View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
4 Jul 202552.18
66.40
27.25%
Buy
0.63
-
-
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
21.05
15.68%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.18
1.98%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
5.80
-14.71%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
40.31
66.36%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
7.66
-8.59%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
21.11
20.93%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
76.63
15.63%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.45
38.79%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
5.18
32.14%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.53
132.36
5.44%
Buy
0.18
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
7.90
-17.54%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
35.04
51.10%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
26.42
-8.80%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
7.05
19.69%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.45
-1.36%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
189.61
4.33%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
37.60
16.05%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
20.25
10.05%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
11.44
21.83%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
18.44
37.61%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
3 Jul 20262.76
2.40
-13.04%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
160.90
-3.67%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.29
1.38%
Buy
0.42
-
-
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.41
18.19%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.76
1.80%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.16
1.41%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
27.37
21.16%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.85
-0.80%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
15.85
14.11%
Buy
0.22
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8641-8670 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Feb 2024
Entry
KR NYSE · Kroger Company
45.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
16 Feb 2024
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
12.78
Reversal Risk Warning
198.60%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.28
16 Feb 2024
Entry
LYTS NASDAQ · LSI Industries Inc
13.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MLKN NASDAQ · MillerKnoll Inc
27.52
Reversal Risk Warning
67.12%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 16.47
16 Feb 2024
Entry
MOD NYSE · Modine Manufacturing Company
80.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.77
16 Feb 2024
Entry
MPLX NYSE · MPLX LP
32.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.88
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MRCY NASDAQ · Mercury Systems Inc
29.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.24%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 36.52
16 Feb 2024
Exit
NCLH NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
16.26
20% entry drawdown
-20.14%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 20.36
16 Feb 2024
Entry
NVDA NASDAQ · NVIDIA Corporation
72.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.84
16 Feb 2024
Entry
OCGN NASDAQ · Ocugen Inc
0.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
16 Feb 2024
Entry
OPRT NASDAQ · Oportun Financial Corp
3.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PESI NASDAQ · Perma-Fix Environmental Svcs Inc
8.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PLMR NASDAQ · Palomar Holdings Inc
74.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.69
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PRCH NASDAQ · Porch Group Inc
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
16 Feb 2024
Entry
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
16 Feb 2024
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
72.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.15%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 94.93
16 Feb 2024
Entry
RPRX NASDAQ · Royalty Pharma Plc
28.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.53
16 Feb 2024
Exit
SAFT NASDAQ · Safety Insurance Group Inc
77.62
Reversal Risk Warning
25.27%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 61.96
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SMFG NYSE · Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc
9.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
16 Feb 2024
Exit
TAL NYSE · TAL Education Group
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
77.13%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 8.00
16 Feb 2024
Entry
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
16 Feb 2024
Exit
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
22.88
20% entry drawdown
-22.07%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 29.36
16 Feb 2024
Entry
TRVI NASDAQ · Trevi Therapeutics Inc
2.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
16 Feb 2024
Exit
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.19
20% entry drawdown
-29.06%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 36.92
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VEON NASDAQ · VEON Ltd
23.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
16 Feb 2024
Exit
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
12.46
20% entry drawdown
-20.60%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 15.70
16 Feb 2024
Entry
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
29.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
9 Feb 2024
Entry
AMG NYSE · Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
155.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23