Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
MORN NASDAQ · Morningstar Inc
22 May 2026179.64
165.18
-8.05%
Buy
0.80
-
-
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
26 Jan 20242.67
4.51
68.76%
Buy
0.04
-
-
MQ NASDAQ · Marqeta Inc
28 Feb 202516.72
15.87
-5.08%
Buy
0.29
-
-
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202614.33
14.08
-1.71%
Buy
1.34
-
-
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
28 Nov 20251.24
1.51
21.77%
Buy
0.31
-
-
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
29 May 20261.14
0.99
-13.16%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
23 Jan 202648.71
68.27
40.16%
Buy
1.83
-
-
MRP NYSE · Millrose Properties, Inc.
3 Jul 202628.98
28.37
-2.12%
Buy
0.13
-
-
MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.
3 Jul 2026178.54
178.31
-0.13%
Buy
0.32
-
-
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
12 Dec 202511.67
17.15
46.96%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
3 Oct 20253.09
6.09
97.09%
Buy
1.31
-
-
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
25 Apr 20252.40
4.61
92.08%
Buy
0.28
-
-
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
3 Jul 2026100.77
94.64
-6.08%
Buy
0.01
-
-
MTAL NYSE · Metals Acquisition Corp. II
30 May 202512.16
10.20
-16.12%
Buy
0.50
-
-
MTCH NASDAQ · Match Group Inc
20 Jun 202529.88
38.85
30.01%
Buy
0.24
-
-
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
19 Jun 20265.42
4.70
-13.28%
Buy
0.10
-
-
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
20 Jun 20255.39
6.77
25.60%
Buy
0.15
-
-
MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
12 Jun 2026131.13
150.14
14.50%
Buy
0.19
-
-
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
6 Jun 202514.06
19.06
35.56%
Buy
0.14
-
-
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
23 May 202510.33
12.78
23.72%
Buy
0.33
-
-
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
20 Jun 202523.74
33.75
42.17%
Buy
0.27
-
-
MWYN NASDAQ · Marwynn Holdings, Inc. Common stock
8 May 20260.79
1.03
30.31%
Buy
0.06
-
-
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
16 Jan 20263.03
4.02
32.67%
Buy
0.21
-
-
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
26 Jun 20262.47
2.31
-6.48%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.23
15.57%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
31 Oct 20251.33
1.89
42.11%
Buy
2.03
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.24
8.16%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
82.09
93.79%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
3.90
30.43%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
12 Jun 20264.72
4.34
-8.05%
Buy
0.15
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 391-420 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CEVA NASDAQ · CEVA Inc
49.72
Reversal Risk Warning
72.22%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 28.87
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CIFR NASDAQ · Cipher Mining Inc
29.18
Reversal Risk Warning
357.37%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 6.38
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
3.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.66
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-49.15%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 4.72
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
32.58
20% entry drawdown
-21.53%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 41.52
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CODX NASDAQ · Co-Diagnostics, Inc. Common Stock
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-33.53%
Entry 22 May 2026 5.07
19 Jun 2026
Exit
COHU NASDAQ · Cohu Inc
69.40
Reversal Risk Warning
208.17%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 22.52
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CPAC NYSE · Cementos Pacasmayo SAA ADR
12.70
Reversal Risk Warning
160.81%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 4.87
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CPB NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
20.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CRDO NASDAQ · Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
271.83
Reversal Risk Warning
628.57%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 37.31
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
151.78
20% entry drawdown
-20.37%
Entry 29 May 2026 190.60
19 Jun 2026
Exit
CTRN NASDAQ · Citi Trends Inc
60.66
Reversal Risk Warning
129.08%
Entry 30 May 2025 26.48
19 Jun 2026
Entry
CXT NYSE · Crane NXT Co
46.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DGICB NASDAQ · Donegal Group B Inc
22.86
Reversal Risk Warning
106.91%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 11.05
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
3.80
Reversal Risk Warning
90.95%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 1.99
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DIOD NASDAQ · Diodes Incorporated
119.46
Reversal Risk Warning
169.05%
Entry 30 May 2025 44.40
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DMRC NASDAQ · Digimarc Corporation
9.58
20% entry drawdown
-29.97%
Entry 22 May 2026 13.68
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DQ NYSE · Daqo New Energy Corp ADR
14.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.29%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 18.98
19 Jun 2026
Exit
DTSS NASDAQ · Datasea Inc
0.76
20% entry drawdown
-23.44%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 0.99
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EDHL NASDAQ · Everbright Digital Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
5.58
20% entry drawdown
-35.42%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 8.64
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ENTG NASDAQ · Entegris Inc
178.77
Reversal Risk Warning
107.13%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 86.31
19 Jun 2026
Entry
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
21.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
19 Jun 2026
Exit
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 1.91
19 Jun 2026
Entry
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
1.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FBLA NASDAQ · FB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
14.49
Reversal Risk Warning
26.88%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.42
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FRD NASDAQ · Friedman Industries Inc. Common Stock
37.42
Reversal Risk Warning
151.36%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.89
19 Jun 2026
Exit
FTDR NASDAQ · Frontdoor Inc
71.56
Reversal Risk Warning
118.04%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 32.82
19 Jun 2026
Entry
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
11.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
19 Jun 2026
Exit
GE NYSE · GE Aerospace
357.20
Reversal Risk Warning
195.97%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 120.69
19 Jun 2026
Entry
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
0.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.96