View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AGYS NASDAQ · Agilysys Inc
22 May 202679.84
98.54
23.42%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
2 Feb 20247.47
10.76
44.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
8.15
-17.43%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.17
-4.58%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.61
60.63%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
247.77
14.63%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.22
-1.61%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
114.85
38.99%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
24 Jul 202667.91
67.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.00
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.74
1.61%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.48
-0.67%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.88
4.41%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.15
165.35
2.61%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
167.02
13.47%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.15
0.24%
Buy
1.59
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
18.87
32.33%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
46.13
-2.51%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
16.79
-6.57%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
1.74
1.75%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
51.78
8.78%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.44
0.16%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
2.03
-4.47%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.46
-6.41%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
9.79
11.25%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.37
5.50%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
18.41
190.84%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.89
13.53%
Buy
0.72
-
-
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
18.72
-14.05%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
8.10
20.90%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.94
10.67%
Buy
0.03
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8821-8850 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jan 2024
Entry
ESTA NASDAQ · Establishment Labs Holdings Inc
36.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
19 Jan 2024
Exit
FSM NYSE · Fortuna Silver Mines Inc
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-25.25%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 4.04
19 Jan 2024
Exit
FUTU NASDAQ · Futu Holdings Ltd
45.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 56.44
19 Jan 2024
Exit
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
19.43
20% entry drawdown
-21.56%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 24.77
19 Jan 2024
Exit
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
1.73
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 2.26
19 Jan 2024
Entry
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
3.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
19 Jan 2024
Entry
MCK NYSE · McKesson Corporation
479.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
19 Jan 2024
Entry
MCY NYSE · Mercury General Corporation
38.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
19 Jan 2024
Exit
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-33.55%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 3.07
19 Jan 2024
Exit
NVTS NASDAQ · Navitas Semiconductor Corp
6.28
20% entry drawdown
-23.04%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 8.16
19 Jan 2024
Exit
OPFI NYSE · OppFi Inc
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-29.30%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 4.76
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PG NYSE · Procter & Gamble Company
139.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PH NYSE · Parker-Hannifin Corporation
458.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
19 Jan 2024
Exit
PRPL NASDAQ · Purple Innovation Inc
18.63
20% entry drawdown
-27.67%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 25.75
19 Jan 2024
Entry
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
6.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
19 Jan 2024
Entry
RDNT NASDAQ · RadNet Inc
37.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Jan 2024
Entry
RM NYSE · Regional Management Corp
23.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
19 Jan 2024
Entry
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
42.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
1.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 2.07
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SOFI NASDAQ · SoFi Technologies Inc.
7.49
20% entry drawdown
-22.86%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 9.71
19 Jan 2024
Exit
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
3.50
20% entry drawdown
-28.43%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 4.89
19 Jan 2024
Entry
TAYD NASDAQ · Taylor Devices Inc
30.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
19 Jan 2024
Entry
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
37.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.76
19 Jan 2024
Exit
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-28.14%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 4.18
12 Jan 2024
Exit
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.38%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.99
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
21.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
12 Jan 2024
Entry
AGNCM NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
19.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
12 Jan 2024
Entry
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
3.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
12 Jan 2024
Exit
ALT NASDAQ · Altimmune Inc
12.00
Reversal Risk Warning
236.13%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 3.57
12 Jan 2024
Entry
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47