Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 631-660 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MED NYSE · MEDIFAST INC
30 Jan 202611.44
10.72
-6.29%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MEGL NASDAQ · Magic Empire Global Limited
3 Jul 20261.36
1.20
-12.13%
Buy
1.01
-
-
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
8 May 20269.63
15.80
64.07%
Buy
0.25
-
-
MENS NASDAQ · Jyong Biotech Ltd. Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.88
2.21
17.55%
Buy
0.22
-
-
MFIC NASDAQ · MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
10 Apr 202611.35
9.87
-13.04%
Buy
0.42
-
-
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
22 May 20264.53
4.33
-4.42%
Buy
1.21
-
-
MHLA NYSE · Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046
8 May 202612.07
10.69
-11.51%
Buy
0.11
-
-
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
10 Jul 202650.81
50.81
New Entry week
Buy
0.15
-
-
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
3 Apr 20266.99
11.70
67.38%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MKLY NASDAQ · McKinley Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Apr 202610.14
10.16
0.20%
Buy
0.34
-
-
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
17 Jan 20259.95
20.16
102.64%
Buy
0.99
-
-
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
17 Oct 202572.69
95.61
31.52%
Buy
0.12
-
-
MLCO NASDAQ · Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd
16 May 20256.44
5.49
-14.75%
Buy
0.43
-
-
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
20 Jun 202542.87
48.99
14.27%
Buy
0.18
-
-
MLTX NASDAQ · MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
20 Feb 202618.77
20.36
8.47%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
10 Apr 202626.20
30.68
17.10%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MMLP NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
27 Mar 20262.50
2.23
-10.63%
Buy
0.17
-
-
MMSI NASDAQ · Merit Medical Systems Inc
26 Jun 202671.73
73.44
2.38%
Buy
0.48
-
-
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10 Jul 202610.15
10.15
New Entry week
Buy
2.50
-
-
MMYT NASDAQ · MakeMyTrip Limited
29 May 202646.74
58.62
25.42%
Buy
0.17
-
-
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
10 Jul 20261.06
1.06
New Entry week
Buy
0.16
-
-
MNDY NASDAQ · Monday.Com Ltd
8 May 202672.07
82.47
14.43%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MNKD NASDAQ · MannKind Corp
29 May 20263.77
4.09
8.49%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
11 Jul 20251.27
1.39
9.47%
Buy
0.02
-
-
MNRO NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
6 Jun 202515.25
16.81
10.25%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MNTK NASDAQ · Montauk Renewables Inc
22 May 20261.55
1.61
3.87%
Buy
0.36
-
-
MNTN NYSE · MNTN, Inc.
13 Mar 20269.57
10.50
9.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
MODD NASDAQ · Modular Medical Inc
12 Jun 20264.77
3.99
-16.35%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
20 Feb 2026151.00
233.31
54.51%
Buy
0.72
-
-
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
19 Sep 20253.77
4.02
6.73%
Buy
0.95
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 601-630 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRAF NASDAQ · Franklin Financial Services Corp
60.82
Reversal Risk Warning
141.64%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 25.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRO NYSE · Frontline Ltd
39.07
Reversal Risk Warning
162.11%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 14.91
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FRST NASDAQ · Primis Financial Corp
15.74
Reversal Risk Warning
89.57%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 8.30
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FSTR NASDAQ · LB Foster Company
42.37
Reversal Risk Warning
147.06%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 17.15
12 Jun 2026
Entry
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
143.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
12 Jun 2026
Entry
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
63.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FULT NASDAQ · Fulton Financial Corporation
23.18
Reversal Risk Warning
93.43%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 11.98
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FVCB NASDAQ · FVCBankcorp Inc
16.79
Reversal Risk Warning
41.72%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 11.85
12 Jun 2026
Exit
FVR NYSE · FrontView REIT, Inc.
19.66
Reversal Risk Warning
49.07%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 13.19
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GABC NASDAQ · German American Bancorp Inc
45.91
Reversal Risk Warning
73.91%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 26.40
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GCO NYSE · Genesco Inc
42.50
Reversal Risk Warning
90.41%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 22.32
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GIII NASDAQ · G-III Apparel Group Ltd
35.18
Reversal Risk Warning
36.85%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 25.70
12 Jun 2026
Entry
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
9.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.84
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
11.20
Reversal Risk Warning
57.74%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 7.10
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GRC NYSE · Gorman-Rupp Company
84.59
Reversal Risk Warning
125.73%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 37.47
12 Jun 2026
Exit
GSBC NASDAQ · Great Southern Bancorp Inc
75.45
Reversal Risk Warning
52.87%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 49.35
12 Jun 2026
Entry
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
0.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HAFC NASDAQ · Hanmi Financial Corporation
31.75
Reversal Risk Warning
115.94%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 14.70
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBCP NASDAQ · Home Bancorp Inc
68.08
Reversal Risk Warning
88.62%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 36.09
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBNC NASDAQ · Horizon Bancorp
19.59
Reversal Risk Warning
112.32%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.23
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HBT NASDAQ · Hbt Financial Inc
30.59
Reversal Risk Warning
72.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 17.68
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HOPE NASDAQ · Hope Bancorp Inc
13.19
Reversal Risk Warning
74.28%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.57
12 Jun 2026
Entry
HRI NYSE · Herc Holdings Inc
144.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
12 Jun 2026
Entry
HRL NYSE · Hormel Foods Corporation
24.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HSPT NASDAQ · Horizon Space Acquisition II Corp. Ordinary share
5.80
20% entry drawdown
-40.82%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 9.80
12 Jun 2026
Exit
HTLD NASDAQ · Heartland Express Inc
16.09
Reversal Risk Warning
87.63%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 8.57
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IBKR NASDAQ · Interactive Brokers Group Inc
90.81
Reversal Risk Warning
206.24%
Entry 3 May 2024 29.65
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IFS NYSE · Intercorp Financial Services Inc
56.85
Reversal Risk Warning
129.62%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 24.76
12 Jun 2026
Exit
IHG NYSE · InterContinental Hotels Group PLC ADR
167.12
Reversal Risk Warning
121.60%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 75.41
12 Jun 2026
Exit
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
2.72
20% entry drawdown
-26.68%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 3.71