View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 541-570 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
KVYO NYSE · Klaviyo, Inc.
29 May 202615.84
16.40
3.54%
Buy
0.23
-
-
KWR NYSE · Quaker Chemical Corporation
27 Jun 2025113.44
151.43
33.49%
Buy
0.38
-
-
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
11 Jul 20254.03
7.41
83.87%
Buy
2.19
-
-
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
6 Jun 20255.65
12.26
116.99%
Buy
0.49
-
-
LAB NASDAQ · Standard Biotools Inc
3 Jul 20260.91
0.83
-8.73%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LAC NYSE · Lithium Americas Corp
11 Oct 20242.90
2.81
-3.10%
Buy
0.86
-
-
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
13 Dec 20241.75
2.43
38.86%
Buy
1.45
-
-
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
24 Jul 202610.11
10.11
New Entry week
Buy
0.90
-
-
LAKE NASDAQ · Lakeland Industries Inc
3 Apr 20268.47
10.76
27.04%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
27 Jun 20259.73
8.53
-12.37%
Buy
0.35
-
-
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
16 Aug 20241.48
1.21
-18.58%
Buy
0.28
-
-
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
17 Jul 20264.05
3.52
-13.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
LB NYSE · LandBridge Company LLC
31 Oct 202558.88
76.33
29.64%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
13 Jun 20259.92
12.10
21.98%
Buy
0.12
-
-
LCCC NASDAQ · Lakeshore Acquisition III Corp. Ordinary Shares
30 Jan 202610.25
10.46
2.05%
Buy
2.02
-
-
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
27 Mar 20264.90
8.69
77.28%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
13 Feb 20266.90
7.47
8.26%
Buy
1.51
-
-
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
16 May 20259.32
11.16
19.76%
Buy
0.34
-
-
LEGN NASDAQ · Legend Biotech Corp
17 Apr 202621.17
22.22
4.96%
Buy
0.43
-
-
LEN NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202692.97
84.64
-8.96%
Buy
0.37
-
-
LEN-B NYSE · Lennar Corporation
26 Jun 202691.35
82.92
-9.22%
Buy
0.40
-
-
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
5 Jun 202650.35
60.16
19.48%
Buy
0.01
-
-
LGVN NASDAQ · Longeveron LLC
13 Feb 20260.54
0.60
11.98%
Buy
0.33
-
-
LIF NASDAQ · Life360, Inc. Common Stock
29 May 202642.49
48.86
14.99%
Buy
0.11
-
-
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
8 May 202639.47
41.42
4.93%
Buy
0.19
-
-
LINK NASDAQ · Interlink Electronics Inc
8 May 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
Buy
0.32
-
-
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
5 Sep 20251.86
3.29
76.88%
Buy
0.74
-
-
LITS NASDAQ · Lite Strategy, Inc.
19 Jun 20260.83
0.99
19.40%
Buy
0.07
-
-
LIVE NASDAQ · Live Ventures Inc
11 Apr 20258.55
9.69
13.33%
Buy
0.46
-
-
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
7 Mar 202526.58
27.84
4.74%
Buy
0.16
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 7891-7920 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Jun 2024
Exit
FTHM NASDAQ · Fathom Holdings Inc
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.26%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 1.91
21 Jun 2024
Entry
HROW NASDAQ · Harrow Health Inc
21.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.87
21 Jun 2024
Exit
KMDA NASDAQ · Kamada
4.51
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.74
21 Jun 2024
Exit
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
1.90
20% entry drawdown
-26.36%
Entry 10 May 2024 2.58
21 Jun 2024
Exit
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
9.60
Reversal Risk Warning
41.80%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 6.77
21 Jun 2024
Entry
OOMA NYSE · Ooma Inc
8.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.80
21 Jun 2024
Exit
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
4.98
20% entry drawdown
-27.72%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 6.89
21 Jun 2024
Exit
SKYT NASDAQ · Skywater Technology Inc
7.48
20% entry drawdown
-20.76%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 9.44
21 Jun 2024
Exit
SQNS NYSE · Sequans Communications SA
12.34
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 16.15
21 Jun 2024
Entry
SYPR NASDAQ · Sypris Solutions Inc
1.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
21 Jun 2024
Exit
TCMD NASDAQ · Tactile Systems Technology Inc
11.37
20% entry drawdown
-20.77%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.35
21 Jun 2024
Exit
TCRT NASDAQ · Alaunos Therapeutics Inc
7.00
20% entry drawdown
-33.98%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 10.61
21 Jun 2024
Entry
VCYT NASDAQ · Veracyte Inc
22.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
21 Jun 2024
Entry
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
13.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
21 Jun 2024
Exit
VS NASDAQ · Versus Systems Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.78%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 1.79
21 Jun 2024
Exit
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
410.92
Reversal Risk Warning
100.95%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 204.49
14 Jun 2024
Exit
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
186.06
Reversal Risk Warning
152.90%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 73.57
14 Jun 2024
Exit
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
9.25
20% entry drawdown
-21.14%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 11.73
14 Jun 2024
Exit
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
15.65
20% entry drawdown
-24.36%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 20.69
14 Jun 2024
Entry
BSET NASDAQ · Bassett Furniture Industries
12.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
14 Jun 2024
Entry
BTDR NASDAQ · Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares
9.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
14 Jun 2024
Entry
CFFI NASDAQ · C&F Financial Corporation
42.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
14 Jun 2024
Exit
CLLS NASDAQ · Cellectis SA
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-23.21%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 2.93
14 Jun 2024
Exit
CMPX NASDAQ · Compass Therapeutics Inc.
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-29.30%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 1.57
14 Jun 2024
Entry
COCO NASDAQ · Vita Coco Company Inc
29.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.28
14 Jun 2024
Exit
CX NYSE · Cemex SAB de CV ADR
6.27
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 8.00
14 Jun 2024
Exit
GFI NYSE · Gold Fields Ltd ADR
12.60
20% entry drawdown
-22.18%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 16.19
14 Jun 2024
Entry
HPE NYSE · Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co
20.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61
14 Jun 2024
Entry
IBEX NASDAQ · IBEX Ltd
15.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
14 Jun 2024
Entry
IREN NASDAQ · IREN Ltd
13.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.64