Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 991-1020 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
11 Jul 20254.93
7.62
54.56%
Buy
0.20
-
-
VLTO NYSE · Veralto Corporation
26 Jun 202689.61
92.02
2.69%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOC NYSE · VOC Energy Trust
27 Feb 20263.17
3.38
6.62%
Buy
1.30
-
-
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
13 Feb 202612.78
19.26
50.70%
Buy
0.02
-
-
VOYG NYSE · Voyager Technologies, Inc.
3 Apr 202626.82
25.24
-5.89%
Buy
0.19
-
-
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
13 Feb 20262.68
3.69
37.69%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
10 Jul 202619.74
19.27
-2.38%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VREX NASDAQ · Varex Imaging Corp
11 Jul 20258.17
10.92
33.66%
Buy
0.15
-
-
VRNS NASDAQ · Varonis Systems
1 May 202626.50
45.74
72.60%
Buy
0.12
-
-
VRSK NASDAQ · Verisk Analytics Inc
12 Jun 2026183.29
201.34
9.85%
Buy
0.23
-
-
VRTS NYSE · Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
8 May 2026143.93
165.66
15.10%
Buy
0.08
-
-
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
1 Nov 20243.92
6.05
54.34%
Buy
0.90
-
-
VTEX NYSE · VTEX
13 Mar 20263.79
3.90
2.90%
Buy
0.54
-
-
VVV NYSE · Valvoline Inc
30 Jan 202632.72
38.96
19.07%
Buy
0.18
-
-
VYGR NASDAQ · Voyager Therapeutics Inc
15 Aug 20253.73
3.10
-16.89%
Buy
0.97
-
-
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
29 May 20267.19
7.67
6.68%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WALD NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp
22 May 20261.30
1.69
30.00%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
3 Jul 202623.46
22.51
-4.05%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WBTN NASDAQ · WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock
16 May 20258.97
9.00
0.33%
Buy
0.00
-
-
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
15 May 202650.42
48.20
-4.41%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc
22 May 2026128.14
135.34
5.62%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WEAV NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
8 May 20265.94
6.17
3.87%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WEN NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
15 May 20267.88
6.99
-11.29%
Buy
0.34
-
-
WENN NASDAQ · Wen Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.20
10.33
1.27%
Buy
0.79
-
-
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
30 Jan 20264.83
7.60
57.35%
Buy
0.47
-
-
WEX NYSE · Wex Inc
20 Jun 2025140.67
176.15
25.22%
Buy
0.12
-
-
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.07
2.11
1.93%
Buy
1.08
-
-
WFG NYSE · West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
16 Jan 202669.73
66.19
-5.08%
Buy
0.35
-
-
WFRD NASDAQ · Weatherford International plc
22 Aug 202560.30
88.68
47.06%
Buy
1.03
-
-
WGO NYSE · Winnebago Industries Inc
6 Jun 202531.28
30.77
-1.64%
Buy
0.25
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4621-4650 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
11 Jul 2025
Entry
KYTX NASDAQ · Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
4.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.19
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
3.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LCFY NASDAQ · Locafy Ltd
4.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LPBB NASDAQ · Launch Two Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LRCX NASDAQ · Lam Research Corp
101.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
3.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
11 Jul 2025
Entry
LSCC NASDAQ · Lattice Semiconductor Corporation
53.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
11 Jul 2025
Exit
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
3.45
20% entry drawdown
-23.33%
Entry 30 May 2025 4.50
11 Jul 2025
Entry
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
12.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
11 Jul 2025
Entry
METC NASDAQ · Ramaco Resources Inc
16.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.86
11 Jul 2025
Entry
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
11 Jul 2025
Exit
MOMO NASDAQ · Hello Group Inc
8.53
Reversal Risk Warning
51.39%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 5.64
11 Jul 2025
Entry
MT NYSE · ArcelorMittal SA ADR
34.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.54
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NBBK NASDAQ · NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
18.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NMTC NASDAQ · Neuroone Medical Technologies Corp
4.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
1.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NODK NASDAQ · NI Holdings Inc
13.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
11 Jul 2025
Entry
NUS NYSE · Nu Skin Enterprises Inc
8.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
11 Jul 2025
Exit
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
4.74
20% entry drawdown
-22.21%
Entry 23 May 2025 6.09
11 Jul 2025
Exit
NYC NYSE · New York City REIT Inc
15.94
Reversal Risk Warning
92.74%
Entry 17 May 2024 8.27
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PBT NYSE · Permian Basin Royalty Trust
12.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.27
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PENG NASDAQ · Penguin Solutions, Inc.
24.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
11 Jul 2025
Entry
PRAX NASDAQ · Praxis Precision Medicines Inc
50.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RCUS NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
9.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
4.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
11 Jul 2025
Entry
RILYZ NASDAQ · B. Riley Financial Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 2028
8.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
303.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SHFS NASDAQ · SHF Holdings Inc
3.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLB NYSE · Schlumberger NV
36.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
11 Jul 2025
Entry
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
6.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33