Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1051-1080 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.02
2.47%
Buy
0.41
-
-
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
19 Sep 202510.29
17.47
69.78%
Buy
1.16
-
-
XOS NASDAQ · Xos Inc
29 May 20262.28
2.16
-5.26%
Buy
0.38
-
-
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
14 Feb 202514.40
16.67
15.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
23 May 202534.49
43.25
25.40%
Buy
0.10
-
-
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
28 Nov 20255.79
7.30
26.08%
Buy
0.33
-
-
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
6.66
14.24%
Buy
0.20
-
-
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
20 Jun 20259.17
16.48
79.72%
Buy
0.09
-
-
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
17 Jul 202614.05
14.05
New Entry week
Buy
0.72
-
-
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
18 Jul 202533.47
37.90
13.25%
Buy
0.29
-
-
XRX NASDAQ · Xerox Corp
1 May 20262.68
2.77
3.41%
Buy
0.30
-
-
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
10 Jul 20262.91
2.84
-2.41%
Buy
0.77
-
-
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
29 May 20260.83
0.93
11.88%
Buy
1.46
-
-
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
22 May 202622.39
26.22
17.11%
Buy
0.55
-
-
YEXT NYSE · Yext Inc
12 Jun 20264.06
5.34
31.53%
Buy
0.01
-
-
YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
22 May 20260.97
0.99
2.06%
Buy
0.65
-
-
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
20 Feb 20261.46
1.50
2.74%
Buy
0.14
-
-
YORW NASDAQ · The York Water Company
14 Mar 202533.70
31.45
-6.67%
Buy
0.51
-
-
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
3 Jul 20263.47
3.57
2.88%
Buy
1.36
-
-
ZBH NYSE · Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202687.47
91.12
4.17%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ZBIO NASDAQ · Zenas BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock
16 Jan 202620.16
29.53
46.48%
Buy
0.19
-
-
ZBRA NASDAQ · Zebra Technologies Corporation
1 May 2026227.08
267.40
17.76%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
13 Mar 202639.46
53.98
36.80%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZETA NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
20 Jun 202514.18
21.68
52.89%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
16 May 20258.52
13.90
63.21%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
16 Aug 20243.08
3.17
2.92%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ZIP NYSE · Ziprecruiter Inc
1 May 20263.09
3.96
28.16%
Buy
0.31
-
-
ZLAB NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
20 Feb 202620.04
20.20
0.80%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ZS NASDAQ · Zscaler Inc
3 Jul 2026147.33
149.94
1.77%
Buy
0.40
-
-
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
26 Jun 20260.49
0.47
-4.00%
Buy
0.04
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2551-2580 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
76.57
Reversal Risk Warning
85.35%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 41.31
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NHI NYSE · National Health Investors Inc
88.31
Reversal Risk Warning
79.57%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 49.17
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NIC NYSE · Nicolet Bankshares Inc.
154.47
Reversal Risk Warning
104.13%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 75.67
13 Feb 2026
Exit
NVS NYSE · Novartis AG ADR
158.25
Reversal Risk Warning
65.01%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 95.90
13 Feb 2026
Exit
O NYSE · Realty Income Corporation
64.55
Reversal Risk Warning
35.74%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 47.56
13 Feb 2026
Exit
OGS NYSE · One Gas Inc
84.67
Reversal Risk Warning
52.50%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 55.52
13 Feb 2026
Exit
OHI NYSE · Omega Healthcare Investors Inc
46.72
Reversal Risk Warning
65.02%
Entry 31 May 2024 28.31
13 Feb 2026
Exit
OMAB NASDAQ · Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte SAB de CV
124.59
Reversal Risk Warning
102.88%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 61.41
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PINE NYSE · Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc.
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
36.20%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 14.61
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PNBK NASDAQ · Patriot National Bancorp Inc
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.26%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.74
13 Feb 2026
Exit
POR NYSE · Portland General Electric Co
53.45
Reversal Risk Warning
39.30%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 38.37
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PPL NYSE · PPL Corporation
37.24
Reversal Risk Warning
56.29%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 23.83
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PRE NASDAQ · Prenetics Global Ltd
21.97
Reversal Risk Warning
248.73%
Entry 16 May 2025 6.30
13 Feb 2026
Exit
QTEX NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
0.59
20% entry drawdown
-30.72%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 0.85
13 Feb 2026
Entry
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
37.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
23.65
20% entry drawdown
-28.43%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 33.05
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6.82
20% entry drawdown
-30.19%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 9.77
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RRX NYSE · Regal Beloit Corporation
219.78
Reversal Risk Warning
65.06%
Entry 23 May 2025 133.15
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RWT NYSE · Redwood Trust Inc
6.37
Reversal Risk Warning
20.37%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 5.29
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SBRA NASDAQ · Sabra Healthcare REIT Inc
19.88
Reversal Risk Warning
73.22%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 11.48
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SHG NYSE · Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd
69.83
Reversal Risk Warning
124.58%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 31.09
13 Feb 2026
Entry
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
2.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SLP NASDAQ · Simulations Plus Inc
12.29
20% entry drawdown
-23.28%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 16.02
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SNA NYSE · Snap-On Inc
379.65
Reversal Risk Warning
44.87%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 262.05
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
5.26
Reversal Risk Warning
155.34%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 2.06
13 Feb 2026
Entry
SNDK NASDAQ · Sandisk Corp
626.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.48
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SNOA NASDAQ · Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.75%
Entry 30 May 2025 3.47
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SPXC NYSE · SPX Corp
239.00
Reversal Risk Warning
131.41%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 103.28
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SR NYSE · Spire Inc
90.05
Reversal Risk Warning
65.62%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 54.37
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SRE NYSE · Sempra Energy
93.11
Reversal Risk Warning
38.24%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 67.35