Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 751-780 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PENN NASDAQ · Penn National Gaming Inc
27 Feb 202615.64
20.48
30.95%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
3 Apr 20261.69
1.93
14.20%
Buy
0.09
-
-
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1 Aug 20251.04
1.18
13.46%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PFE NYSE · Pfizer Inc
27 Jun 202522.60
24.54
8.57%
Buy
0.11
-
-
PGAC NASDAQ · Pantages Capital Acquisition Corporation
20 Mar 202610.47
10.71
2.29%
Buy
1.35
-
-
PGNY NASDAQ · Progyny Inc
27 Dec 202416.90
31.19
84.56%
Buy
0.01
-
-
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
3 Jul 202617.79
15.89
-10.68%
Buy
1.04
-
-
PHR NYSE · Phreesia Inc
29 May 20269.86
10.22
3.65%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
6 Jun 202539.30
73.04
85.83%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
15 May 202611.29
9.62
-14.79%
Buy
0.89
-
-
PINS NYSE · Pinterest Inc
1 May 202620.22
22.13
9.45%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
7 Mar 202552.05
52.34
0.55%
Buy
0.46
-
-
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
24 Jul 202653.48
53.48
New Entry week
Buy
0.02
-
-
PLUS NASDAQ · ePlus inc
30 May 202570.46
89.02
26.34%
Buy
0.48
-
-
PMTS NASDAQ · CPI Card Group Inc
7 Nov 202513.80
19.52
41.45%
Buy
0.20
-
-
POCI NASDAQ · Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. Common stock
16 May 20254.52
4.30
-4.87%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
17 Jul 2026164.06
163.26
-0.49%
Buy
0.42
-
-
POLE NASDAQ · Andretti Acquisition Corp. II Class A Ordinary Shares
13 Jun 202510.38
10.80
4.05%
Buy
2.68
-
-
POOL NASDAQ · Pool Corporation
19 Jun 2026198.99
183.77
-7.65%
Buy
0.00
-
-
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
10 Jan 20251.36
2.06
51.47%
Buy
0.37
-
-
PPG NYSE · PPG Industries Inc
23 May 2025107.24
116.00
8.17%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PRAA NASDAQ · PRA Group Inc
20 Mar 202617.46
16.98
-2.75%
Buy
0.29
-
-
PRGO NYSE · Perrigo Company PLC
8 May 202611.41
10.09
-11.57%
Buy
0.03
-
-
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
17 Apr 202636.07
44.83
24.29%
Buy
0.16
-
-
PRLD NASDAQ · Prelude Therapeutics Inc
21 Nov 20251.67
3.83
129.34%
Buy
1.67
-
-
PRMB NYSE · Primo Brands Corporation
16 Jan 202618.61
22.70
21.97%
Buy
0.19
-
-
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
20 Jun 20252.07
2.95
42.51%
Buy
0.44
-
-
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
22 Aug 20254.74
7.26
53.16%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PRTA NASDAQ · Prothena Corporation plc
1 Aug 20256.81
8.75
28.49%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PRZO NASDAQ · ParaZero Technologies Ltd. Ordinary Shares
23 Aug 20240.56
0.49
-12.76%
Buy
0.07
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4231-4260 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Aug 2025
Entry
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
2.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
22 Aug 2025
Entry
NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
8.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
22 Aug 2025
Entry
NRGV NYSE · Energy Vault Holdings Inc
1.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
22 Aug 2025
Entry
OKUR NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
2.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52
22 Aug 2025
Entry
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
22.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
22 Aug 2025
Entry
OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc
44.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
22 Aug 2025
Exit
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
330.77
Reversal Risk Warning
75.99%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 187.95
22 Aug 2025
Entry
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
4.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
22 Aug 2025
Entry
PVLA NASDAQ · Palvella Therapeutics, Inc
53.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SCNX NASDAQ · Scienture Holdings, Inc.
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-28.97%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.45
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SE NYSE · Sea Ltd
185.53
Reversal Risk Warning
178.32%
Entry 3 May 2024 66.66
22 Aug 2025
Entry
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
1.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SITC NYSE · Site Centers Corp
6.81
Reversal Risk Warning
79.52%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 3.80
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
45.00
Reversal Risk Warning
385.54%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 9.27
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SWIM NASDAQ · Latham Group Inc
8.22
Reversal Risk Warning
201.10%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.73
22 Aug 2025
Exit
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
11.68
Reversal Risk Warning
244.54%
Entry 11 Apr 2025 3.39
22 Aug 2025
Entry
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
0.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
22 Aug 2025
Entry
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
1.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64
22 Aug 2025
Exit
TRTX NYSE · TPG RE Finance Trust Inc
8.10
Reversal Risk Warning
66.85%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.85
22 Aug 2025
Entry
TTI NYSE · Tetra Technologies Inc
4.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
22 Aug 2025
Exit
VITL NASDAQ · Vital Farms Inc
50.94
Reversal Risk Warning
202.49%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 16.84
22 Aug 2025
Exit
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
43.59
Reversal Risk Warning
22.35%
Entry 30 May 2025 35.62
22 Aug 2025
Exit
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
19.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.36%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 24.02
22 Aug 2025
Entry
WFRD NASDAQ · Weatherford International plc
60.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.03
22 Aug 2025
Exit
WWW NYSE · Wolverine World Wide Inc
30.25
Reversal Risk Warning
134.70%
Entry 10 May 2024 12.89
22 Aug 2025
Entry
XBIT NASDAQ · XBiotech Inc
3.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
22 Aug 2025
Exit
XYL NYSE · Xylem Inc
141.90
Reversal Risk Warning
41.62%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 100.20
15 Aug 2025
Exit
ANAB NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
13.43
20% entry drawdown
-23.13%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 17.47
15 Aug 2025
Entry
APM NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
1.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
15 Aug 2025
Exit
ARTW NASDAQ · Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc
4.25
Reversal Risk Warning
138.76%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.78