Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
53.00
3.21%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
5.69
-12.60%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
22.32
-5.18%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
11.36
16.94%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.57
1.52%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
140.89
-1.51%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.17
138.43%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.30
-13.09%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.33
-13.09%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.85
8.81%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.68
14.68%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.50
-1.45%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.43
-15.84%
Buy
0.69
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.86
16.98%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
82.74
-2.14%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.11
19.84%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
3.07
20.39%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.93
-19.82%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.14
-8.21%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
31 Jul 202668.02
68.02
New Entry week
Buy
0.24
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.52
-16.11%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
3.90
-17.37%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.93
29.53%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.34
30.72%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.87
4.99%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.76
-3.36%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
73.15
9.08%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.74
44.36%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
35.75
-3.24%
Buy
0.29
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8911-8940 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jan 2024
Entry
DMAC NASDAQ · DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc
2.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ENTX NASDAQ · Entera Bio Ltd
1.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
12 Jan 2024
Entry
EUDA NASDAQ · EUDA Health Holdings Limited
30.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
12 Jan 2024
Exit
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
1.92
20% entry drawdown
-30.18%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.75
12 Jan 2024
Entry
FFNW NASDAQ · First Financial Northwest Inc
10.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.13
12 Jan 2024
Exit
FHTX NASDAQ · Foghorn Therapeutics Inc
5.26
20% entry drawdown
-21.73%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 6.72
12 Jan 2024
Entry
FLXS NASDAQ · Flexsteel Industries Inc
22.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jan 2024
Exit
GSIT NASDAQ · GSI Technology Inc
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-23.73%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.95
12 Jan 2024
Entry
HERE NASDAQ · Here Group Limited
2.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
12 Jan 2024
Entry
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
1.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
12 Jan 2024
Entry
HLN NYSE · Haleon plc
8.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
12 Jan 2024
Entry
KRYS NASDAQ · Krystal Biotech Inc
128.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
12 Jan 2024
Entry
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
2.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
12 Jan 2024
Entry
MDIA NASDAQ · Mediaco Holding Inc
0.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
12 Jan 2024
Entry
META NASDAQ · Meta Platforms Inc.
371.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
12 Jan 2024
Exit
MIRM NASDAQ · Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc
27.29
20% entry drawdown
-21.87%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 34.93
12 Jan 2024
Entry
MLYS NASDAQ · Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
9.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
12 Jan 2024
Exit
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
5.86
20% entry drawdown
-30.32%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 8.41
12 Jan 2024
Entry
NU NYSE · Nu Holdings Ltd
9.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
12 Jan 2024
Entry
OGS NYSE · One Gas Inc
55.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
12 Jan 2024
Entry
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
0.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
12 Jan 2024
Entry
PENG NASDAQ · Penguin Solutions, Inc.
21.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
12 Jan 2024
Entry
PGEN NASDAQ · Precigen Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
12 Jan 2024
Exit
PRE NASDAQ · Prenetics Global Ltd
4.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.70%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 5.91
12 Jan 2024
Exit
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
5.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.78%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 6.84
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
9.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
10.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
18.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
8.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
12 Jan 2024
Entry
STE NYSE · STERIS plc
217.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04