Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.20
17.21%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.51
1.03%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.25
5.63%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
25.36
12.26%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
9.60
-12.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
17.03
22.61%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
82.80
29.43%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.35
23.67%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
76.06
2.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.38
-5.13%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.06
0.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.42
82.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.91
-2.05%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
151.94
6.84%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
19 Jun 20261.37
1.17
-14.60%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.60
-9.76%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.17
-9.44%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
73.31
New Entry week
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.93
-8.26%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.63
80.12%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.77
-6.04%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
199.15
41.74%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
41.36
2.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
298.50
19.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.23
16.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.24
32.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
29 May 202698.99
126.77
28.06%
Buy
0.97
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.34
2.71%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.70
-5.03%
Buy
0.44
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 451-480 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Jun 2026
Exit
MU NASDAQ · Micron Technology Inc
1133.82
Reversal Risk Warning
376.96%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 237.72
19 Jun 2026
Exit
NAVN NASDAQ · Navan, Inc. Class A Common Stock
21.91
Reversal Risk Warning
10.21%
Entry 22 May 2026 19.88
19 Jun 2026
Exit
NBIS NASDAQ · Nebius Group N.V.
286.69
Reversal Risk Warning
443.08%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 52.79
19 Jun 2026
Exit
NODK NASDAQ · NI Holdings Inc
15.91
Reversal Risk Warning
21.54%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 13.09
19 Jun 2026
Exit
NPO NYSE · Enpro Industries
379.65
Reversal Risk Warning
156.32%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 148.11
19 Jun 2026
Exit
NSYS NASDAQ · Nortech Systems Incorporated
17.49
Reversal Risk Warning
97.18%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 8.87
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ORN NYSE · Orion Group Holdings Inc
15.89
Reversal Risk Warning
238.81%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 4.69
19 Jun 2026
Exit
OSW NASDAQ · OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd
27.53
Reversal Risk Warning
121.44%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 12.43
19 Jun 2026
Exit
PANW NASDAQ · Palo Alto Networks Inc
287.78
Reversal Risk Warning
116.31%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 133.04
19 Jun 2026
Exit
PHVS NASDAQ · Pharvaris BV
32.80
Reversal Risk Warning
93.05%
Entry 9 May 2025 16.99
19 Jun 2026
Entry
POOL NASDAQ · Pool Corporation
198.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
19 Jun 2026
Entry
PRGS NASDAQ · Progress Software Corporation
29.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
19 Jun 2026
Exit
PRM NYSE · Perimeter Solutions SA
37.78
Reversal Risk Warning
384.98%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 7.79
19 Jun 2026
Exit
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
168.98
Reversal Risk Warning
12.17%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 150.65
19 Jun 2026
Exit
RELL NASDAQ · Richardson Electronics Ltd
18.60
Reversal Risk Warning
85.89%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 10.01
19 Jun 2026
Exit
RFL NYSE · Rafael Holdings, Inc.
2.73
Reversal Risk Warning
83.22%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 1.49
19 Jun 2026
Exit
RHP NYSE · Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc
123.99
Reversal Risk Warning
47.65%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 83.98
19 Jun 2026
Exit
RLJ NYSE · RLJ Lodging Trust
11.29
Reversal Risk Warning
58.41%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 7.13
19 Jun 2026
Entry
RNGT NASDAQ · Range Capital Acquisition Corp II Class A Ordinary Shares
10.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ROG NYSE · Rogers Corporation
162.68
Reversal Risk Warning
138.32%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 68.26
19 Jun 2026
Entry
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
27.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SERA NASDAQ · Sera Prognostics Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-23.58%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 2.29
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SHAZ NASDAQ · SharonAI Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
92.70
Reversal Risk Warning
244.10%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 26.94
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SIMO NASDAQ · Silicon Motion Technology
321.66
Reversal Risk Warning
332.26%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 74.41
19 Jun 2026
Entry
SMWB NYSE · SimilarWeb Ltd
4.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SN NYSE · SharkNinja, Inc.
140.84
Reversal Risk Warning
126.10%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 62.29
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SNAP NYSE · Snap Inc
4.66
20% entry drawdown
-25.91%
Entry 1 May 2026 6.29
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SNDK NASDAQ · Sandisk Corp
2184.75
Reversal Risk Warning
248.69%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 626.56
19 Jun 2026
Exit
SNEX NASDAQ · Stonex Group Inc
139.01
Reversal Risk Warning
221.42%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 43.25
19 Jun 2026
Entry
SQFT NASDAQ · Presidio Property Trust
2.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02