Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
TRUP
NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
19 Jun 202623.54
25.83
9.73%
Buy
0.11
-
-
TSQ
NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
23 Jan 20265.65
6.80
20.27%
Buy
0.17
-
-
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
10 Jul 202630.99
30.99
New
Entry week
Buy
0.06
-
-
TULP
NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
22 Nov 20244.13
3.50
-15.25%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TUSK
NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
16 Jan 20262.29
2.80
22.27%
Buy
0.35
-
-
TV
NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
21 Feb 20251.85
2.77
49.57%
Buy
0.21
-
-
TVA
NASDAQ · Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
12 Jun 202610.44
10.56
1.15%
Buy
0.06
-
-
TVAI
NASDAQ · Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares
23 Jan 202610.20
10.33
1.27%
Buy
1.95
-
-
TWI
NYSE · Titan International Inc
19 Dec 20257.85
7.34
-6.50%
Buy
0.14
-
-
TXG
NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
25 Jul 202514.11
42.73
202.83%
Buy
1.16
-
-
TXMD
NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
18 Apr 20251.01
2.00
98.02%
Buy
0.25
-
-
TXO
NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
13 Feb 202611.98
13.05
8.93%
Buy
0.18
-
-
TYL
NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
1 May 2026335.50
309.48
-7.76%
Buy
0.13
-
-
TZOO
NASDAQ · Travelzoo
24 Apr 20269.70
10.92
12.58%
Buy
1.12
-
-
UA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
2 Jan 20265.07
6.61
30.37%
Buy
0.43
-
-
UAA
NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
2 Jan 20265.29
6.79
28.36%
Buy
0.54
-
-
UEIC
NASDAQ · Universal Electronics Inc
16 Jan 20263.96
4.66
17.68%
Buy
0.27
-
-
UFI
NYSE · Unifi Inc
23 Jan 20263.87
5.73
48.06%
Buy
0.21
-
-
UG
NASDAQ · United-Guardian Inc
30 Jan 20266.96
7.17
2.99%
Buy
0.32
-
-
UHAL
NYSE · U-Haul Holding Company
24 Apr 202652.59
67.35
28.07%
Buy
0.01
-
-
UIS
NYSE · Unisys Corporation
1 May 20262.66
4.06
52.63%
Buy
0.41
-
-
ULBI
NASDAQ · Ultralife Corporation
30 Jan 20266.38
5.85
-8.31%
Buy
0.30
-
-
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20255.13
5.21
1.56%
Buy
0.28
-
-
UNH
NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
29 Aug 2025301.69
424.62
40.75%
Buy
0.23
-
-
UPS
NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
15 Aug 202582.73
112.47
35.94%
Buy
0.22
-
-
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
29 May 202633.79
32.74
-3.11%
Buy
0.55
-
-
USNA
NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
22 May 202618.74
21.98
17.29%
Buy
0.04
-
-
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
10 Jul 202672.54
72.54
New
Entry week
Buy
0.07
-
-
UTMD
NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
13 Jun 202553.78
67.96
26.36%
Buy
0.14
-
-
UTSI
NASDAQ · UTStarcom Holdings Corp
9 Jan 20262.45
2.49
1.63%
Buy
0.26
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
DD
NYSE · Dupont De Nemours Inc
148.36
Reversal Risk Warning
63.08%
Entry 4 Jul 2025
90.98
13 Feb 2026
Exit
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
39.12
20% entry drawdown
-27.33%
Entry 23 May 2025
53.83
13 Feb 2026
Exit
DG
NYSE · Dollar General Corporation
153.09
Reversal Risk Warning
88.00%
Entry 21 Mar 2025
81.44
13 Feb 2026
Exit
DJT
NASDAQ · Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
10.98
20% entry drawdown
-20.26%
Entry 2 Jan 2026
13.77
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ECL
NYSE · Ecolab Inc
297.58
Reversal Risk Warning
59.10%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
187.03
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ED
NYSE · Consolidated Edison Inc
111.89
Reversal Risk Warning
33.36%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
83.90
13 Feb 2026
Exit
EE
NYSE · Excelerate Energy Inc
41.65
Reversal Risk Warning
122.88%
Entry 10 May 2024
18.69
13 Feb 2026
Exit
EMA
NYSE · Emera Incorporated
50.95
Reversal Risk Warning
5.89%
Entry 26 Dec 2025
48.12
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ENSG
NASDAQ · The Ensign Group Inc
213.27
Reversal Risk Warning
110.00%
Entry 3 Nov 2023
101.56
13 Feb 2026
Exit
EXFY
NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.95%
Entry 19 Apr 2024
1.64
13 Feb 2026
Exit
FE
NYSE · FirstEnergy Corporation
49.59
Reversal Risk Warning
47.85%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
33.54
13 Feb 2026
Entry
FF
NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
3.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.21
13 Feb 2026
Entry
FINV
NYSE · FinVolution Group
5.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
13 Feb 2026
Exit
FTS
NYSE · Fortis Inc
55.90
Reversal Risk Warning
49.88%
Entry 17 Nov 2023
37.30
13 Feb 2026
Entry
GERN
NASDAQ · Geron Corporation
1.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.68
13 Feb 2026
Entry
GIW
NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
10.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GPMT
NYSE · Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
1.88
20% entry drawdown
-20.96%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
2.38
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GRWG
NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
1.12
20% entry drawdown
-22.76%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
1.45
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GTES
NYSE · Gates Industrial Corporation plc
27.97
Reversal Risk Warning
109.51%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
13.35
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GTY
NYSE · Getty Realty Corporation
32.74
Reversal Risk Warning
27.73%
Entry 1 Dec 2023
25.63
13 Feb 2026
Exit
GXO
NYSE · GXO Logistics Inc
65.51
Reversal Risk Warning
54.98%
Entry 16 May 2025
42.27
13 Feb 2026
Exit
HAS
NASDAQ · Hasbro Inc
100.92
Reversal Risk Warning
119.97%
Entry 2 Feb 2024
45.88
13 Feb 2026
Exit
HCA
NYSE · HCA Healthcare, Inc.
538.41
Reversal Risk Warning
98.86%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
270.74
13 Feb 2026
Exit
HCAT
NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
1.84
20% entry drawdown
-23.97%
Entry 26 Dec 2025
2.42
13 Feb 2026
Entry
HPK
NASDAQ · Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp
5.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.23
13 Feb 2026
Exit
HUBB
NYSE · Hubbell Inc
521.11
Reversal Risk Warning
76.50%
Entry 11 Aug 2023
295.24
13 Feb 2026
Exit
IMKTA
NASDAQ · Ingles Markets Incorporated
89.19
Reversal Risk Warning
22.40%
Entry 29 Nov 2024
72.87
13 Feb 2026
Entry
IMUX
NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
9.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
IPGP
NASDAQ · IPG Photonics Corporation
153.91
Reversal Risk Warning
138.25%
Entry 23 May 2025
64.60
13 Feb 2026
Entry
IRDM
NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
22.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.17