Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AI NYSE · C3 Ai Inc
8 May 20269.87
9.18
-6.99%
Buy
0.41
-
-
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
22 May 20264.37
4.23
-3.20%
Buy
1.41
-
-
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
27 Mar 20262.87
4.81
67.60%
Buy
0.43
-
-
AJG NYSE · Arthur J Gallagher & Co
5 Jun 2026216.14
249.42
15.40%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
3 Jul 20261.24
1.32
6.45%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
25 Jul 202582.63
117.64
42.36%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
24 Jul 202667.91
68.94
1.52%
Buy
0.00
-
-
ALDF NASDAQ · Aldel Financial II Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
14 Nov 202510.57
10.73
1.51%
Buy
0.20
-
-
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
6 Jun 20251.49
1.51
1.34%
Buy
1.00
-
-
ALF NASDAQ · Centurion Acquisition Corp.
9 May 202510.42
10.75
3.17%
Buy
3.08
-
-
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
10 Jul 2026161.15
159.08
-1.28%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
28 Nov 2025147.19
169.16
14.93%
Buy
0.56
-
-
ALIS NASDAQ · Calisa Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
12 Jun 202610.13
10.17
0.39%
Buy
1.59
-
-
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
3 Jul 202614.26
16.98
19.07%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
12 Jun 202647.32
47.45
0.27%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
8 May 202617.97
18.17
1.11%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
1.88
9.94%
Buy
1.42
-
-
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
8 May 202647.60
54.75
15.02%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
23 Jan 20266.43
6.58
2.33%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
10 Jul 20262.13
1.94
-8.71%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMBR NASDAQ · Amber International Holding Limited
12 Dec 20251.56
1.38
-11.54%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
8 May 20268.80
11.20
27.27%
Buy
0.40
-
-
AMH NYSE · American Homes 4 Rent
1 May 202631.63
33.42
5.66%
Buy
0.30
-
-
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
27 Jun 20256.33
20.31
220.85%
Buy
1.19
-
-
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
33.63
16.09%
Buy
0.72
-
-
AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P
26 Jun 202621.78
19.94
-8.45%
Buy
0.46
-
-
AMPL NASDAQ · Amplitude Inc
22 May 20266.70
8.88
32.54%
Buy
0.34
-
-
AMPY NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
13 Jun 20253.56
3.91
9.83%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
19 Sep 2025166.10
137.16
-17.42%
Buy
1.61
-
-
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
6 Jun 202515.51
21.07
35.85%
Buy
0.49
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9031-9060 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Dec 2023
Entry
FMS NYSE · Fresenius Medical Care Corporation
18.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
29 Dec 2023
Entry
FOSL NASDAQ · Fossil Group Inc
1.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
29 Dec 2023
Entry
GCT NASDAQ · GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
18.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
29 Dec 2023
Entry
GMED NYSE · Globus Medical
53.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
29 Dec 2023
Entry
GOTU NYSE · Gaotu Techedu Inc DRC
3.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
29 Dec 2023
Entry
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
12.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
29 Dec 2023
Entry
GRND NYSE · Grindr Inc
8.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.11
29 Dec 2023
Entry
HTT NYSE · High Templar Tech Limited Sponsored ADR Class A
2.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
29 Dec 2023
Entry
IMNM NASDAQ · Immunome Inc
10.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
29 Dec 2023
Entry
JOE NYSE · St Joe Company
58.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
29 Dec 2023
Entry
KALU NASDAQ · Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
64.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
29 Dec 2023
Entry
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
12.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
29 Dec 2023
Entry
KODK NYSE · Eastman Kodak Co
3.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
29 Dec 2023
Entry
KRMD NASDAQ · Repro Med Systems Inc
2.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
29 Dec 2023
Entry
LBTYA NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC
9.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 Dec 2023
Entry
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
62.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
29 Dec 2023
Entry
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
19.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
29 Dec 2023
Exit
NTRB NASDAQ · Nutriband Inc
1.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.36%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.36
29 Dec 2023
Entry
NVEC NASDAQ · NVE Corporation
68.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
29 Dec 2023
Entry
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
13.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
29 Dec 2023
Entry
OPFI NYSE · OppFi Inc
4.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.04
29 Dec 2023
Entry
OPRA NASDAQ · Opera Ltd
11.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
29 Dec 2023
Entry
PRE NASDAQ · Prenetics Global Ltd
5.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
29 Dec 2023
Entry
PROV NASDAQ · Provident Financial Holdings Inc
11.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
29 Dec 2023
Entry
RRX NYSE · Regal Beloit Corporation
144.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
29 Dec 2023
Entry
RTX NYSE · RTX Corporation
80.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
29 Dec 2023
Entry
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
108.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
29 Dec 2023
Entry
SANG NASDAQ · Sangoma Technologies Corp
3.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
29 Dec 2023
Exit
SNTG NASDAQ · Sentage Holdings Inc
5.00
Reversal Risk Warning
174.73%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 1.82
29 Dec 2023
Entry
SRZN NASDAQ · Surrozen Inc
9.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.13