Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65
Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781
Avg 3057.2/yr ·
254.8/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850
Stop 41.5% ·
Warning 58.0%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL
NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23
MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
SIRI
NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
4 Jul 202523.18
30.59
31.99%
Buy
0.57
-
-
SJ
NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
9 Jan 20260.80
0.79
-0.46%
Buy
0.81
-
-
SJM
NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
12 Jun 2026116.49
112.01
-3.85%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SKIL
NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
6.44
0.16%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10 Jul 20260.91
0.84
-7.23%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SKK
NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.87
1.99%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.18
-7.09%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN
NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
47.18
2.05%
Buy
0.38
-
-
SLN
NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
17 Apr 20267.53
10.50
39.44%
Buy
0.62
-
-
SLNG
NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3 Jul 20264.19
3.79
-9.55%
Buy
0.43
-
-
SLVM
NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
5 Sep 202544.03
38.34
-12.92%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SM
NYSE · SM Energy Co
6 Feb 202620.76
31.32
50.85%
Buy
0.69
-
-
SMC
NYSE · Summit Midstream Corporation
14 Nov 202523.76
29.44
23.91%
Buy
0.89
-
-
SMHI
NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
30 May 20255.34
7.91
48.13%
Buy
0.10
-
-
SMPL
NASDAQ · Simply Good Foods Co
12 Jun 202612.57
11.08
-11.85%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SMRT
NYSE · SmartRent Inc
4 Jul 20251.11
0.96
-13.13%
Buy
0.68
-
-
SMTI
NASDAQ · Sanara Medtech Inc
8 May 202618.40
25.00
35.87%
Buy
0.24
-
-
SMWB
NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd
19 Jun 20264.99
6.96
39.48%
Buy
1.21
-
-
SNDL
NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1 May 20261.41
1.28
-9.22%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SOCA
NASDAQ · Solarius Capital Acquisition Corp.
27 Mar 202610.14
10.28
1.38%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SOTK
NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
2 May 20254.01
5.50
37.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SPEG
NASDAQ · Silver Pegasus Acquisition Corp.
24 Apr 202610.22
10.31
0.83%
Buy
2.94
-
-
SPMC
NYSE · Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.
15 May 202610.76
10.20
-5.24%
Buy
0.30
-
-
SPPL
NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20263.92
3.19
-18.62%
Buy
1.23
-
-
SPRU
NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
19 Sep 20251.76
2.40
36.36%
Buy
0.07
-
-
SPT
NASDAQ · Sprout Social Inc
8 May 20267.40
8.62
16.49%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SQFT
NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
19 Jun 20262.68
2.32
-13.43%
Buy
0.02
-
-
SRAD
NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
26 Jun 202614.85
14.38
-3.16%
Buy
0.23
-
-
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
20 Jun 20252.97
2.64
-11.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-
SRI
NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
6 Jun 20255.65
6.96
23.19%
Buy
1.27
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HSY
NYSE · Hershey Co
228.24
Reversal Risk Warning
28.14%
Entry 7 Mar 2025
178.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HTH
NYSE · Hilltop Holdings Inc
39.42
Reversal Risk Warning
40.39%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
28.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HUYA
NYSE · HUYA Inc
4.40
Reversal Risk Warning
257.83%
Entry 27 Oct 2023
1.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HWC
NASDAQ · Hancock Whitney Corp
73.31
Reversal Risk Warning
83.51%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
39.95
6 Feb 2026
Entry
IBIO
NASDAQ · iBio, Inc. Common Stock
2.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.33
6 Feb 2026
Exit
IBOC
NASDAQ · International Bancshares Corporation
73.83
Reversal Risk Warning
76.96%
Entry 7 Jul 2023
41.72
6 Feb 2026
Exit
IBP
NYSE · Installed Building Products Inc
325.80
Reversal Risk Warning
119.85%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
148.19
6 Feb 2026
Exit
INDB
NASDAQ · Independent Bank
85.27
Reversal Risk Warning
64.05%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
51.98
6 Feb 2026
Entry
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ISTR
NASDAQ · Investar Holding Corp
29.99
Reversal Risk Warning
123.06%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
13.44
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ITUB
NYSE · Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA
8.82
Reversal Risk Warning
94.62%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
4.53
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ITW
NYSE · Illinois Tool Works Inc
291.77
Reversal Risk Warning
23.99%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
235.32
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JBTM
NYSE · JBTMarel Corp
168.31
Reversal Risk Warning
64.33%
Entry 9 Feb 2024
102.42
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JCI
NYSE · Johnson Controls International PLC
136.86
Reversal Risk Warning
125.72%
Entry 15 Mar 2024
60.63
6 Feb 2026
Entry
JELD
NYSE · Jeld-Wen Holding Inc
2.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.15
6 Feb 2026
Exit
JOE
NYSE · St Joe Company
68.24
Reversal Risk Warning
44.57%
Entry 28 Feb 2025
47.20
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KEY
NYSE · KeyCorp
22.76
Reversal Risk Warning
132.48%
Entry 21 Jul 2023
9.79
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KMT
NYSE · Kennametal Inc
39.90
Reversal Risk Warning
90.49%
Entry 30 May 2025
20.95
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KOF
NYSE · Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR
109.73
Reversal Risk Warning
39.88%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
78.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LCII
NYSE · LCI Industries
151.62
Reversal Risk Warning
78.26%
Entry 20 Jun 2025
85.06
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LE
NASDAQ · Lands’ End Inc
17.99
Reversal Risk Warning
107.98%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
8.65
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LEA
NYSE · Lear Corporation
139.33
Reversal Risk Warning
59.47%
Entry 30 May 2025
87.37
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LECO
NASDAQ · Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
297.94
Reversal Risk Warning
52.86%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
194.90
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LUV
NYSE · Southwest Airlines Company
53.79
Reversal Risk Warning
96.76%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
27.34
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MCB
NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding
96.12
Reversal Risk Warning
117.05%
Entry 17 May 2024
44.29
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MCD
NYSE · McDonald’s Corporation
323.16
Reversal Risk Warning
19.93%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
269.47
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MCK
NYSE · McKesson Corporation
946.84
Reversal Risk Warning
97.52%
Entry 19 Jan 2024
479.37
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MEGL
NASDAQ · Magic Empire Global Limited
0.89
20% entry drawdown
-29.12%
Entry 30 May 2025
1.26
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MPB
NASDAQ · Mid Penn Bancorp
34.38
Reversal Risk Warning
72.46%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
19.93
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MRBK
NASDAQ · Meridian Bank
20.41
Reversal Risk Warning
107.90%
Entry 28 Jun 2024
9.82