Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
487.74
Total Return
387.74%
CAGR
57.51% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+35.40%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.70 Sortino 5.25
Current Holdings
1105
Transactions
10675 Avg 3060.4/yr · 255.0/mo · 58.9/wk
Exit Mix
4785 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.5% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
47
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24 MD 0.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
2.76 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
2.17 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.97 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
98.51 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
6.48 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
10.12 MD 1.89 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.53 MD 0.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
0.94 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
0.56 MD 0.28 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
5.64 MD 0.68 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
2.90 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
29.63 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
5.61 MD 0.63 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
51.35 MD 0.87 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
5.96 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
37.57 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
6.24 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
1.09 MD 1.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNSL NYSE · Kinsale Capital Group Inc
354.85 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
0.91 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
6.92 MD 0.38 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
178.54 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
100.77 MD 0.01 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
44.09 MD 0.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
9.79 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.76 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.28 MD 1.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
17.79 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
2.17 MD 0.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.19 MD 0.43 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
1.04 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.06 MD 1.64 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
8.27 MD 0.58 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
23.46 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
177.99 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3.47 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
87.47 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
147.33 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
22
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11 Reversal Risk Warning · 137.83%
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.60%
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.30%
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35 20% entry drawdown · -34.06%
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.01%
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77 20% entry drawdown · -20.46%
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45 20% entry drawdown · -30.18%
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
5.36 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
FA NASDAQ · First Advantage Corp
20.53 Reversal Risk Warning · 58.29%
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
34.66 Reversal Risk Warning · 41.97%
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
188.68 Reversal Risk Warning · 117.05%
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -20.55%
MB NASDAQ · MasterBeef Group Ordinary Shares
4.51 20% entry drawdown · -26.31%
MOVE NASDAQ · Movano Inc
17.37 20% entry drawdown · -24.12%
NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc
3.38 20% entry drawdown · -32.94%
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.16 20% entry drawdown · -30.12%
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.34 20% entry drawdown · -25.56%
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
27.22 20% entry drawdown · -23.04%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
7.12 Reversal Risk Warning · 38.79%
USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc
2.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 63.16%
VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -34.21%
WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares
4.29 20% entry drawdown · -23.38%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 421-450 of 1105 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.16
1.66%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.42
-11.53%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.25
-1.57%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
25.58
74.37%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
65.58
12.10%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.47
3.52%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
9.58
-1.80%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
52.69
12.42%
Buy
0.52
-
-
GSM NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.27
-17.45%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.16
0.30%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
5 Jun 20260.65
0.55
-14.76%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GTERA NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.31
0.54%
Buy
2.66
-
-
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.46
5.04%
Buy
1.50
-
-
GTLB NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
32.07
35.55%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
4.11
21.61%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.76
-10.35%
Buy
0.45
-
-
HCHL NASDAQ · Happy City Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary shares
15 May 20263.44
3.96
15.12%
Buy
0.48
-
-
HDB NYSE · HDFC Bank Limited ADR
26 Jun 202625.74
25.77
0.12%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HE NYSE · Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc
21 Feb 202510.76
13.63
26.67%
Buy
0.30
-
-
HELE NASDAQ · Helen of Troy Ltd
24 Apr 202623.62
28.14
19.14%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
3 Jul 20266.24
6.24
New Entry week
Buy
0.51
-
-
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
23 Jan 20261.37
1.22
-10.95%
Buy
0.23
-
-
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
26 Jun 20260.88
0.81
-6.98%
Buy
0.63
-
-
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
1 May 20262.43
3.24
33.33%
Buy
0.15
-
-
HKD NYSE · AMTD Digital Inc.
27 Feb 20261.75
1.59
-9.14%
Buy
0.29
-
-
HLMN NASDAQ · Hillman Solutions Corp
18 Jul 20257.82
8.12
3.84%
Buy
0.43
-
-
HLX NYSE · Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc
11 Jul 20256.55
8.54
30.38%
Buy
0.35
-
-
HMR NASDAQ · Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Common Stock
9 Jan 20260.91
1.20
31.78%
Buy
0.10
-
-
HOFT NASDAQ · Hooker Furniture Corporation
15 Aug 20259.51
16.82
76.81%
Buy
0.36
-
-
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
10 Apr 202622.62
24.96
10.35%
Buy
0.39
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 211-240 of 10675
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LNN NYSE · Lindsay Corporation
124.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LQDA NASDAQ · Liquidia Technologies Inc
78.17
Reversal Risk Warning
444.36%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 14.36
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LSH NASDAQ · Lakeside Holding Limited Common Stock
0.48
20% entry drawdown
-22.04%
Entry 8 May 2026 0.62
26 Jun 2026
Exit
LTH NYSE · Life Time Group Holdings Inc
41.01
Reversal Risk Warning
164.24%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 15.52
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MAMA NASDAQ · Mama's Creations Inc.
19.94
Reversal Risk Warning
319.79%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
52.31
Reversal Risk Warning
335.92%
Entry 2 May 2025 12.00
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
3.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MENS NASDAQ · Jyong Biotech Ltd. Ordinary Shares
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MGTX NASDAQ · MeiraGTx Holdings PLC
12.11
Reversal Risk Warning
186.29%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 4.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MIRM NASDAQ · Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc
123.77
Reversal Risk Warning
262.01%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 34.19
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MITK NASDAQ · Mitek Systems Inc
19.29
Reversal Risk Warning
104.13%
Entry 23 May 2025 9.45
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MMSI NASDAQ · Merit Medical Systems Inc
71.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MNY NASDAQ · MoneyHero Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
0.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.43%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.07
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
30.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MSGE NYSE · Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp
80.30
Reversal Risk Warning
118.15%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 36.81
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MYE NYSE · Myers Industries Inc
32.14
Reversal Risk Warning
176.45%
Entry 23 May 2025 11.63
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
2.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
28.24
Reversal Risk Warning
226.47%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 8.65
26 Jun 2026
Entry
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NTRA NASDAQ · Natera Inc
261.91
Reversal Risk Warning
192.93%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 89.41
26 Jun 2026
Entry
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
6828.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NWPX NASDAQ · Northwest Pipe Company
148.01
Reversal Risk Warning
234.18%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 44.29
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ODC NYSE · Oil-Dri Corporation Of America
101.42
Reversal Risk Warning
184.42%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 35.66
26 Jun 2026
Exit
OPLN NYSE · OPENLANE, Inc.
42.90
Reversal Risk Warning
183.36%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 15.14
26 Jun 2026
Entry
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ORBS NASDAQ · Eightco Holdings Inc.
0.74
20% entry drawdown
-22.09%
Entry 22 May 2026 0.94
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ORKA NASDAQ · Oruka Therapeutics, Inc.
90.60
Reversal Risk Warning
269.95%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 24.49
26 Jun 2026
Exit
OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc
35.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 44.89
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PGEN NASDAQ · Precigen Inc
5.86
Reversal Risk Warning
388.33%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 1.20