View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
98.54
23.42%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.76
44.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.15
-17.43%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.17
-4.58%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.61
60.63%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
247.77
14.63%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.22
-1.61%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
114.85
38.99%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
24 Jul 202667.91
67.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.74
1.61%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.48
-0.67%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.88
4.41%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.15
165.35
2.61%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
167.02
13.47%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.15
0.24%
Buy
1.59
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
18.87
32.33%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
46.13
-2.51%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
16.79
-6.57%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
1.74
1.75%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
51.78
8.78%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.44
0.16%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.03
-4.47%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.46
-6.41%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
9.79
11.25%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.37
5.50%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
18.41
190.84%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.89
13.53%
Buy
0.72
-
-
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
18.72
-14.05%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
8.10
20.90%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 5971-6000 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Mar 2025
Exit
TW NASDAQ · Tradeweb Markets Inc
132.51
Reversal Risk Warning
62.63%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 81.48
7 Mar 2025
Entry
TX NYSE · Ternium SA ADR
27.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
7 Mar 2025
Exit
UROY NASDAQ · Uranium Royalty Corp
1.73
20% entry drawdown
-23.11%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 2.25
7 Mar 2025
Exit
VECO NASDAQ · Veeco Instruments Inc
21.14
20% entry drawdown
-23.21%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 27.53
7 Mar 2025
Exit
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
19.05
20% entry drawdown
-39.54%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 31.51
7 Mar 2025
Exit
VSEE NASDAQ · VSee Health, Inc.
1.26
20% entry drawdown
-32.62%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.87
7 Mar 2025
Entry
WMS NYSE · Advanced Drainage Systems Inc
114.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
7 Mar 2025
Exit
YMM NYSE · Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR
12.82
Reversal Risk Warning
86.23%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 6.88
7 Mar 2025
Exit
YUM NYSE · Yum! Brands Inc
158.66
Reversal Risk Warning
30.80%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 121.31
7 Mar 2025
Exit
ZEO NASDAQ · Zeo Energy Corp.
1.60
20% entry drawdown
-37.01%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 2.54
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
1.99
20% entry drawdown
-22.57%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 2.57
28 Feb 2025
Exit
AMKR NASDAQ · Amkor Technology Inc
20.74
20% entry drawdown
-21.57%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 26.44
28 Feb 2025
Exit
AMPG NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
1.65
20% entry drawdown
-28.57%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 2.31
28 Feb 2025
Exit
APPS NASDAQ · Digital Turbine Inc
3.43
20% entry drawdown
-30.00%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 4.90
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
8.63
20% entry drawdown
-20.93%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 10.91
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ATAI NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
1.72
20% entry drawdown
-21.10%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 2.18
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
6.91
20% entry drawdown
-22.18%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 8.88
28 Feb 2025
Exit
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
2.01
20% entry drawdown
-29.23%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 2.84
28 Feb 2025
Entry
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
140.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
28 Feb 2025
Exit
BLDP NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 1.61
28 Feb 2025
Exit
BRK-A NYSE · Berkshire Hathaway Inc
774999.99
Reversal Risk Warning
33.09%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 582300.00
28 Feb 2025
Exit
BRK-B NYSE · Berkshire Hathaway Inc
513.83
Reversal Risk Warning
43.39%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 358.35
28 Feb 2025
Entry
BUD NYSE · Anheuser Busch Inbev NV ADR
57.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CCO NYSE · Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc
1.25
20% entry drawdown
-24.24%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 1.65
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
4.08
20% entry drawdown
-26.75%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 5.57
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CQP NYSE · Cheniere Energy Partners LP
62.98
Reversal Risk Warning
44.59%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 43.56
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CRBG NYSE · Corebridge Financial Inc.
33.02
Reversal Risk Warning
85.89%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 17.76
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CRD-A NYSE · Crawford & Company
11.85
Reversal Risk Warning
25.80%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 9.42
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CRD-B NYSE · Crawford & Company
11.78
Reversal Risk Warning
41.66%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 8.32
28 Feb 2025
Exit
CTMX NASDAQ · CytomX Therapeutics Inc
0.68
20% entry drawdown
-24.00%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 0.89