Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 781-810 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
PSFE NYSE · Paysafe Ltd
6 Mar 20267.55
8.08
7.02%
Buy
0.12
-
-
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
31 Jul 2026137.20
137.20
New Entry week
Buy
0.02
-
-
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
24 Oct 20256.41
10.48
63.45%
Buy
0.68
-
-
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
24 Apr 20265.18
6.39
23.36%
Buy
0.05
-
-
PULM NASDAQ · Pulmatrix Inc
26 Jun 20261.64
1.74
6.10%
Buy
0.66
-
-
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
4 Jul 202572.31
86.66
19.85%
Buy
0.22
-
-
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
26 Jul 20241.30
1.73
33.27%
Buy
0.34
-
-
PXLW NASDAQ · Pixelworks Inc
15 May 20266.83
6.01
-12.01%
Buy
0.72
-
-
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Jun 20253.10
4.76
53.55%
Buy
0.06
-
-
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
6 Jun 20253.27
4.29
31.19%
Buy
0.96
-
-
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
24 Apr 202650.32
57.21
13.70%
Buy
0.13
-
-
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
24 Apr 20261.90
2.65
39.47%
Buy
0.18
-
-
PZZA NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
17 Apr 202636.94
29.90
-19.07%
Buy
0.12
-
-
QLYS NASDAQ · Qualys Inc
22 May 2026102.37
144.75
41.40%
Buy
0.07
-
-
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
8 May 20269.62
10.64
10.60%
Buy
1.28
-
-
QNST NASDAQ · QuinStreet Inc
1 May 202613.04
15.50
18.87%
Buy
0.11
-
-
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
23 May 202574.60
90.57
21.41%
Buy
0.17
-
-
QSEA NASDAQ · Quartzsea Acquisition Corporati
23 Jan 202610.27
10.62
3.41%
Buy
1.04
-
-
QTTB NASDAQ · Q32 Bio Inc
29 May 202611.05
15.68
41.90%
Buy
0.20
-
-
QUMS NASDAQ · Quantumsphere Acquisition Corporation
22 May 202610.19
10.28
0.88%
Buy
5.58
-
-
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
6 Feb 20261.81
4.41
144.09%
Buy
0.10
-
-
RAMP NYSE · Liveramp Holdings Inc
15 Nov 202427.89
37.87
35.78%
Buy
0.36
-
-
RAY NASDAQ · Raytech Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
8 May 20263.35
2.76
-17.61%
Buy
0.30
-
-
RBRK NYSE · Rubrik, Inc.
8 May 202662.34
72.36
16.07%
Buy
0.19
-
-
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
17 Jul 20265.10
4.40
-13.73%
Buy
0.39
-
-
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
13 Jun 202526.60
33.85
27.24%
Buy
1.14
-
-
RDIB NASDAQ · Reading International B Inc
24 Jan 20256.62
8.45
27.71%
Buy
0.49
-
-
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
15 Aug 20252.96
6.18
108.78%
Buy
0.65
-
-
RDY NYSE · Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd ADR
2 May 202513.91
11.85
-14.83%
Buy
0.20
-
-
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
16 May 2025590.29
762.63
29.20%
Buy
0.10
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8761-8790 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Feb 2024
Entry
QUCY NASDAQ · Quantum Cyber N.V.
42.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
9 Feb 2024
Entry
RL NYSE · Ralph Lauren Corp Class A
169.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.21
9 Feb 2024
Entry
RVNC NASDAQ · Revance Therapeutics, Inc.
5.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
9 Feb 2024
Entry
SPOT NYSE · Spotify Technology SA
240.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.67
9 Feb 2024
Exit
VSAT NASDAQ · ViaSat Inc
20.06
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 26.00
9 Feb 2024
Exit
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
4.57
Reversal Risk Warning
57.04%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2.91
2 Feb 2024
Exit
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
16.24
20% entry drawdown
-25.54%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 21.81
2 Feb 2024
Entry
AHCO NASDAQ · Adapthealth Corp
7.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
2 Feb 2024
Exit
AHG NASDAQ · Akso Health Group ADR
2.60
Reversal Risk Warning
454.37%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 0.47
2 Feb 2024
Entry
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
11.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.75
2 Feb 2024
Entry
ARMK NYSE · Aramark Holdings
28.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
2 Feb 2024
Entry
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
30.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.47
2 Feb 2024
Entry
AVGO NASDAQ · Broadcom Inc
119.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
2 Feb 2024
Entry
BELFA NASDAQ · Bel Fuse A Inc
71.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
2 Feb 2024
Exit
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
3.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.54%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 4.82
2 Feb 2024
Exit
BWLP NYSE · BW LPG Limited
7.16
20% entry drawdown
-22.00%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 9.18
2 Feb 2024
Exit
CCLD NASDAQ · CareCloud, Inc.
1.22
20% entry drawdown
-22.29%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 1.57
2 Feb 2024
Exit
CHRW NASDAQ · CH Robinson Worldwide Inc
70.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.69%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 91.89
2 Feb 2024
Entry
DCI NYSE · Donaldson Company Inc
64.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
2 Feb 2024
Exit
EYPT NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
28.70
Reversal Risk Warning
46.80%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 19.55
2 Feb 2024
Exit
FOSL NASDAQ · Fossil Group Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.97%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 1.46
2 Feb 2024
Entry
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
7.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
2 Feb 2024
Exit
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
40.01
Reversal Risk Warning
60.56%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 24.92
2 Feb 2024
Entry
GM NYSE · General Motors Company
37.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
2 Feb 2024
Entry
GSIT NASDAQ · GSI Technology Inc
2.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
2 Feb 2024
Entry
HAS NASDAQ · Hasbro Inc
45.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
2 Feb 2024
Exit
HRTG NYSE · Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
5.87
20% entry drawdown
-20.57%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 7.39
2 Feb 2024
Entry
INBS NASDAQ · Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.
59.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
2 Feb 2024
Entry
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
3.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
2 Feb 2024
Exit
IPM NASDAQ · Intelligent Protection Management Corp
4.98
Reversal Risk Warning
164.63%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 1.88