View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 991-1020 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc

19 Jun 202623.54

25.83

9.73%

Buy

0.11

TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc

23 Jan 20265.65

6.80

20.27%

Buy

0.17

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

10 Jul 202630.99

30.99

New Entry week

Buy

0.06

TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.

22 Nov 20244.13

3.50

-15.25%

Buy

0.21

TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc

16 Jan 20262.29

2.80

22.27%

Buy

0.35

TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR

21 Feb 20251.85

2.77

49.57%

Buy

0.21

TVA NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp

12 Jun 202610.44

10.56

1.15%

Buy

0.06

TVAI NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares

23 Jan 202610.20

10.33

1.27%

Buy

1.95

TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc

19 Dec 20257.85

7.34

-6.50%

Buy

0.14

TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc

25 Jul 202514.11

42.73

202.83%

Buy

1.16

TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc

18 Apr 20251.01

2.00

98.02%

Buy

0.25

TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.

13 Feb 202611.98

13.05

8.93%

Buy

0.18

TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc

1 May 2026335.50

309.48

-7.76%

Buy

0.13

TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo

24 Apr 20269.70

10.92

12.58%

Buy

1.12

UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C

2 Jan 20265.07

6.61

30.37%

Buy

0.43

UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A

2 Jan 20265.29

6.79

28.36%

Buy

0.54

UEIC NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc

16 Jan 20263.96

4.66

17.68%

Buy

0.27

UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc

23 Jan 20263.87

5.73

48.06%

Buy

0.21

UG NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc

30 Jan 20266.96

7.17

2.99%

Buy

0.32

UHAL NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company

24 Apr 202652.59

67.35

28.07%

Buy

0.01

UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation

1 May 20262.66

4.06

52.63%

Buy

0.41

ULBI NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation

30 Jan 20266.38

5.85

-8.31%

Buy

0.30

UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc

24 Oct 20255.13

5.21

1.56%

Buy

0.28

UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

29 Aug 2025301.69

424.62

40.75%

Buy

0.23

UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc

15 Aug 202582.73

112.47

35.94%

Buy

0.22

UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc

29 May 202633.79

32.74

-3.11%

Buy

0.55

USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc

22 May 202618.74

21.98

17.29%

Buy

0.04

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

10 Jul 202672.54

72.54

New Entry week

Buy

0.07

UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc

13 Jun 202553.78

67.96

26.36%

Buy

0.14

UTSI NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp

9 Jan 20262.45

2.49

1.63%

Buy

0.26

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 91-120 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

3 Jul 2026

Entry

MRSH NYSE · Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

178.54

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32

3 Jul 2026

Entry

MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated

100.77

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01

3 Jul 2026

Exit

NEUP NASDAQ · Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc

3.38

20% entry drawdown

-32.94%

Entry 24 Apr 2026 5.04

3 Jul 2026

Entry

NKE NYSE · Nike Inc

44.09

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

3 Jul 2026

Entry

OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc

9.79

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11

3 Jul 2026

Exit

OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.

1.16

20% entry drawdown

-30.12%

Entry 26 Jun 2026 1.66

3 Jul 2026

Entry

OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd

1.28

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07

3 Jul 2026

Entry

PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

17.79

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04

3 Jul 2026

Exit

RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.

1.34

20% entry drawdown

-25.56%

Entry 8 May 2026 1.80

3 Jul 2026

Entry

REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc

2.17

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08

3 Jul 2026

Entry

SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc

4.19

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43

3 Jul 2026

Exit

SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc

27.22

20% entry drawdown

-23.04%

Entry 8 May 2026 35.37

3 Jul 2026

Exit

SONM NASDAQ · Sonim Technologies Inc

3.75

20% entry drawdown

-21.05%

Entry 5 Jun 2026 4.75

3 Jul 2026

Entry

SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.

1.04

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50

3 Jul 2026

Entry

TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

10.06

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.63

3 Jul 2026

Exit

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

7.12

Reversal Risk Warning

38.79%

Entry 22 May 2026 5.13

3 Jul 2026

Exit

USIO NASDAQ · Usio Inc

2.48

Reversal Risk Warning

63.16%

Entry 15 May 2026 1.52

3 Jul 2026

Entry

UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc

8.27

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58

3 Jul 2026

Exit

VGAS NASDAQ · Verde Clean Fuels Inc.

1.00

20% entry drawdown

-34.21%

Entry 3 Apr 2026 1.52

3 Jul 2026

Entry

WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock

23.46

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10

3 Jul 2026

Entry

WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc

177.99

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22

3 Jul 2026

Exit

WXM NASDAQ · WF International Limited Ordinary Shares

4.29

20% entry drawdown

-23.38%

Entry 8 May 2026 5.60

3 Jul 2026

Entry

YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding

3.47

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35

3 Jul 2026

Entry

ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc

87.47

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13

3 Jul 2026

Entry

ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc

147.33

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40

26 Jun 2026

Exit

AAL NASDAQ · American Airlines Group

17.87

Reversal Risk Warning

58.42%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 11.28

26 Jun 2026

Exit

ABBV NYSE · AbbVie Inc

253.35

Reversal Risk Warning

83.48%

Entry 11 Aug 2023 138.08

26 Jun 2026

Exit

ABSI NASDAQ · Absci Corp

10.89

Reversal Risk Warning

373.48%

Entry 8 Dec 2023 2.30

26 Jun 2026

Exit

ACA NYSE · Arcosa Inc

144.50

Reversal Risk Warning

86.44%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 77.51

26 Jun 2026

Exit

ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.

9.51

Reversal Risk Warning

130.07%

Entry 19 Jul 2024 4.13