View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
4 Jul 202552.18
66.40
27.25%
Buy
0.63
-
-
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
21.05
15.68%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.18
1.98%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
5.80
-14.71%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
40.31
66.36%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
7.66
-8.59%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
21.11
20.93%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
76.63
15.63%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.45
38.79%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
5.18
32.14%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.53
132.36
5.44%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
7.90
-17.54%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
35.04
51.10%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
26.42
-8.80%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
7.05
19.69%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.45
-1.36%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
189.61
4.33%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
37.60
16.05%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
20.25
10.05%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
11.44
21.83%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
18.44
37.61%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
3 Jul 20262.76
2.40
-13.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
160.90
-3.67%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.29
1.38%
Buy
0.42
-
-
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.41
18.19%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.76
1.80%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.16
1.41%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
27.37
21.16%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.85
-0.80%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
15.85
14.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 7621-7650 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 Aug 2024
Entry
IDCC NASDAQ · InterDigital Inc
133.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
2 Aug 2024
Exit
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
2.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.62%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 3.54
2 Aug 2024
Exit
IRTC NASDAQ · iRhythm Technologies Inc
73.88
20% entry drawdown
-26.86%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 101.01
2 Aug 2024
Entry
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
20.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
2 Aug 2024
Exit
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
5.05
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 6.61
2 Aug 2024
Exit
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-36.07%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 1.85
2 Aug 2024
Exit
KEYS NYSE · Keysight Technologies Inc
126.70
20% entry drawdown
-20.08%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 158.53
2 Aug 2024
Exit
KLIC NASDAQ · Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc
39.33
20% entry drawdown
-20.58%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 49.52
2 Aug 2024
Entry
LFVN NASDAQ · Lifevantage Corporation
8.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
2 Aug 2024
Exit
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
1.33
20% entry drawdown
-27.72%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 1.84
2 Aug 2024
Exit
LMND NYSE · Lemonade Inc
16.64
20% entry drawdown
-24.67%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 22.09
2 Aug 2024
Exit
LRCX NASDAQ · Lam Research Corp
75.03
20% entry drawdown
-28.35%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 104.71
2 Aug 2024
Entry
LUMN NYSE · Lumen Technologies Inc
3.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
2 Aug 2024
Entry
MCS NYSE · Marcus Corporation
12.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
2 Aug 2024
Exit
MMLP NASDAQ · Martin Midstream Partners LP
3.79
Reversal Risk Warning
61.94%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 2.34
2 Aug 2024
Exit
MUX NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
8.59
20% entry drawdown
-20.90%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 10.86
2 Aug 2024
Exit
MYRG NASDAQ · MYR Group Inc
99.50
20% entry drawdown
-36.83%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 157.50
2 Aug 2024
Exit
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.26
20% entry drawdown
-23.64%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 1.65
2 Aug 2024
Entry
NEM NYSE · Newmont Goldcorp Corp
46.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.22
2 Aug 2024
Entry
NTCT NASDAQ · NetScout Systems Inc
19.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
2 Aug 2024
Entry
OIS NYSE · Oil States International Inc
5.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
2 Aug 2024
Entry
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
39.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.74
2 Aug 2024
Exit
PENG NASDAQ · Penguin Solutions, Inc.
20.26
20% entry drawdown
-29.90%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 28.90
2 Aug 2024
Exit
PLAB NASDAQ · Photronics Inc
22.05
20% entry drawdown
-25.28%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 29.51
2 Aug 2024
Exit
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.16
20% entry drawdown
-21.17%
Entry 3 May 2024 2.74
2 Aug 2024
Entry
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
2 Aug 2024
Entry
PRAX NASDAQ · Praxis Precision Medicines Inc
56.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
2 Aug 2024
Entry
RUSHB NASDAQ · Rush Enterprises B Inc
45.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
2 Aug 2024
Exit
SHOP NASDAQ · Shopify Inc
54.43
20% entry drawdown
-22.63%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 70.35
2 Aug 2024
Exit
SIMO NASDAQ · Silicon Motion Technology
59.22
20% entry drawdown
-21.77%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 75.70