Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
8.76
34.36%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
12 Jun 2026122.63
124.76
1.74%
Buy
1.00
-
-
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.67
3.18%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
74.96
10.94%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.62
-0.16%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.06
12.71%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
23.42
135.38%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
6.60
5.52%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
3.26
39.32%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.97
3.39%
Buy
0.22
-
-
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
48.55
2.17%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
77.29
6.61%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.03
6.33%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
2.05
10.22%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
10.36
5.71%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIX NYSE · Edison International
2 May 202551.76
75.20
45.28%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
82.66
25.31%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
3 Jul 20260.56
0.57
0.99%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
3.85
75.80%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
76.75
13.82%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
63.47
7.53%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.96
33.20%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
416.23
20.60%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
67.57
16.28%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.91
14.12%
Buy
1.92
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
25.75
6.85%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.47
1.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
13.70
83.40%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
6.61
24.72%
Buy
0.10
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1831-1860 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CIG-C NYSE · Energy of Minas Gerais Co DRC
3.82
Reversal Risk Warning
103.66%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 1.88
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CNXC NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation
25.77
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 32.40
10 Apr 2026
Exit
COSO NYSE · CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.
25.55
Reversal Risk Warning
60.32%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 15.94
10 Apr 2026
Entry
CTSO NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
0.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
10 Apr 2026
Exit
DBD NYSE · Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
84.78
Reversal Risk Warning
90.35%
Entry 17 May 2024 44.54
10 Apr 2026
Entry
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
10 Apr 2026
Entry
DUO NASDAQ · Fangdd Network Group Ltd
1.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ECVT NYSE · Ecovyst Inc
13.93
Reversal Risk Warning
90.82%
Entry 23 May 2025 7.30
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ELPC NYSE · Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL
13.14
Reversal Risk Warning
115.98%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 6.08
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
31.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 39.46
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ETN NYSE · Eaton Corporation PLC
401.90
Reversal Risk Warning
78.12%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 225.64
10 Apr 2026
Exit
EVRG NASDAQ · Evergy, Inc.
82.89
Reversal Risk Warning
77.79%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 46.62
10 Apr 2026
Entry
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
10 Apr 2026
Exit
FCBC NASDAQ · First Community Bancshares Inc
42.78
Reversal Risk Warning
51.00%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 28.33
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
9.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
10 Apr 2026
Exit
FTI NYSE · TechnipFMC PLC
73.74
Reversal Risk Warning
177.39%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 26.58
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
19.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
1.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GEF-B NYSE · Greif Inc
89.30
Reversal Risk Warning
52.29%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 58.64
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GIFT NASDAQ · RDE, Inc.
1.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GLRE NASDAQ · Greenlight Capital Re Ltd
18.47
Reversal Risk Warning
64.03%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 11.26
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GURE NASDAQ · Gulf Resources, Inc. (NV) Common Stock
5.14
20% entry drawdown
-33.68%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 7.75
10 Apr 2026
Entry
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
22.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
10 Apr 2026
Exit
IGIC NASDAQ · International General Insurance Holdings Ltd
25.75
Reversal Risk Warning
149.69%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 10.31
10 Apr 2026
Exit
INTS NASDAQ · Intensity Therapeutics, Inc. Common stock
5.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.43%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 7.00
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ITT NYSE · ITT Inc
216.46
Reversal Risk Warning
114.66%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 100.84
10 Apr 2026
Exit
JOUT NASDAQ · Johnson Outdoors Inc
51.28
Reversal Risk Warning
100.27%
Entry 23 May 2025 25.60
10 Apr 2026
Exit
KOD NASDAQ · Kodiak Sciences Inc
43.11
Reversal Risk Warning
307.85%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 10.57