View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1051-1070 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
10 Jul 20262.91
2.94
1.03%
Buy
0.77
-
-
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
29 May 20260.83
0.90
8.95%
Buy
1.46
-
-
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
22 May 202622.39
25.10
12.10%
Buy
0.55
-
-
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
12 Jun 20264.06
5.00
23.15%
Buy
0.01
-
-
YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
22 May 20260.97
1.18
21.70%
Buy
0.65
-
-
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
20 Feb 20261.46
1.33
-8.90%
Buy
0.14
-
-
YORW NASDAQ · The York Water Company
14 Mar 202533.70
31.13
-7.62%
Buy
0.51
-
-
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3 Jul 20263.47
3.32
-4.32%
Buy
1.36
-
-
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202687.47
91.35
4.44%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
16 Jan 202620.16
30.39
50.74%
Buy
0.19
-
-
ZBRA NASDAQ · Zebra Technologies Corporation
1 May 2026227.08
259.92
14.46%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
13 Mar 202639.46
51.60
30.77%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
20 Jun 202514.18
19.13
34.91%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
16 May 20258.52
14.32
68.15%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
16 Aug 20243.08
3.14
1.95%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ZIP NYSE · Ziprecruiter Inc
1 May 20263.09
3.90
26.21%
Buy
0.31
-
-
ZLAB NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
20 Feb 202620.04
19.22
-4.09%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
3 Jul 2026147.33
142.32
-3.40%
Buy
0.40
-
-
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
26 Jun 20260.49
0.53
8.56%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
15 May 20261.33
1.50
12.78%
Buy
0.17
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3931-3960 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Sep 2025
Exit
NFG NYSE · National Fuel Gas Company
92.04
Reversal Risk Warning
85.44%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 49.63
26 Sep 2025
Entry
NPWR NYSE · NET Power Inc.
3.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
26 Sep 2025
Entry
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
5.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
26 Sep 2025
Entry
NUAI NASDAQ · New Era Energy & Digital, Inc.
1.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
26 Sep 2025
Entry
OLMA NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.20
26 Sep 2025
Entry
ONTO NYSE · Onto Innovation Inc
127.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.50
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PACS NYSE · PACS Group, Inc.
13.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
8.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PDFS NASDAQ · PDF Solutions Inc
26.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
26 Sep 2025
Entry
PEPG NASDAQ · PepGen Ltd
5.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.60
26 Sep 2025
Exit
PRDO NASDAQ · Perdoceo Education Corp
36.47
Reversal Risk Warning
196.05%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 12.32
26 Sep 2025
Exit
SBH NYSE · Sally Beauty Holdings Inc
15.98
Reversal Risk Warning
83.47%
Entry 30 May 2025 8.71
26 Sep 2025
Exit
SBR NYSE · Sabine Royalty Trust
78.65
Reversal Risk Warning
49.35%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 52.66
26 Sep 2025
Entry
SION NASDAQ · Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
28.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.19
26 Sep 2025
Entry
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
2.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.46
26 Sep 2025
Exit
SNGX NASDAQ · Soligenix Inc.
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-58.62%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.90
26 Sep 2025
Entry
SRPT NASDAQ · Sarepta Therapeutics Inc
18.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
7.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.03
26 Sep 2025
Entry
TER NASDAQ · Teradyne Inc
135.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.70
26 Sep 2025
Exit
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
7.22
20% entry drawdown
-23.19%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 9.40
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AACG NASDAQ · ATA Creativity Global
2.45
Reversal Risk Warning
160.53%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 0.94
19 Sep 2025
Exit
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
131.33
Reversal Risk Warning
50.48%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 87.27
19 Sep 2025
Entry
AIIO NASDAQ · Robo.ai Inc.
32.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
19 Sep 2025
Entry
AMKR NASDAQ · Amkor Technology Inc
28.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.81
19 Sep 2025
Entry
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
166.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.61
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
61.55
Reversal Risk Warning
346.99%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 13.77
19 Sep 2025
Exit
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
2.21
Reversal Risk Warning
52.42%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 1.45
19 Sep 2025
Exit
ATLCP NASDAQ · Atlanticus Holdings Corp Preferred
23.19
Reversal Risk Warning
38.95%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 16.69
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BANX NASDAQ · Arrowmark Financial Corp
20.66
Reversal Risk Warning
59.81%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 12.93
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BBUC NYSE · Brookfield Business Corp
35.12
Reversal Risk Warning
84.17%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 19.07