Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
GIS
NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
36.03
-2.48%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW
NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.09
0.90%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE
NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
36.21
8.25%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GMAB
NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
28.87
36.63%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS
NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.66
-16.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA
NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.59
54.37%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX
NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
22.90
1.00%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO
NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.01
-5.95%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GPAT
NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
10.91
5.51%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC
NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
124.21
7.06%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK
NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
11.02
9.44%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN
NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
80.92
10.86%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE
NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
16.95
198.94%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB
NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.31
-6.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GREE
NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
2.45
66.67%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS
NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.58
7.62%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT
NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.85
-2.92%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV
NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.07
-15.75%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN
NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
25.81
75.94%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY
NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
61.50
5.13%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG
NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.38
-2.82%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD
NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
8.66
-11.23%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD
NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
58.75
25.35%
Buy
0.53
-
-
GSM
NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.36
-15.17%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF
NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.16
0.30%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTERA
NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.35
0.93%
Buy
2.66
-
-
GTIM
NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.39
0.00%
Buy
1.53
-
-
GTLB
NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
31.28
32.21%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN
NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
3.96
17.17%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS
NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.77
-9.06%
Buy
0.45
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
24 May 2024
Entry
POWL
NASDAQ · Powell Industries Inc
66.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
24 May 2024
Exit
PRCH
NASDAQ · Porch Group Inc
2.29
20% entry drawdown
-27.53%
Entry 16 Feb 2024
3.16
24 May 2024
Entry
PRTH
NASDAQ · Priority Technology Holdings Inc
4.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.98
24 May 2024
Exit
RSKD
NYSE · Riskified Ltd
6.26
Reversal Risk Warning
39.11%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
4.50
24 May 2024
Entry
RWT
NYSE · Redwood Trust Inc
4.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.27
24 May 2024
Entry
SKIL
NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
9.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
24 May 2024
Entry
SMR
NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
7.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.00
24 May 2024
Entry
TKLF
NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
3.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.78
24 May 2024
Exit
TNDM
NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
51.73
Reversal Risk Warning
115.45%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
24.01
24 May 2024
Entry
TPC
NYSE · Tutor Perini Corporation
21.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.57
24 May 2024
Exit
UXIN
NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
2.46
20% entry drawdown
-22.88%
Entry 17 May 2024
3.19
24 May 2024
Entry
VABK
NASDAQ · Virginia National Bankshares Corp
28.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.31
24 May 2024
Entry
VRAX
NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
22.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.68
24 May 2024
Entry
XEL
NASDAQ · Xcel Energy Inc
49.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
24 May 2024
Exit
YSG
NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.40
20% entry drawdown
-29.75%
Entry 26 Apr 2024
4.84
24 May 2024
Entry
ZLAB
NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
17.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.34
17 May 2024
Exit
AERT
NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
11.60
20% entry drawdown
-41.06%
Entry 22 Mar 2024
19.68
17 May 2024
Exit
AKA
NYSE · AKA Brands Holding Corp
26.17
Reversal Risk Warning
234.23%
Entry 20 Oct 2023
7.83
17 May 2024
Entry
AOSL
NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
27.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.52
17 May 2024
Exit
ASC
NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
20.09
Reversal Risk Warning
75.55%
Entry 11 Aug 2023
11.44
17 May 2024
Exit
ATLN
NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
3.11
20% entry drawdown
-22.25%
Entry 10 May 2024
4.00
17 May 2024
Entry
BCRX
NASDAQ · BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc
6.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.06
17 May 2024
Entry
BNGO
NASDAQ · Bionano Genomics Inc
68.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.45
17 May 2024
Exit
CADL
NASDAQ · Candel Therapeutics Inc
11.50
Reversal Risk Warning
758.21%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
1.34
17 May 2024
Entry
CDNA
NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
15.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.48
17 May 2024
Entry
CVAC
NASDAQ · CureVac NV
3.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.51
17 May 2024
Entry
DBD
NYSE · Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
44.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.41
17 May 2024
Entry
DOGZ
NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
8.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.40
17 May 2024
Entry
ENVX
NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
8.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
17 May 2024
Entry
ETR
NYSE · Entergy Corporation
53.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.88