Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 961-990 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
6.86
35.31%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
7.03
32.89%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.53
14.27%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
6.29
62.53%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.62
9.46%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
71.43
35.82%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
3.12
17.29%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.30
-16.93%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.40
5.26%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
420.74
39.46%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
19 Jun 202618.32
20.46
11.68%
Buy
0.09
-
-
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
114.79
38.75%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
17 Jul 20269.06
8.83
-2.54%
Buy
0.10
-
-
USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.32
13.77%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
74.58
2.81%
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
67.14
24.83%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.39
-2.45%
Buy
0.26
-
-
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
3 Jul 20268.27
14.10
70.50%
Buy
0.58
-
-
UYSC NASDAQ · UY Scuti Acquisition Corp.
13 Mar 202610.37
10.78
3.95%
Buy
2.71
-
-
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
16 Jan 202658.62
94.39
61.01%
Buy
0.04
-
-
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
24 Jan 20254.90
4.78
-2.45%
Buy
0.13
-
-
VALU NASDAQ · Value Line Inc
9 May 202537.98
38.15
0.45%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VANI NASDAQ · Vivani Medical Inc.
30 May 20251.26
1.28
1.59%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VC NASDAQ · Visteon Corp
16 May 202585.81
103.75
20.91%
Buy
0.47
-
-
VCEL NASDAQ · Vericel Corp Ord
31 Oct 202535.06
45.05
28.49%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VEEV NYSE · Veeva Systems Inc Class A
29 May 2026174.34
186.24
6.83%
Buy
0.39
-
-
VFC NYSE · VF Corporation
11 Jul 202512.07
17.03
41.11%
Buy
0.01
-
-
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
6 Feb 202615.34
13.62
-11.19%
Buy
1.25
-
-
VIR NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
24 Oct 20255.98
8.69
45.32%
Buy
1.41
-
-
VIRC NASDAQ · Virco Manufacturing Corporation
27 Mar 20266.20
6.00
-3.30%
Buy
0.24
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4681-4710 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DIBS NASDAQ · 1Stdibs.Com Inc
2.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DLX NYSE · Deluxe Corporation
16.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.60
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
27.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
4 Jul 2025
Entry
DQ NYSE · Daqo New Energy Corp ADR
18.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
4 Jul 2025
Exit
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
8.76
20% entry drawdown
-23.23%
Entry 9 May 2025 11.41
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ECX NASDAQ · ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares
2.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
4 Jul 2025
Entry
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.72
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ENTG NASDAQ · Entegris Inc
86.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
4 Jul 2025
Entry
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
4.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
4 Jul 2025
Entry
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
21.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.70
4 Jul 2025
Entry
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
7.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GCBC NASDAQ · Greene County Bancorp Inc
24.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
75.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GGR NASDAQ · Gogoro Inc
6.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
22.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
1.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
4 Jul 2025
Entry
GSAT NASDAQ · Globalstar, Inc. Common Stock
24.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
4 Jul 2025
Entry
HIVE NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
2.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.06
4 Jul 2025
Entry
HLIO NYSE · Helios Technologies Inc
35.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
4 Jul 2025
Entry
HPE NYSE · Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co
20.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.74
4 Jul 2025
Entry
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
35.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
4 Jul 2025
Exit
ICL NYSE · ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd
7.12
Reversal Risk Warning
69.25%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 4.21
4 Jul 2025
Entry
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
50.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
4 Jul 2025
Entry
ISPR NASDAQ · Ispire Technology Inc. Common Stock
2.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
4 Jul 2025
Entry
JBSS NASDAQ · John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc
62.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
4 Jul 2025
Entry
JMIA NYSE · Jumia Technologies AG
4.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.11
4 Jul 2025
Entry
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
6.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
4 Jul 2025
Exit
KWY NYSE · Kingsway Corporation
16.57
Reversal Risk Warning
93.12%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 8.58
4 Jul 2025
Entry
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
5.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
4 Jul 2025
Entry
LILA NASDAQ · Liberty Latin America Ltd
4.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35