Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 511-540 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
16 Jan 20269.93
8.29
-16.52%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KBR NYSE · KBR Inc
26 Jun 202633.37
36.61
9.71%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KCHV NASDAQ · Kochav Defense Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
27 Feb 202610.22
10.39
1.66%
Buy
0.56
-
-
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
22 May 202612.29
13.55
10.25%
Buy
0.22
-
-
KDP NASDAQ · Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
1 May 202628.89
31.12
7.72%
Buy
0.12
-
-
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
8 May 20269.79
14.84
51.52%
Buy
0.13
-
-
KFII NASDAQ · K&F Growth Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary shares
10 Oct 202510.25
10.62
3.61%
Buy
0.01
-
-
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
21 Nov 202528.80
56.77
97.12%
Buy
0.14
-
-
KGEI NASDAQ · Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock
20 Feb 20263.94
5.19
31.73%
Buy
0.88
-
-
KHC NASDAQ · Kraft Heinz Co
27 Mar 202621.66
25.85
19.36%
Buy
0.02
-
-
KIDS NASDAQ · Orthopediatrics Corp
12 Dec 202517.60
20.19
14.72%
Buy
0.06
-
-
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8 Aug 20252.67
3.51
31.46%
Buy
0.16
-
-
KLTR NASDAQ · Kaltura Inc
15 May 20261.46
1.37
-6.16%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KMB NASDAQ · Kimberly-Clark Corporation
13 Feb 2026106.71
109.31
2.44%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
26 Jun 202626.81
28.38
5.86%
Buy
0.04
-
-
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
9 Jan 202645.23
57.26
26.60%
Buy
0.25
-
-
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
24 Jul 20260.65
0.67
3.29%
Buy
0.31
-
-
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
19 Dec 202573.46
73.17
-0.39%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KNTK NYSE · Kinetik Holdings Inc
16 Jan 202637.27
50.57
35.70%
Buy
0.20
-
-
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
23 May 202529.88
49.02
64.06%
Buy
0.41
-
-
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
13 Feb 20261.68
2.69
60.12%
Buy
1.03
-
-
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
1 May 20264.36
3.68
-15.60%
Buy
0.32
-
-
KOYN NASDAQ · CSLM Digital Asset Acquisition Corp III, Ltd
10 Apr 202610.07
10.17
0.99%
Buy
1.14
-
-
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
20 Mar 20267.25
6.38
-12.00%
Buy
0.24
-
-
KPRX NASDAQ · Kiora Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.47
2.56
3.64%
Buy
0.44
-
-
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
22 May 20266.39
6.96
8.98%
Buy
0.03
-
-
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
17 Apr 202616.37
15.22
-7.03%
Buy
0.84
-
-
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
9 Jan 20265.24
6.02
14.85%
Buy
0.26
-
-
KRSP NYSE · Rice Acquisition Corporation 3
19 Jun 202610.51
10.52
0.05%
Buy
1.09
-
-
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
23 May 20253.07
3.94
28.34%
Buy
0.16
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9121-9150 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Dec 2023
Entry
GNK NYSE · Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd
13.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
22 Dec 2023
Entry
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
7.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
22 Dec 2023
Exit
GOTU NYSE · Gaotu Techedu Inc DRC
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-27.21%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 4.63
22 Dec 2023
Entry
GRNQ NASDAQ · GreenPro Capital Corp
1.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
22 Dec 2023
Entry
GTES NYSE · Gates Industrial Corporation plc
13.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
22 Dec 2023
Exit
GYRE NASDAQ · Gyre Therapeutics Inc.
29.68
Reversal Risk Warning
101.77%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 14.71
22 Dec 2023
Entry
HCSG NASDAQ · Healthcare Services Group Inc
10.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
22 Dec 2023
Entry
HFBL NASDAQ · Home Federal Bancorp Louisiana
13.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
22 Dec 2023
Entry
HGV NYSE · Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
41.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
22 Dec 2023
Entry
HLMN NASDAQ · Hillman Solutions Corp
9.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
22 Dec 2023
Entry
ICHR NASDAQ · Ichor Holdings Ltd
33.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
22 Dec 2023
Entry
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
6.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
22 Dec 2023
Entry
INCY NASDAQ · Incyte Corporation
62.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
22 Dec 2023
Entry
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
24.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
22 Dec 2023
Entry
IVR NYSE · Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
5.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
22 Dec 2023
Entry
JEF NYSE · Jefferies Financial Group Inc
37.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
22 Dec 2023
Entry
JNJ NYSE · Johnson & Johnson
144.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
22 Dec 2023
Entry
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
6.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
22 Dec 2023
Entry
JPM NYSE · JPMorgan Chase & Co
158.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
22 Dec 2023
Entry
KMDA NASDAQ · Kamada
5.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
22 Dec 2023
Entry
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
65.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.69
22 Dec 2023
Entry
KWY NYSE · Kingsway Corporation
8.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
22 Dec 2023
Entry
LAD NYSE · Lithia Motors Inc
315.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
22 Dec 2023
Entry
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
1.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
22 Dec 2023
Exit
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-22.14%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 2.62
22 Dec 2023
Entry
LOCO NASDAQ · El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc
8.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
22 Dec 2023
Entry
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
22 Dec 2023
Entry
MAA NYSE · Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc
119.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
22 Dec 2023
Entry
MAIN NYSE · Main Street Capital Corporation
35.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
22 Dec 2023
Exit
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
26.71
Reversal Risk Warning
94.96%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 13.70