Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.45
Total Return
369.45%
CAGR
54.67% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.23%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1071
Transactions
10827 Avg 3053.7/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4878 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
20
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.60 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.48 MD 1.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
30
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
NXGL NASDAQ · Nexgel Inc
0.44 20% entry drawdown · -22.25%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -24.97%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -20.16%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 901-930 of 1071 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
20 Jun 20257.72
9.27
20.08%
Buy
0.31
-
-
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
10 Jul 20261.76
1.73
-1.70%
Buy
0.50
-
-
STRO NASDAQ · Sutro Biopharma
16 Jan 202613.82
22.88
65.56%
Buy
1.22
-
-
STRR NASDAQ · Star Equity Holdings Inc
19 Sep 202511.47
10.85
-5.41%
Buy
1.58
-
-
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
5 Dec 20253.10
7.43
139.68%
Buy
0.51
-
-
STUB NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.
22 May 20269.98
8.25
-17.33%
Buy
0.18
-
-
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
8 May 202618.16
19.68
8.34%
Buy
0.61
-
-
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
12 Dec 2025145.46
129.14
-11.22%
Buy
0.17
-
-
SUNS NASDAQ · Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
12 Jun 20268.23
7.98
-3.01%
Buy
0.12
-
-
SUZ NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
13 Jun 20259.55
8.29
-13.17%
Buy
0.06
-
-
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
26 Jun 20268.55
8.46
-1.05%
Buy
0.08
-
-
SVCO NASDAQ · Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
20 Mar 20266.34
7.76
22.40%
Buy
0.31
-
-
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
5 Jun 20268.99
9.11
1.33%
Buy
0.01
-
-
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
4 Jul 202567.98
91.26
34.24%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
24 Apr 202663.11
60.21
-4.60%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
8.92
53.05%
Buy
0.26
-
-
TACO NASDAQ · Berto Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
13 Feb 202610.19
10.48
2.85%
Buy
0.05
-
-
TACT NASDAQ · TransAct Technologies Incorporated
29 May 20264.47
5.03
12.53%
Buy
1.20
-
-
TAVI NASDAQ · Tavia Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
25 Jul 202510.28
10.69
4.04%
Buy
1.24
-
-
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
7 Nov 202527.60
28.52
3.33%
Buy
1.11
-
-
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
1 May 20266.46
8.77
35.76%
Buy
0.31
-
-
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
6 Jun 202543.43
78.54
80.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 202610.04
10.04
New Entry week
Buy
0.88
-
-
TEAM NASDAQ · Atlassian Corp Plc
8 May 202691.60
86.88
-5.15%
Buy
0.36
-
-
TECH NASDAQ · Bio-Techne Corp
19 Jun 202657.94
71.60
23.58%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TECX NASDAQ · Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.
21 Nov 202519.18
30.37
58.34%
Buy
0.02
-
-
TENB NASDAQ · Tenable Holdings Inc
1 May 202621.23
32.25
51.91%
Buy
0.34
-
-
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
26 Sep 20257.26
14.53
100.14%
Buy
1.03
-
-
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202553.86
76.91
42.80%
Buy
0.08
-
-
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
25 Jul 2025115.85
132.10
14.03%
Buy
0.19
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8521-8550 of 10827
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
20.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BBAI NYSE · BigBearai Holdings Inc
3.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BCS NYSE · Barclays PLC ADR
8.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.90
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BWMX NYSE · Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
14.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
2.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
10.99
Reversal Risk Warning
122.02%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 4.95
1 Mar 2024
Entry
COCH NASDAQ · Envoy Medical Inc.
6.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.68
1 Mar 2024
Entry
CPAC NYSE · Cementos Pacasmayo SAA ADR
4.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
1 Mar 2024
Entry
CPNG NYSE · Coupang LLC
18.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CSPI NASDAQ · CSP Inc
27.36
Reversal Risk Warning
276.71%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 7.26
1 Mar 2024
Entry
CXAI NASDAQ · CXApp Inc.
2.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CZFS NASDAQ · Citizens Financial Services Inc. Common Stock
41.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 52.18
1 Mar 2024
Entry
DELL NYSE · Dell Technologies Inc
120.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
1 Mar 2024
Entry
DY NYSE · Dycom Industries Inc
126.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.05
1 Mar 2024
Entry
EME NYSE · EMCOR Group Inc
318.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
1 Mar 2024
Entry
EXE NASDAQ · Expand Energy Corporation
77.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
1 Mar 2024
Exit
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
7.74
Reversal Risk Warning
275.73%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 2.06
1 Mar 2024
Entry
FHI NYSE · Federated Investors Inc B
32.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
1 Mar 2024
Exit
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
5.61
20% entry drawdown
-23.00%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.28
1 Mar 2024
Entry
GVA NYSE · Granite Construction Incorporated
51.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
1 Mar 2024
Entry
HIMS NYSE · Hims Hers Health Inc
13.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.38
1 Mar 2024
Entry
IMAX NYSE · Imax Corp
16.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
1 Mar 2024
Entry
INBS NASDAQ · Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.
55.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.37
1 Mar 2024
Entry
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
21.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
1 Mar 2024
Entry
IX NYSE · Orix Corp Ads
19.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
1 Mar 2024
Entry
JBL NYSE · Jabil Circuit Inc
146.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LMB NASDAQ · Limbach Holdings Inc
50.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LSAK NASDAQ · Lesaka Technologies Inc
3.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LXFR NYSE · Luxfer Holdings PLC
8.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
1 Mar 2024
Exit
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
21.55
Reversal Risk Warning
121.71%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 9.72