
10.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 13.77
14 Mar 2025
Entry
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
6.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
14 Mar 2025
Entry
AU NYSE · AngloGold Ashanti plc
30.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
14 Mar 2025
Entry
AXIA NYSE · AXIA Energia
5.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
14 Mar 2025
Entry
BKD NYSE · Brookdale Senior Living Inc
6.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18